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Continuation Breakout Tuesday 2PM 10/14/2025

October 14, 2025 6 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Data window analyzed (EST): 2025-10-13 10:30 through 2025-10-14 14:00 on 30-minute bars as provided. Note: The dataset does not include full 30 days of daily candles; commentary is based on the supplied intraday snapshots and recent momentum behavior.
– Tone across groups:
– Industrials/Construction strong, broad-based bids: BLD (TopBuild) stair-stepped to new highs, MLM firmed, CAT grinded higher, TT held elevations. This suggests continued rotation into construction/building products and heavy equipment.
– Utilities/Power solid: CEG pushed toward session highs with expanding volume—defensive growth still in favor.
– Chemicals/Water quality bid: ECL continued higher into the bell—defensive staples catching flows.
– Healthcare/Biotech selective strength: VRTX and ALNY trended up; STOK showed range expansion and closed near highs. APLX, however, was a sharp intraday unwind—avoid catching knives.
– Payments steady: V and MA both advanced into/near highs—trend intact but not explosive.
– Defense/mission-critical steady bids: TDY, BWXT, CACI drifted higher—slow-money accumulation pattern.
– Energy mixed: TPL advanced, BTU flat-to-choppy, LEU faded, NPWR sideways; APLD sold off hard. Royalty/land and utilities outperformed coal/alt-power.
– Tech/AI bifurcated: SOUN broke out with real money and closed on highs; GOOG was more range-bound; EQIX (data centers/REIT) climbed.
– Metals/miners muted: GAU flat; IDR (gold) had spikes but thin.
– Pattern takeaways:
– Many leaders closed near session highs (BLD, SOUN, STOK, ECL, CEG, VRTX, visa/payments), a constructive sign for 1–3 day momentum continuation.
– Range expansions on above-average intraday volume (SOUN, STOK, BLD) are the clearest long setups into the next 2–3 sessions.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Highest-probability upside continuation: SOUN, STOK, BLD, CEG, ECL, VRTX.
– Also on watch (speculative momentum): LAES.
– Strongest bullish signals today:
– SOUN: Closed at high of day (21.10) with persistent buy pressure and rising volume—classic “close strong, open strong” setup.
– BLD: Stair-step breakout with higher highs/lows each 30-min bar into a fresh high—momentum leadership in construction.
– STOK: Clear trend day, higher highs, expanding range late—biotech momentum.
– ECL, CEG, VRTX: Quality, controlled uptrends, closing near highs—continuation-friendly.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Supports/resistances are derived from the provided 30-min pivots and nearby psychological levels; validate against your daily chart for higher-timeframe supply/demand. ATR-based targets depend on your platform’s current ATR(10–14) reading; I provide level-based targets and an ATR formula you can plug in.

1) SOUN
finviz dynamic chart for  SOUN
– Key support (daily zones approximated via intraday pivots):
– 20.70 (13:30 bar low zone)
– 20.57 (12:30 close/VWAP zone)
– 20.43/20.41 (12:00–13:00 demand), then 20.16 (session pivot low)
– Key resistance:
– 21.10 (today’s high)
– 21.50 (psych level/extension)
– 21.90–22.00 (round number supply)
– Next 2–3 day 30-min outlook:
– Preferred path: Early pullback toward 20.85–20.70, then trend resumption through 21.10. Continuation targets 21.50, then 21.90–22.00 if momentum persists.
– 1–3 day targets:
– Level-based: 21.50, 21.90–22.00
– ATR add-on: Entry + 0.8–1.0x your ATR(14). Example: if ATR ~1.8, target bands ~21.9–22.7 from a 21.10 breakout.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 20.85–20.70
– Breakout buy above 21.12 with volume confirmation; add on a 21.10 retest hold.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 20.40 (beneath 12:00–12:30 demand)
– Wider/swing: 20.15 (below session pivot low)

