Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed: 2025-11-04 11:30–14:00)
Note: The data provided is intraday 30-minute bars from today only. Without the last 30 daily candles, the analysis below emphasizes the current intraday momentum regime and key levels from today’s tape. Daily support/resistance and ATR-based targets are inferred from today’s ranges and round-number supply/demand zones.
- Energy/Refining led on strength:
- MPC and PBF trended higher through the session with higher highs and closes near the top of their intraday ranges. VIST pressed to new session highs into 14:00. AESI, however, lagged (persistent lower lows), showing divergence within energy services.
- Referenced tickers: MPC, PBF, VIST, AESI.
- Semiconductors/Hardware mixed, with selective leaders:
- COHR based above 130 with repeated 131 tests (accumulation look). FN launched a strong mid-day expansion (473 → 485 push) and held most gains. Large caps were softer: AMD bled lower most of the session; ARM faded after the open push; KLAC was range-bound.
- Referenced tickers: COHR, FN, AMD, ARM, KLAC, AXTI, TER.
- Financials were heavy:
- JPM, GS, COF, CB all faded or churned lower, suggesting near-term supply.
- Referenced tickers: JPM, GS, COF, CB.
- Healthcare mixed-to-flat:
- MCK held a bid and edged higher; CAH/HCA mostly churned. No upside momentum confirmation yet.
- Referenced tickers: MCK, CAH, HCA.
- Industrials/Electrical and Materials:
- POWL broke to fresh intraday highs late (relative strength). STLD (steel) trended down—materials were soft. TDG/FERG/WSM were mostly range-bound.
- Referenced tickers: POWL, STLD, TDG, FERG, WSM.
- Small-cap/high-beta momentum pockets:
- AXTI showed a strong push to 8.58 before pullback—watch for a flag resolution. TERN stabilized and stair-stepped off 16.7 lows. SCLX and DTCK were very volatile; liquidity risk is high.
- Referenced tickers: AXTI, TERN, SCLX, DTCK.
Read-through for short-term momentum (1–3 days): Energy and select semis exhibit accumulation; financials and some cyclicals show distribution. Expect follow-through higher most likely in energy leaders (MPC, PBF, VIST) and selective semi names (FN, COHR). Small-cap semi/bio (AXTI, TERN) can offer quick swing potential if they hold supports.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to move up:
– Strongest setups: FN, MPC, VIST
– Also constructive: COHR, PBF, AXTI, TERN
Stocks showing strong bullish signals:
– FN: Expansion day, held most of the gain; shallow pullbacks bought.
– MPC: Higher-highs sequence and close near highs; buyers defended 182s.
– VIST: Pressed to session highs into the close; energy bid intact.
– COHR: Tight consolidation over 130 with multiple 131 retests; potential breakout.
– PBF: Clean intraday uptrend; refining sympathy with MPC.
Individual Stock Analysis (levels/plan based on today’s intraday structure; targets blend nearby resistance and measured “intraday range” projections)
MPC
– Supports: 183.0–182.6 (intraday demand), 181.83 (session floor), 180.00 (round number)
– Resistances: 184.39/185.00 (intraday supply), 186.00, 187.20–187.50
– Next 2–3 days (30-min outlook): Prefer buy-the-dip patterns above 182.6; look for a 30–60 min higher low and reclaim of 184 to trigger a push into 185–186.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 184.9, 185.8, 187.2
– Entry ideas: 182.8–183.2 on pullbacks; add on reclaim/hold above 184
– Stop-loss: 181.7 (beneath session floor) or tighter 182.2 if using a quick-invalidation plan
PBF
– Supports: 34.80–34.70, 34.55, 34.20
– Resistances: 35.12–35.22, 35.50, 36.00
– Next 2–3 days: Momentum continuation if price holds 34.70–34.80 and reclaims 35.10s; 35.5 is the next magnet.
– Swing targets: 35.30, 35.75, 36.10
– Entry ideas: 34.80–34.95 pullbacks; alternative is 35.15 breakout with volume
– Stop-loss: 34.50 (below today’s demand); tighter: 34.68 if breakout entry
VIST
– Supports: 48.66, 48.55, 48.35
– Resistances: 49.07 (HOD), 49.50, 50.00
– Next 2–3 days: Look for a tight flag under 49 and a push through 49.07; as long as 48.5–48.6 holds, bias is up.
– Swing targets: 49.30, 49.75, 50.20
– Entry ideas: 48.70–48.85 on dip to support; or 49.10 breakout with expanding volume
– Stop-loss: 48.35 (beneath support shelf)
COHR
– Supports: 130.10–129.95, 129.45, 129.08
– Resistances: 131.00, 131.48, 132.50
– Next 2–3 days: Accumulation above 130 suggests a breakout attempt; sustained holds above 131 open 131.5–132.5.
– Swing targets: 131.20, 131.90, 132.80
– Entry ideas: 130.1–130.4 on dips; or through 131.05–131.20 with volume confirmation
– Stop-loss: 129.35 (below intraday higher-low zone)
FN
– Supports: 481.0–480.5, 478.8, 476.5
– Resistances: 484.25–485.02, 490.0, 495.0
– Next 2–3 days: Expect an A-B-C consolidation after the expansion; a higher-low above 480–481 sets up a squeeze through 485 toward 490.
– Swing targets: 485, 489.5, 494
– Entry ideas: 481–482 pullback buy; add on 485 break with strong volume
– Stop-loss: 477.9 (below the 478.8 pivot), or tighter 480.2 if aiming for quick continuation
AXTI
– Supports: 8.29–8.25, 8.19–8.20, 8.00
– Resistances: 8.45, 8.58 (session spike), 8.80
– Next 2–3 days: Watch for a bull flag resolution; hold above 8.20 and reclaim 8.45 to reopen 8.58 and a momentum extension.
– Swing targets: 8.45, 8.60, 8.80
– Entry ideas: 8.20–8.30 pullback entries; momentum add through 8.46–8.50
– Stop-loss: 7.98 (under round-number demand); consider tighter at 8.15 if liquidity is thin
TERN
– Supports: 17.10–17.00, 16.83, 16.71
– Resistances: 17.27–17.52, 17.80, 18.20
– Next 2–3 days: Buyers defended 16.8–17.0; a grind above 17.3 sets up tests of 17.5/17.8. Needs volume confirmation given biotech volatility.
– Swing targets: 17.50, 17.85, 18.20
– Entry ideas: 17.00–17.15 higher-low buys; breakout add over 17.30–17.35
– Stop-loss: 16.75 (below session pivot)
Additional notes and risk management
– Financials (JPM, GS, COF, CB) showed distribution; for long setups, wait for clear reclaim of intraday lower-highs or a change-of-character.
– Industrials/electrical (POWL) showed relative strength; if actively traded, similar continuation logic applies above 392–394 with support near 389.
– Micro/small caps (SCLX, DTCK, EVAX) are high risk and illiquid—use smaller size and hard stops.
– Because full 30-day daily data wasn’t provided, treat ATR-based targets as conservative projections anchored to today’s realized ranges and nearby supply/demand. Adjust if you can pull the 14-day ATR and daily swing pivots.