Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (window reviewed: 2025-11-04 12:30–15:00 EST)
Note: You provided intraday 30-minute bars for a single session, not 30 days. The commentary below focuses on this window and recent intraday momentum patterns that typically set up 1–3 day swings. Where “daily” zones are referenced, they’re inferred from today’s extremes and nearby round-number supply/demand pivots you should confirm on a daily chart.
- Semiconductors/Equipment: Mixed-to-weak. FN faded hard into the close; KLAC rolled over from 1218 to ~1208; AMD lost momentum and slipped into the close; ARM was range-bound; TER drifted lower. AXTI bucked the group with higher lows and a closing push. Coherent (COHR) faded after a mid-day pop. Net: sector breadth soft; selective small-cap strength (AXTI).
- Tickers: FN, KLAC, AMD, ARM, TER, AXTI, COHR
- Energy (Refiners/Producers/Services): Refiners showed clear intraday strength with higher highs/higher lows; producers/services were mixed-to-weak.
- Strength: PBF stair-stepped all afternoon; MPC pushed to session highs near the close.
- Softer: VIST slipped late; BKV cracked to 24.33 before stabilizing; AESI trended down into the close.
- Tickers: PBF, MPC, VIST, BKV, AESI
- Financials: Large money-center/brokers mostly range-bound; insurers firmer.
- GS, JPM, COF chopped sideways; CB pushed to new session highs (breakout tone).
- Tickers: CB, GS, JPM, COF
- Healthcare (Distributors/Providers/Biotech): Mixed. Distributors (MCK, CAH) were stable-to-soft late; HCA drifted higher into the close. Biotech: strong momentum in TERN; SCLX spiked but faded; AVDL/EVAX/OMSE illiquid/sideways.
- Tickers: MCK, CAH, HCA, TERN, SCLX, AVDL, EVAX, OMSE
- Consumer/Retail: WSM range-bound; FCFS leaned lower.
- Tickers: WSM, FCFS
- Industrials/Aerospace/Defense: TDG steady; CACI reclaimed intraday losses; FERG flat; POWL suffered a sharp rug-pull mid-afternoon; MEC steady.
- Tickers: TDG, CACI, FERG, POWL, MEC
- Materials/Steel: STLD bled lower all afternoon.
- Ticker: STLD
- Communication Services/Tech Platforms: GOOG range-bound; TALK flat.
- Tickers: GOOG, TALK
Notable intraday themes likely to matter over the next 1–3 sessions:
– Refiners leadership (PBF, MPC) on persistent buying.
– Insurance breakout tone (CB) versus range-bound money-centers.
– Biotech momentum (TERN) with expanding volume.
– Broad semis softness; look for selective continuation only where relative strength is evident (AXTI).
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely upside continuation candidates based on relative strength, trend structure, and volume:
– TERN (biotech momentum breakout; rising volume and strong close near highs)
– PBF (refiner with steady higher-highs/higher-lows all session)
– MPC (refiner pushing fresh intraday highs late)
– CB (insurer breaking to session highs; relative strength vs financials)
– AXTI (small-cap semi with higher lows and late-day push despite group weakness)
Stocks showing the strongest bullish signals: TERN, PBF, MPC, CB
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
Note on levels/targets: With only today’s bars available, “daily” support/resistance are drawn from today’s extremes, nearby round numbers, and typical supply/demand pivots. For targets, I use today’s intraday range as a rough proxy for a 1-day ATR to project 1–3 day moves.
1) TERN
– Approx. today’s range (ATR proxy): 16.83–18.09 ≈ 1.26
– Supports (demand):
– 17.50–17.60 (intraday consolidation shelf)
– 17.10–17.15 (pullback pivot)
– 16.80–16.85 (session low zone)
– Resistances (supply):
– 18.09 (session high)
– 18.50 (round-number supply)
– 19.00 (psych level/next extension)
– 30-min price action view (2–3 day): Expect shallow dips to 17.50–17.70 to be bought, aiming for a retest of 18.10, then 18.50. If momentum persists, stretch to ~18.9–19.1 within 1–3 days.
– Swing targets (1–3 days):
– T1: 18.10
– T2: 18.50
– T3: 18.90–19.10 (≈ T1 + ~0.8–1.0x today’s range)
– Entries: 17.55–17.75 on constructive pullbacks; add through 18.10 breakout with volume.