2) STOK
finviz dynamic chart for  STOK
– Key support:
– 33.54 (14:00 bar low)
– 33.07 (13:00 close)
– 32.55 (12:30 close), then 32.25 (12:00 close)
– Key resistance:
– 33.80 (session high)
– 34.00 (round)
– 34.50 (measured extension)
– Next 2–3 day 30-min outlook:
– Trend day follow-through favored. Look for a shallow dip to 33.55–33.10 and another push to and through 33.80.
– 1–3 day targets:
– Level-based: 34.00, 34.50
– ATR add-on: Breakout base + 0.6–0.8x ATR for partials; trail remainder.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 33.55–33.10
– Breakout buy >34.02 on volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 33.05
– Swing: below 32.50

3) BLD
finviz dynamic chart for  BLD
– Key support:
– 438.92
– 436.68
– 434.13
– Key resistance:
– 439.40–440.00 (immediate supply)
– 442.00
– 445.00
– Next 2–3 day 30-min outlook:
– Expect an opening test of 438.9–437.5; if buyers defend, push through 440 with momentum. Higher highs likely while industrials remain bid.
– 1–3 day targets:
– 442.0, 445.0; stretch 447–448 if group flows persist
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 437.5–438.9
– Breakout buy >440.10 with volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 436.50
– Swing: 434.00 (below prior step)

4) CEG
finviz dynamic chart for  CEG
– Key support:
– 391.80–391.31
– 389.65
– 388.44
– Key resistance:
– 392.56
– 392.92 (session high)
– 395.00 (psych/extension)
– Next 2–3 day 30-min outlook:
– Range breakout setup. A controlled dip to 391.8–391.3 that holds likely resolves higher through 392.9 into 394–395.
– 1–3 day targets:
– 393.5, 395.0
– ATR add-on: Breakout + 0.5–0.7x ATR for partials
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 391.8–391.3
– Breakout buy >392.95 with volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 389.90
– Swing: 388.40

5) ECL
finviz dynamic chart for  ECL
– Key support:
– 273.55
– 272.59
– 271.24
– Key resistance:
– 273.94 (session high)
– 275.00
– 276.00–276.20
– Next 2–3 day 30-min outlook:
– Defensive trend-up. Small dip into 273.2–272.9 likely finds buyers; push through 273.94 opens 275+.
– 1–3 day targets:
– 275.0, 276.0–276.2
– ATR add-on: +0.4–0.6x ATR above 274 base
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 273.2–272.9
– Breakout buy >274.00 with rising volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 272.40
– Swing: 271.20

6) VRTX
finviz dynamic chart for  VRTX
– Key support:
– 415.01
– 413.57–413.32 (intra demand zone)
– 412.47
– Key resistance:
– 415.55 (session high)
– 417.00
– 418.50
– Next 2–3 day 30-min outlook:
– Quality bid continuation. Expect a retest of 414–413.6; hold there and a push through 415.55 targets 417 then 418.5.
– 1–3 day targets:
– 417.0, 418.5
– ATR add-on: +0.4–0.6x ATR above 415 base
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 414.2–413.8
– Breakout buy >415.60 on uptick breadth
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 412.90
– Swing: 412.40

Speculative Momentum (higher risk)
LAES
finviz dynamic chart for  LAES
– Key support: 7.50, 7.27, 7.17
– Key resistance: 7.69 (HOD), 7.90, 8.10–8.20
– Outlook: If 7.50 holds on a morning dip, a retake of 7.69 can squeeze toward 7.90–8.10. Thin and volatile—size accordingly.
– Entries: 7.52–7.45 pullback or >7.70 breakout
– Stop: 7.24 (tight), 7.15 (swing)

Risk Management and Execution Notes
– For breakouts, insist on volume confirmation and a quick retest that holds. If retest fails, exit and re-evaluate at the next support zone.
– ATR framework: Set first partial near local resistance; set secondary target at Entry + 0.5–1.0x your current daily ATR(14). Trail remainder under higher lows on the 30-min.
– Position sizing: Favor SOUN/BLD/STOK for momentum, size smaller in LAES due to volatility and liquidity risk.

Names to avoid for longs short term until they reset
– APLX: Heavy intraday liquidation and lower highs; needs a multi-bar base first.
– APLD: Persistent sell pressure; wait for a higher low and reclaim of prior breakdown level.
– VELO/NEGG: Faded intraday; no confirmation yet.

If you want me to add more tickers from the list into the individual plan (e.g., MA, V, EQIX, MAR), I can extend with levels, entries, and stops.

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