Continuation Breakout Tuesday 3PM 12/09/2025

Overall sector and industry analysis (window analyzed: 2025-12-09 13:00–15:00 EST)
Note: You provided only a 2-hour intraday slice (30-min bars). I cannot compute full 30- and 10-day stats or daily ATR from this file. The commentary below emphasizes very short-term momentum and relative strength/weakness within that window, using sector proxies that were included (IWM, VGT, SOXL, RETL, AGQ).

• Semiconductors and semi-equipment: Mixed-to-positive. Equipment leaders leaned firmer into the close: KLAC (pushed to 1227.7), SITM (trend day to 370), NVMI (closed near HOD 336.57), FN (bid to 499.4). Fabrication-heavy or broad chip exposure was flatter: TSM slightly heavy, MU choppy, SOXL range-bound. Networking/optical showed pockets of strength: AAOI held gains; AXTI firm late.
  • Tickers referenced: KLAC, SITM, NVMI, FN, TSM, MU, SOXL, AAOI, AXTI, LRCX, TER, ENTG, ONTO.
• Crypto miners/data-center compute: Broad strength with steady bid and higher closes: WULF (15.99 test), WGMI (48.41 test), BITF (grind back to 3.095). APLD chopped but held higher; MSTR was more two-way but constructive intraday. This cohort showed the clearest momentum.
  • Tickers referenced: WULF, WGMI, BITF, APLD, MSTR.
• Precious and base metals: Silver/gold miners mostly flat-to-soft while leveraged silver (AGQ) stayed elevated mid-session. PAAS, SVM, ASM, BTG ranged; copper steadier with SCCO and TGB firming into the close. Overall, metals were rotational rather than trending.
  • Tickers referenced: AGQ, PAAS, SVM, ASM, BTG, SCCO, TGB, SBSW.
• Energy: Mixed. Oil E&P FANG edged up into the close; oil services BORR faded; PUMP range-bound. No broad energy impulse.
  • Tickers referenced: FANG, BORR, PUMP.
• Retail and discretionary: The retail ETF RETL climbed into the close (near HOD), suggesting dip-buying in the space. Single names were mixed: ANF flat, W faded, KSS stabilized, URBN range-bound. Auto retailers (AN, LAD) leaned firm.
  • Tickers referenced: RETL, ANF, W, KSS, URBN, AN, LAD, GPI.
• Software/cloud and large-cap tech: Mixed. High-beta software like APP and DASH closed strong; FFIV and JBL (EMS) also firmed. Security and marketing clouds were heavier: CRWD, HUBS both down intraday. ORCL and IBM were sideways to slightly soft; QCOM flat.
  • Tickers referenced: APP, DASH, FFIV, JBL, CRWD, HUBS, ORCL, IBM, QCOM.
• Financials: Mixed two-way trade. JPM recovered from a midday flush; COF stabilized off lows; LPLA drifted lower. No sector trend.
  • Tickers referenced: JPM, COF, LPLA.
• Airlines/industrials: UAL slid most of the window; rentals (URI, HRI) were soft to lower. AIT slightly firmer intraday.
  • Tickers referenced: UAL, URI, HRI, AIT.

Takeaway: The strongest momentum pockets into the close were crypto miners/DC compute, select semi-equipment, and a nascent retail ETF bid. Silver miners were rotational; energy was mixed; financials and airlines lacked trend.

Ticker performance prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
Most likely to continue up (momentum continuation setups):
– WULF, SITM, KLAC, AAOI, FN, APP, EVTL, RETL

Secondary watch (constructive but more two-way): FANG, NVMI, JBL, FFIV, APLD, WGMI, SCCO, TGB

Stocks showing strongest bullish signals in this window:
– SITM (trend day, higher highs/higher lows), KLAC (late-day push to new session highs), WULF (persistent bid, tight close near HOD), APP (power close), EVTL (breakout over 7 with expansion), AAOI (held higher after push), FN (creeping to 500 test)

Individual stock analysis and trade plan (1–3 day swing)
Method note: With no 10–30 day data or ATR provided, I derive key levels from today’s 30-min structure and use the observed intraday range as an ATR proxy to project 1–3 day targets.

