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Swing Idea

Continuation Breakout Tuesday 1PM 9/23/2025

September 23, 2025 4 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (data window: 2025-09-23 10:00–13:00 ET)

  • Scope note: The uploaded data covers intraday 30-minute bars for 2025-09-23 only. I emphasize the most recent 10 bars where available and use today’s range/volume expansion as the proxy for short-term momentum and likely 1–3 day follow-through.
  • Tech/Growth bid: Strong, led by APP, ZS, AXON with persistent higher highs and constructive 30-min closes. Semis mixed: MU flat, ASML/LRCX faded mid-day. Satellite/space/geo-intel saw demand: PL and TSAT up; GSAT mostly range-bound.
  • Financials soft: AXP, JPM, GS, LPLA, BX all drifted lower intra-day on steady supply; no evidence of accumulation yet.
  • Healthcare mixed: AXON strong trend day; UTHR range; UNH faded hard into the last bar.
  • Industrials/Materials: CAT pulled back; METC (coal) steadily stair-stepped higher. UAMY (antimony) showed sustained high relative volume and higher highs—accumulation tone.
  • Small-cap momentum pockets: PSKY, MITQ, USAR, RAPP, ADGM printed range expansions with volume increasing on pushes—fertile ground for 1–3 day continuation if morning dips hold.
  • China ADRs mixed/soft: BABA bled lower; CYD choppy.

Ticker Performance Prediction (2–3 day bias)

  • Likely upside continuation: AXON, APP, ZS, PL, METC, MITQ.
  • Secondary watchlist (continuation possible, thinner liquidity/higher risk): UAMY, PSKY, USAR, RAPP, ADGM, NVNO.

Individual Stock Analysis (targets based on 30-min structure and typical 1–2x today’s range)

AXON (Axon Enterprise)

  • Structure: Clean trend day. Higher lows each bar, close near HOD; expanding volume into 13:00 bar.
  • Support (S): 785.0–785.5 (last breakout base), 780.0, 776.8/776.0 (midday base).
  • Resistance (R): 792.2 (session high), 800.0 (psych), 810.0 (extension).
  • Next 2–3 days (30-min playbook):

– Break-and-go: Through 792 → 796 → 802–805; stretch 810 if momentum persists.
– Buy-the-dip: Hold above 785 on morning retest → grind to 800+.

  • 1–3 day targets: 796, 805, 815.
  • Entry ideas:

– Breakout add: 792.5–793 with momentum.
– Pullback: 785–786 with reversal candle.

  • Stop-loss: 779.8 (beneath 780 pivot) or swing stop 775.8 (beneath AM higher low).
  • finviz dynamic chart for AXON

APP (AppLovin)

  • Structure: Series of higher highs/lows; buyers defended 666–667 repeatedly.
  • S: 666.2–666.5, 663.4, 660.7.
  • R: 670.2 (HOD), 673.5, 680.0.
  • Next 2–3 days:

– Above 670 → 673–675 → 680–684 zone.
– Pullbacks to 666 that hold should coil for a second push.

  • Targets: 673, 680, 684–687.
  • Entries:

– BO: 670.3–671 with volume.
– PB: 666.5–667 reclaim.

  • Stop: 662.9 (tight) or 660.4 (beneath morning low).
  • finviz dynamic chart for APP

ZS (Zscaler)

  • Structure: Steady push, higher highs into 293.6; constructive closes near highs.
  • S: 291.6–291.7, 290.96, 290.27 (session low).
  • R: 293.6 (HOD), 295.0, 297.0.
  • Next 2–3 days:

– Hold 291.5–292 → retest 293.6; break → 295–296.5.
– Failure to hold 291 risks quick tag of 290.3 then bounce try.

  • Targets: 294.5, 296.5, 297.9–298.5.
  • Entries:

– PB: 291.6–292 with a higher low.
– BO: 293.7–294 with rising 30-min volume.

  • Stop: 289.9–290.2 (beneath session pivot).
  • finviz dynamic chart for ZS

PL (Planet Labs)

  • Structure: Accumulation tone; steady climb, defended 11.90; HOD 12.13.
  • S: 12.00/11.95, 11.90, 11.74 (AM base).
  • R: 12.13 (HOD), 12.30, 12.50.
  • Next 2–3 days:

– Above 12.13 → 12.30 → 12.50. If morning dip, watch 11.95–12.00 hold for curl.

  • Targets: 12.30, 12.50, 12.75 (stretch if range expands).
  • Entries:

– PB: 11.95–12.02 reclaim.
– BO: 12.15–12.18 with uptick in volume.

  • Stop: 11.82 (beneath 11.90 shelf) or swing stop 11.70.
  • finviz dynamic chart for PL

METC (Ramaco Resources)

  • Structure: Higher lows and closes; buyers defended 31 area; HOD 31.71.
  • S: 31.00–31.10, 30.88–30.76 (midday shelf), 30.61 (session low).
  • R: 31.56, 31.71 (HOD), 32.00.
  • Next 2–3 days:

– Hold 31 → test 31.56/31.71; break unlocks 32–32.3.

  • Targets: 31.70, 32.30, 33.00 (if coal momentum persists).
  • Entries:

– PB: 31.00–31.10 with reversal.
– BO: 31.72–31.80 continuation.

  • Stop: 30.58–30.65 (beneath session low cluster).
  • finviz dynamic chart for METC

MITQ (Moving iMage Tech)

  • Structure: Late-day expansion; big 30-min volume spike; topped 1.66 then closed 1.565—classic momentum flag setup risk-on.
  • S: 1.50, 1.47, 1.44.
  • R: 1.60, 1.66 (HOD), 1.75.
  • Next 2–3 days:

– Early push through 1.60–1.66 can squeeze to 1.72–1.75; above that 1.85–1.90 possible if volume persists.
– Healthy dip/curl at 1.50–1.53 keeps structure intact.

  • Targets: 1.66, 1.75, 1.90.
  • Entries:

– PB: 1.50–1.53 with higher-low confirmation.
– BO: 1.61–1.62 add, 1.66 break.

  • Stop: 1.43–1.44 (beneath base). Use smaller size—thin, volatile.
  • finviz dynamic chart for MITQ

Honorable mentions (monitor for continuation; similar playbooks, tighter risk):

  • UAMY: High RVOL trend above 7.90; holds over 7.75 keeps 8.00–8.15 in play. finviz dynamic chart for UAMY
  • PSKY: Strong range expansion day; holds 20.40–20.60 → 20.85–21.20. finviz dynamic chart for PSKY
  • USAR: Stair-step to 17.42; above 17.50 → 17.80–18.00. finviz dynamic chart for USAR
  • RAPP: Expansion to 27.94 then orderly pullback; reclaim 27.50 → 27.90–28.40. finviz dynamic chart for RAPP

Risk notes

  • The dataset lacks full 10–30 day context; plans are derived from today’s 30-min structure, relative volume, and typical momentum continuation behavior.
  • For small caps (MITQ, UAMY, PSKY, USAR, RAPP, ADGM, NVNO), liquidity and slippage can be material; size down, demand confirmation on breaks, and respect stops.
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