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Continuation Breakout Tuesday 1PM 11/18/2025

November 18, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range analyzed: 2025-11-18 10:00–13:00)

Note: The data provided are intraday 30-minute bars from today. I emphasize the last 10 trading days conceptually by referencing obvious multi-day supply/demand pivots (round numbers and prior reaction areas widely watched on daily charts). Please confirm exact 10-day highs/lows on your daily chart.

  • Healthcare/Biotech leadership: Broad mid-day risk-on across therapeutics and tools. Small/mid-cap biotech momentum stood out: ARVN stair-stepped higher with expanding volume; STOK broke out toward 29.20; TARA pushed through 6.00 toward 6.23; RIGL trended to new session highs near 45.40. Large-cap/mega-cap held firm: REGN probed 720.9; BIIB pushed 169; LLY was range-bound but constructive; INCY steadied near 105. Life-science tools/med-tech also bid: DHR reclaimed 224–225; BDX grinded up toward 193.9.
  • Industrials/Materials constructive: VMC advanced into 283+; CMI reclaimed and held 466–468; TDG stayed firm ~1358. Tape suggests continued dip-buying in higher-quality industrials.
  • Insurance mixed: CB/CI muted-to-firm; AJG saw a mid-day drawdown (260.6 → 257.2) then a tepid bounce—relative laggard within the group.
  • Energy/coal and other cyclicals: HCC chopped; COKE (staples) firm but slow; micro/small-caps SPRU, RPID, SLDB, CCHH had momentum but liquidity is thin—expect higher slippage and headline risk.

Notable intraday patterns
– Range expansions at/above obvious multi-day pivots: STOK >29, TARA >6, REGN testing 720–721, DHR into 225.
– Persistent higher-lows + volume confirmation in select small/mids (ARVN, TARA, STOK, RIGL).
– Large-caps holding near HODs while volumes stayed respectable (REGN, DHR, BDX), a constructive breadth tell for follow-through.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

Likely to rise:
– Strongest bullish momentum/continuation setups: STOK, TARA, ARVN, RIGL
– Quality break/hold candidates: DHR, REGN, VMC, BDX

Rationale: All eight show intraday higher-highs/higher-lows into mid-day with tests/reclaims of well-watched pivots (6.00 on TARA, 29 on STOK, 14 on ARVN, 45 on RIGL, 225 on DHR, 720 on REGN, 283 on VMC, 193.5–194 on BDX). That favors 1–3 day momentum follow-through if supports hold.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Supports/resistances include today’s intraday structure and nearby round-number supply/demand areas typically visible on the daily. ATR-based targets are given as typical momentum/extension bands; refine with your 14-day ATR.

1) STOK
– Supports: 27.88; 27.63 (session low); 27.80–27.85 zone
– Resistances: 28.26; 29.20 (HOD/expansion); 30.00 (psychological)
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Above 28.00 VWAP-reclaim and holding higher lows, expect a push/flag through 28.26 → 29.20; a clean hold over 29 opens 29.80–30.50 in 1–3 days.
– Swing targets: T1 29.20 (R1); T2 29.80; T3 30.50 (roughly a 1–1.5x daily move for a $28–29 stock).
– Entries: 28.05–28.20 pullback buy; secondary add 27.85–27.90 on a wick reclaim.
– Stop-loss: 27.58 (below 27.63 session low) or a hard stop 27.45 if liquidity is thin.
finviz dynamic chart for  STOK

2) TARA
– Supports: 5.99–6.00; 5.74–5.75; 5.70
– Resistances: 6.14–6.19; 6.23 (HOD); 6.50 (round/next supply)
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Holding 6.00 on dips favors continuation into 6.19–6.23; sustained acceptance >6.23 targets 6.40–6.50, then 6.75–6.80 stretch if momentum persists.
– Swing targets: T1 6.23; T2 6.50; T3 6.80.
– Entries: 6.02–6.06 first pullback; 5.90–5.95 deeper buy-the-dip if flush/quick reclaim occurs.
– Stop-loss: 5.84 (beneath demand) or tight risk 5.89 if trading with size.
finviz dynamic chart for  TARA

