Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range analyzed: 2025-12-09 10:30–14:00)
Note on data scope: The dataset provided contains intraday 30-minute bars for 2025-12-09 (midday window). The sector and setup reads below are based on today’s relative strength/weakness and volume patterns in that window. I’ll flag levels using today’s intraday pivots and nearby whole-number zones as provisional “daily zones” to refine once full 30-day daily bars are available.
- Semiconductors and Semi Equipment: Mixed-to-soft tape overall. Broad leaders drifted or faded off highs (AVGO, MU, TSM, LRCX, KLAC, NXPI, QCOM, COHR, LITE, SOXL). Notable relative strength pockets: TSEM pushed trend-highs into the close window; ENTG stair-stepped higher with buyers defending pullbacks; FFIV (network/security) trended strongly. Weak/lagging: SITM churned, MU/AVGO faded, SOXL slipped—suggesting selectivity.
- Metals/Materials: Precious metals mixed; silver levered ETF AGQ powered higher into the last hour, while miners were flat-to-soft (PAAS basing, SVM/ASM/BTG lethargic). Copper-heavy names (SCCO, TGB) sagged late; ALB tried to stabilize after a mid-day flush.
- Retail/Consumer Discretionary: Constructive breadth. Retail ETF RETL bid late; URBN/ANF steady-to-higher; W built higher highs before a slight drift; ARHS trended persistently; auto retail cohort firm (LAD, GPI, AN all green).
- Crypto/Blockchain: Faded after morning strength (WULF, BITF, WGMI, MSTR down to flat). Tape-sensitive, not favored for long swings unless fresh momentum returns.
- Financials: Bank/Broker weak on the day’s tape shock (JPM’s intraday airpocket, COF, LPLA, AMP rolled). Caution on longs until stabilization.
- Industrials/Cap Equip: Mixed; URI/HRI/GWW/ROK largely range-bound with slight softness; POWL/MTZ eased.
- Airlines/Energy: UAL popped and partially retraced—watch for continuation above 107.30. Energy services mixed (PUMP steady, BORR flat, FANG soft).
Notable intraday trends/patterns:
– Persistent trend-up with higher highs and constructive pullbacks: FFIV, TSEM, ENTG, ARHS.
– Momentum pop with holding near highs: EVTL, LAD.
– Levered silver (AGQ) with late-day push—often leads a 1–3 day follow-through in precious metals when not immediately faded.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue up (relative-strength + constructive intraday structure):
– FFIV, TSEM, ENTG, ARHS, LAD, AGQ, EVTL, APP
Strongest bullish signals today:
– FFIV: clean trend day, higher highs/lows with orderly dips bought.
– TSEM: steady grind to session highs, buyers defended each pullback.
– ENTG: controlled staircase higher; closes near highs.
– AGQ: metals momentum into the close; potential 1–3 day continuation.
– ARHS/LAD: retail/auto retail relative strength vs. peers.
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Levels reflect today’s intraday pivots plus logical whole-number zones acting as near-term daily supply/demand until full 30-day context is provided. Use your daily chart to validate and adjust.
1) FFIV
– Supports (demand): 256.58, 255.36, 254.70
– Resistances (supply): 257.47, 258.90, 260.00
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Expect buy-the-dip behavior above ~255. If 257.5 reclaims/holds, look for 258.9 then 260 test. Failure to hold 255.3 opens a quick retest 254.7.
– 1–3 day swing targets: 257.5, 258.9, 260.8–261.5 (stretch)
– Preferred entries: 255.6–256.2 on a pullback; or momentum add on 257.5 reclaim with volume.
– Stop-loss ideas: Tight: 254.6; Medium: 253.9 (below demand shelf).
2) TSEM
– Supports: 122.24, 121.34, 120.90
– Resistances: 122.58, 123.00, 124.00
– 30-min outlook: Trend intact above 121.3–121.5. A push through 122.6–123 should invite momentum into 124. Lose 120.9 and the breakout risks a fade-to-range.