1) WULF
– Supports: 15.59 (14:30 pullback low), 15.34 (session dip), 15.00 (psych)
– Resistances: 15.99–16.00 (HOD/psych supply), 16.20 (near-term extension), 16.50 (psych)
– 30-min read: Bullish stair-step. Expect brief consolidation 15.70–16.00, then a breakout attempt if crypto stays bid.
– Proxy ATR: ~0.65 (15.34–15.99). 1–3 day targets: 16.20, 16.50, 16.90.
– Entry: 15.60–15.70 pullback to rising support.
– Stop: 15.28 (below 15.34 demand and undercut trap).

2) EVTL
– Supports: 7.05–7.10 (last 30-min demand), 6.95, 6.84–6.88 (session base)
– Resistances: 7.20 (HOD area), 7.35, 7.50
– 30-min read: Breakout with range expansion at 14:30 and strong close. Look for a retest of 7.05–7.10 before continuation.
– Proxy ATR: ~0.36 (6.84–7.20). 1–3 day targets: 7.35, 7.50, 7.80.
– Entry: 7.05–7.10 on retest; add on 7.20–7.22 break with volume.
– Stop: 6.83 (beneath base).

3) SITM
– Supports: 366.9–367.3 (14:30 breakout base), 365.25, 364.46
– Resistances: 370.29 (HOD), 372.00, 375.00
– 30-min read: Trend day with persistent higher lows; shallow pullbacks. Dips likely get bought while above 366.9.
– Proxy ATR: ~5.8 (364.46–370.29). 1–3 day targets: 372, 375, 378.
– Entry: 366.9–367.5 pullback; or 370.35 break with expanding volume.
– Stop: 365.2 (below prior higher low).

4) KLAC
– Supports: 1223.8, 1219.3, 1215.1
– Resistances: 1229.3 (HOD), 1235, 1240
– 30-min read: Late-session push to new highs with controlled pullbacks; buyers in control while >1219.
– Proxy ATR: ~14.2 (1215.1–1229.3). 1–3 day targets: 1230–1235, 1240, 1248.
– Entry: 1220–1223 dip buy; or 1229.5 breakout.
– Stop: 1214.8 (below session low).

5) AAOI
– Supports: 30.08–30.11, 29.84, 29.54
– Resistances: 30.21, 30.40 (session high), 30.80
– 30-min read: Momentum push followed by tight consolidation near highs; constructive for another leg.
– Proxy ATR: ~0.86 (29.54–30.40). 1–3 day targets: 30.40, 30.80, 31.20.
– Entry: 30.00–30.10 near VWAP/stepped support.
– Stop: 29.45 (below day low buffer).

6) FN
– Supports: 496.9–497.2, 495.45, 493.30
– Resistances: 499.72 (HOD), 500.00, 503.00
– 30-min read: Methodical upward drift with buyers defending dips; 500 magnet in play.
– Proxy ATR: ~6.4 (493.3–499.7). 1–3 day targets: 500, 503, 506.
– Entry: 496.9–497.4 dip; add on 500.10 breakout.
– Stop: 494.9 (beneath higher-low structure).

7) APP
– Supports: 720.1, 718.8, 716.8
– Resistances: 725.0 (HOD), 731, 738
– 30-min read: Strong close near highs after steady accumulation; watch for a brief pullback to 720–721 before a 725 break.
– Proxy ATR: ~8.2 (716.8–724.9999). 1–3 day targets: 725, 731, 738.
– Entry: 720.5–721.5; or through 725 with volume.
– Stop: 716.3 (below session low).

8) RETL (Retail ETF)
– Supports: 9.66, 9.64, 9.60
– Resistances: 9.75 (session high), 9.80, 9.90–10.00
– 30-min read: Clear relative strength into the close; constructive for continuation if broad market steadies.
– Proxy ATR: ~0.11 (9.64–9.75). 1–3 day targets: 9.80, 9.90, 10.00.
– Entry: 9.66–9.68 pullback; or 9.76 breakout scalp.
– Stop: 9.58 (below support cluster).

If you want a deeper 10–30 day view (true daily support/resistance, ATR, trend health), send the last month of daily candles and volume for these tickers, and I’ll refine levels, probabilities, and risk budgets accordingly.