3) ARVN
– Supports: 13.92; 13.54–13.55; 13.31
– Resistances: 14.10–14.16; 14.25–14.30 (next supply zone); 14.50 (round/overhead)
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Rising lows + volume through mid-day. Above 14.00, look for grind to 14.16 and a test of 14.25–14.30. A strong close >14.30 opens 14.50–15.00 over 1–3 days.
– Swing targets: T1 14.16; T2 14.40–14.50; T3 14.90–15.00 if small-cap momentum broadens.
– Entries: 14.00–14.05 retest; add near 13.92 if tagged and reclaimed.
– Stop-loss: 13.78 (below 13.92 cluster) or conservative 13.48 (beneath early base).
finviz dynamic chart for  ARVN

4) RIGL
– Supports: 44.60–44.63; 44.04–44.05; 43.91
– Resistances: 45.26–45.40 (HOD zone); 45.80; 46.50 (prior supply/round)
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Strong intraday trend. Holding 44.60 on dips should fuel a retest of 45.26–45.40; a clean break/hold above 45.40 projects 45.80, then 46.50 in 1–3 days.
– Swing targets: T1 45.40; T2 45.80; T3 46.50–47.50 (stretch if sector stays hot).
– Entries: 44.65–44.75 first buy; 44.10–44.20 only if a quick flush/VWAP reclaim.
– Stop-loss: 43.78 (below 43.91) to avoid chop; tighter risk 44.35 if scalping.
finviz dynamic chart for  RIGL

5) DHR
– Supports: 222.62; 222.19–222.24; 220.71
– Resistances: 223.82; 224.84–225.03; 226.50 (upper-band/next supply)
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Break-and-hold behavior above 224 favors tests of 224.84–225.03; sustained acceptance >225 opens 226.50, then 228.00 as a 1–2 day extension in a firm tape.
– Swing targets: T1 225.00; T2 226.50; T3 228.00.
– Entries: 223.20–223.40 pullback to rising support; secondary 222.70–222.90 on dip-and-reclaim.
– Stop-loss: 221.90 (below the 222 shelf) or wider swing stop 220.40 (beneath session low).
finviz dynamic chart for  DHR

6) REGN
– Supports: 712.96; 712.63; 709.95
– Resistances: 718.96; 719.33; 720.88 (HOD/key supply); 725 (round/next daily zone)
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Flagging under 720–721. If buyers hold 713–715 on dips, a breakout through 719–721 targets 725 and potentially 732 over 1–3 days.
– Swing targets: T1 721; T2 725; T3 732.
– Entries: 714.5–715.5 pullback; add on 719 breakout-and-retest.
– Stop-loss: 709.2 (beneath 709.95) or tighter 712.0 if trading the breakout retest.
finviz dynamic chart for  REGN

7) VMC
– Supports: 280.57–280.95; 281.47; 280.15
– Resistances: 282.36; 283.18–283.43 (HOD band); 286.00 (daily supply/next figure)
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Constructive grind. Above 281.5–282, expect retest of 283.2–283.4; acceptance there opens 286 in 1–3 days.
– Swing targets: T1 283.20; T2 286.00; T3 289.00 if materials bid persists.
– Entries: 281.60–281.90 first buy zone; secondary 280.80–280.95 on controlled dip.
– Stop-loss: 279.90 (below base) or 280.45 if tighter risk needed.
finviz dynamic chart for  VMC

8) BDX
– Supports: 192.29–192.52; 191.95–192.00; 190.99
– Resistances: 193.54; 193.86–193.88 (HOD zone); 195.00 (round/next supply)
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Trend up with shallow dips. Holding >192.5 points to 193.5–193.9 retest; a clean daily close >193.9 sets up 195 within 1–3 days.
– Swing targets: T1 193.60; T2 194.80–195.00; T3 196.50–197.00.
– Entries: 192.70–192.90 on pullback; 192.10–192.30 as a secondary buy near support.
– Stop-loss: 191.70 (beneath support confluence) or conservative 190.80.
finviz dynamic chart for  BDX

Notes and risk management
– Liquidity: Small-caps like TARA, ARVN, RIGL, STOK can move quickly with slippage; use smaller size and let the levels come to you.
– Confirmation: Given only today’s intraday was provided, confirm these levels against your daily/10-day charts (especially the higher resistance targets and ATR sizing).
– Timing: For momentum continuations, look for morning pullbacks to support with higher-low confirmation on the 30-min, or breakout-and-retest entries at the noted resistances.
– Exits: Scale at T1/T2; trail to last higher-low on 30-min once T1 hits.

If you want, send the 30-day daily candles or 14-day ATRs and I’ll tighten the daily zones/targets further.

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