– 1–3 day targets: 123.0, 123.8–124.0, 125.2 (extension if semis stabilize)
– Entries: 121.6–122.0 pullback buy; or 122.6 breakout with rising volume.
– Stops: 120.85 (conservative), 121.25 (tighter, if buying pullback).
3) ENTG
– Supports: 92.20, 92.14, 91.83
– Resistances: 92.70, 93.00, 93.50
– 30-min outlook: Constructive grind; dips to ~92.2 repeatedly met with buyers. Over 92.7 opens 93/93.5. Loss of 91.8 would dull momentum.
– 1–3 day targets: 92.7, 93.2, 93.8–94.2
– Entries: 92.2–92.35 on dip; or 92.70 breakout with time/volume.
– Stops: 91.70 (beneath intraday base).
4) ARHS
– Supports: 10.86, 10.76, 10.69
– Resistances: 10.90, 11.00, 11.20
– 30-min outlook: Higher highs and closes strong; continued retail bid should carry it into 10.90–11.00. Above 11, look for 11.20 supply response.
– 1–3 day targets: 10.90, 11.05–11.10, 11.20–11.35
– Entries: 10.70–10.76 pullback to rising demand; or 10.90–10.92 break-and-hold.
– Stops: 10.62 (below demand cluster).
5) LAD
– Supports: 329.93, 329.00, 327.60
– Resistances: 331.49, 333.00, 335.00
– 30-min outlook: Auto retail group strong; if 329–330 continues to hold, expect sequences into 331.5 then 333. Lose 327.6 and momentum stalls.
– 1–3 day targets: 331.5, 333.0, 335.5
– Entries: 329.0–329.7 on dip; or 331.5 breakout add if volume expands.
– Stops: 327.30–327.50 (below recent swing low).
6) AGQ
– Supports: 121.98–122.18, 121.00, 120.25
– Resistances: 122.77, 123.50, 125.00
– 30-min outlook: Late-day momentum suggests continuation if 122.0–122.2 holds. Over 122.77, expect 123.5. Metals can be headline-sensitive—size accordingly.
– 1–3 day targets: 122.77, 123.50, 124.60–125.00
– Entries: 122.10–122.30 pullback; or 122.80 breakout with confirmation.
– Stops: 121.00 (beneath prior base).
7) EVTL
– Supports: 6.90, 6.86, 6.81
– Resistances: 6.97, 7.00, 7.20
– 30-min outlook: Momentum pop with holds near highs. A clean break/hold above 6.97–7.00 can squeeze to 7.20. Lose 6.81 and the move likely resets.
– 1–3 day targets: 6.97, 7.05–7.10, 7.20
– Entries: 6.88–6.92 pullback; or 7.00 opening range breakout continuation.
– Stops: 6.80–6.82.
8) APP
– Supports: 716.80, 716.12, 715.39
– Resistances: 719.82, 721.52, 723.00
– 30-min outlook: Intraday strength with shallow pullbacks; over 719.8 opens 721.5; sustained strength above 721.5 targets 723+. Breakdown below 715.4 weakens the setup.
– 1–3 day targets: 720.9, 721.5–722.5, 724.0–726.0
– Entries: 716.5–717.3 pullback; or 719.9/720 reclaim with volume.
– Stops: 715.20 (below demand shelf).
Risk Management and Notes
– Position sizing: favor 0.5–0.75 your typical unit on first entry; add only on confirmation (prior resistance turning into support).
– If the broader semi group (SOXL, AVGO, MU) continues to fade, tighten stops on TSEM/ENTG/APP and reduce targets.
– Metals: AGQ moves are amplified (2x). Use smaller size and wider stops relative to non-levered ETFs.
– Confirmation filter: For breakouts, require a 30-min close above the level and increasing volume vs. prior bar.
Data caveat
I emphasized the most recent 10-day behavior conceptually but only had today’s intraday window. If you share the last 30 daily bars or a 30-day 30-min file, I’ll firm up:
– True daily supply/demand zones (swing highs/lows, gaps).
– 10-day relative volume trends.
– ATR-based targets anchored to actual 14-day ATR.