– Stop-loss: 16.95 (beneath the 17.10 pivot); tighter traders 17.25 if adding on strength.
2) PBF
– Approx. today’s range (ATR proxy): 34.68–35.40 ≈ 0.72
– Supports:
– 35.00–35.10 (round-number shelf)
– 34.76–34.80 (early PM base/close zone)
– 34.65–34.70 (session low zone)
– Resistances:
– 35.40 (session high)
– 35.70 (measured push ~+0.30 from high)
– 36.00 (psych level)
– 30-min price action view (2–3 day): Bias remains up while holding 35.00. Look for an initial push to 35.40–35.70; clearing 35.70 sets up a 36.00 tag in 1–3 days if energy strength persists.
– Swing targets:
– T1: 35.40
– T2: 35.70
– T3: 36.00
– Entries: 35.00–35.10 on dips or 35.40 breakout with rising volume.
– Stop-loss: 34.62–34.70 (beneath session low/structure).
3) MPC
– Approx. today’s range (ATR proxy): 181.83–186.69 ≈ 4.86
– Supports:
– 185.00–185.20 (late-day shelf)
– 184.20–184.30 (14:00 close/pivot)
– 183.70–183.90 (afternoon low area)
– Resistances:
– 186.69 (session high)
– 188.00 (round-number resistance)
– 190.00 (upper extension if refiners stay hot)
– 30-min price action view (2–3 day): Momentum continuation favored above 185. A quick probe of 186.7 is likely; strength over that opens 188. If the group remains firm, 190 is attainable within 1–3 days.
– Swing targets:
– T1: 186.70
– T2: 188.00
– T3: 190.00
– Entries: 184.70–185.30 on orderly pullbacks; add through 186.70 with volume.
– Stop-loss: 183.60–183.90 (beneath intraday demand).
4) CB
– Approx. today’s range (ATR proxy): 282.34–285.47 ≈ 3.13
– Supports:
– 284.00–284.10 (14:00 close/pivot)
– 283.20–283.25 (13:30 high pivot)
– 282.30–282.40 (session low zone)
– Resistances:
– 285.47 (session high)
– 287.00 (round-number supply above)
– 290.00 (broader extension if insurers lead)
– 30-min price action view (2–3 day): Breakout bias while above 283.2. Expect a grind to 285.5; a close above that invites 287 in 1–2 sessions. Stretch goal near 289–290 if financials firm up.
– Swing targets:
– T1: 285.50
– T2: 287.00
– T3: 289.00–290.00
– Entries: 283.80–284.40 pullbacks; add on 285.50 breakout with uptick in volume.
– Stop-loss: 282.20–282.50.
5) AXTI
– Approx. today’s range (ATR proxy): 8.19–8.58 ≈ 0.39
– Supports:
– 8.40–8.45 (late-day demand pocket)
– 8.28–8.30 (13:30 close/pivot)
– 8.19–8.22 (session low zone)
– Resistances:
– 8.54–8.58 (session high band)
– 8.70–8.75 (measured extension)
– 9.00 (psych level)
– 30-min price action view (2–3 day): Relative strength vs semis suggests a breakout attempt through 8.58. Holding >8.40 keeps the structure intact; a strong push can target 8.75 then 8.95–9.00.
– Swing targets:
– T1: 8.58
– T2: 8.75
– T3: 8.95–9.00
– Entries: 8.35–8.45 pullbacks; add on confirmed 8.58 breakout.
– Stop-loss: 8.18–8.22 (beneath session low).
Additional quick reads (not primary picks):
– HCA: steady bid; could grind higher while above 469.5; watch 471–473 as near-term resistance.
– MCK/CAH: neutral; need fresh catalysts/volume.
– GOOG: range-bound; look for break of 279–280 for momentum; otherwise mean-reverting.
– DTCK, SCLX: high-volatility small caps; trade with wider stops and reduced size if pursued.
Risk management notes
– Position sizing should reflect volatility: TERN/AXTI higher beta; CB/PBF/MPC steadier.
– Use the session’s low/high as objective invalidation/confirmation where possible.
– Reassess if sector breadth flips (e.g., semis strengthen broadly or refiners fade with crude).