Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range examined: 2026-01-12 11:00 to 2026-01-13 15:00)
Note: The upload contains mainly 30-minute intraday bars for Jan 13 (and a few sparse prints on Jan 12). Commentary below leans on the recent tape and momentum behavior; where “daily” levels are referenced, they’re derived from visible intraday supply/demand and nearby psychological pivots.
- Industrials/Transportation/Capital Goods: Afternoon softness and lower closes were common (CR, XPO, MYRG, KEX, MTZ, FIX). Woodward (WWD) and Novanta (NOVT) chopped sideways. Comfort Systems (FIX) faded into the close. Takeaway: group consolidation/late-day risk-off.
- Tech/Semis/Hardware: Mixed. SLAB held gains intraday but faded late; SIMO had a sharp last-bar sell (break of 117 to 114.24). PLXS (EMS) showed steady intraday accumulation and closed near highs. Garmin (GRMN) flat-to-soft. Takeaway: stock-picking environment; avoid names with late-day supply (SIMO).
- Software/Cyber: CYBR bled slowly all afternoon; no leadership signal today.
- Healthcare/Biotech/Med Tech: Relative strength. MRNA climbed all afternoon and closed on highs. MEDP (CRO) grinded higher and closed near highs. RVMD held tight. Some micro-cap bios (MBRX, REVB) were illiquid/weak. Takeaway: selective risk rotation into liquid healthcare growth.
- Energy/Shipping/Clean-tech: Weak. INSW and NINE slipped; EOSE and STEM faded steadily. Takeaway: avoid long momentum here until bases rebuild.
- Consumer Discretionary: Wayfair (W) built a clean base under 119–119.30; Brunswick (BC) and ONEW drifted lower. Takeaway: e-comm showing better tone than durables/marine.
- Materials/Resources/Alt energy: Mixed-to-soft. ATLX range-bound with a lower close.
- Small-cap AI/Spec: NUAI stair-stepped higher midday with expanding volume, then modestly faded; still constructive. Many sub-$3 tickers (SWVL, ISPC, REVB, RAASY, VTAK, HKPD, NSRX, ANL, TC) were extremely illiquid—high slippage risk.
Noticeable patterns:
– Broad late-day fade in Industrials and Energy; relative strength in liquid Healthcare (MRNA, MEDP) and a handful of selective Tech/EMS (PLXS) and Consumer e-comm (W).
– Best intraday momentum signatures: MRNA (closed at HOD), MEDP (near HOD), PLXS (accumulation, higher highs), W (tight base under resistance), NUAI (higher highs on rising 30-min volume at 13:30).
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to push higher:
– MRNA, MEDP, PLXS, W, NUAI
Strongest bullish signals today:
– MRNA: Closed essentially at HOD with rising afternoon volume.
– MEDP: Persistent grind up; tight closing near session highs.
– PLXS: Series of higher highs/lows; buyers defended dips.
– W: Clean base directly beneath resistance; poised for breakout.
– NUAI: Higher-highs sequence with volume expansion on the up-leg (13:30 bar).
Individual Stock Analysis (levels from visible supply/demand and nearby psychological pivots)
MRNA
– Supports: 39.00; 38.67; 38.37 (session low)
– Resistances: 39.51 (HOD); 39.75; 40.00
– Next 2–3 days (30-min game plan):
– Bullish path: Hold above 39.00 early → push through 39.51 → 39.75 → 40.00. Strong momentum can overshoot toward 40.25–40.50.
– Risk path: Lose 38.67 → test 38.37; below there invalidates near-term long momentum.
– Price targets (1–3 day swing): PT1 39.75; PT2 40.00; PT3 40.25–40.50 (stretch if broad market risk-on).
– Entries: 39.05–39.15 on an early dip-hold; or 39.55–39.60 breakout with volume.
– Stop-loss: Tight 38.60; swing 38.30 (below session low).
MEDP
– Supports: 605.28–605.32; 602.58–602.93; 600.23 (session low)/600.00 round
– Resistances: 607.19 (HOD); 609.00–610.00; 615.00 (psych)
– Next 2–3 days:
– Bullish path: Firm above 605 → reclaim 607.19 → 609–610. Strong tape can extend to 615 if buyers persist.
– Risk path: Lose 602.5 → quick check of 600; sustained trade below 600 likely shifts to range chop.
– Price targets: PT1 607–609; PT2 610; PT3 615 (stretch).
– Entries: 605.3–605.6 buy-the-dip; or 607.3 breakout with volume confirmation.
– Stop-loss: Conservative 599.9; active 602.2 (below mid-zone).
PLXS
– Supports: 171.44–171.59; 170.00; 169.98 (session low)
– Resistances: 172.28–172.51 (HOD zone); 173.00; 174.00
– Next 2–3 days:
– Bullish path: Coil 171–172 → break 172.51 → 173.00 → 174.00.
– Risk path: Lose 171.4 → test 170; if 170 breaks, momentum likely pauses.
– Price targets: PT1 172.50–173.00; PT2 174.00; PT3 174.50 (if tape remains bid).
– Entries: 171.5–171.8 pullback buy; or 172.6 breakout.
– Stop-loss: 170.80 (tactical); 169.80 (swing under session low).
W
– Supports: 118.52; 118.23; 117.89–117.68 (session low zone)
– Resistances: 118.97–119.12; 119.28 (HOD); 120.00
– Next 2–3 days:
– Bullish path: Early hold above 118.5 → break 119.12 → tag 119.28 then 120. A volume-backed 120 reclaim can squeeze to 121.
– Risk path: Lose 118.23 → 117.68; below that, base likely needs more time.
– Price targets: PT1 119.28; PT2 120.00; PT3 121.00 (stretch on strong breadth).
– Entries: 118.55–118.70 buy-the-dip; or 119.15–119.20 breakout with volume.
– Stop-loss: Tight 118.10; swing 117.60 (below session low).
NUAI
– Note: Small-cap; manage size and slippage.
– Supports: 4.30; 4.235; 4.150
– Resistances: 4.40–4.45; 4.50; 4.60
– Next 2–3 days:
– Bullish path: Hold 4.30 base → reclaim 4.40 → 4.45 test → 4.50 break opens 4.60.
– Risk path: Lose 4.23 → 4.15; below there the pattern devolves into chop.
– Price targets: PT1 4.45; PT2 4.50; PT3 4.60 (momentum extension).
– Entries: 4.31–4.34 near base; or 4.41–4.44 breakout with rising 30-min volume.
– Stop-loss: 4.22 (tight); 4.14 (swing under base).
Secondary watch (possible rebounds but not primary long set-ups today)
– FTAI: Still in a high base longer term, but today finished weak; needs back over 256.8–257 to confirm.
– SLAB: Constructive but faded; watch for 147.70 reclaim.
– RCAT: Intra pop then sharp fade; needs a higher-low >13.20 to re-engage.
– Avoid/illiquid for swings: RAASY, VTAK, TC, ANL, HKPD, SWVL, NSRX, REVB, ISPC (thin tape, wide spreads).
Risk management notes
– Many Industrials and Energy names displayed end-of-day supply; if the group continues to lag on the open, favor the relative-strength cluster (Healthcare/selected Tech and Consumer e-comm).
– Use smaller size on small-caps (NUAI) and respect stops given the faster tape.
– If the market opens risk-off, prefer pullback entries at S1/S2 rather than chasing breakouts. If the market is risk-on and breadth is strong, breakout tactics above R1 levels have better odds.