Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed)
– Data window provided: 2025-10-21, primarily 11:00–13:00 EST (ONCO and AZULQ include earlier prints).
– Note: 30-day and 10-day daily aggregates weren’t included, so the read is derived from 30-minute intraday momentum and volume skew. Levels are anchored to today’s 30-min structure and obvious round-number supply/demand. Validate against your daily chart.
Sector/industry takeaways from today’s 30‑min action
– Consumer/discretionary retail and home-related names showed relative strength:
– Specialty retail: BOOT stair-stepped higher with higher highs/lows and firm closes near the highs.
– Home improvement/distributors: LOW and FERG held tight ranges with a mild upward drift; IBP ripped on a high-volume 30-min surge then flagged.
– Industrials/capital equipment were soft to mixed:
– Weak to flat: HUBB, WSO, ROK, URI all faded off morning levels and closed their 30-min bars near the mid/low of their ranges.
– Transports: FDX churned in a narrow band (no decisive momentum).
– Tech split:
– Hardware/Auto-ID: ZBRA trended up with persistent bids.
– Software: MDB remained heavy intraday, only a modest bounce late.
– Power electronics: VICR firmed and finished near the highs of this window.
– Biotech mixed:
– MDGL bled lower throughout the session; ONCO had a sharp intraday spike then retraced (speculative tape).
– Energy royalty: TPL faded after a brief pop; liquidity remains thin mid-day.
– Micro/illiquid: AZULQ thin and choppy around $0.60—more noise than signal.
Notable intraday patterns
– Relative-strength rotation toward retail/home-related (BOOT, IBP, LOW, FERG).
– Heavy-capex industrials (URI, ROK) underperformed; electrical equipment suppliers (HUBB, WSO) also drifted.
– Breakout candidates closed near their session highs with constructive pullbacks and/or rising 30‑min participation (BOOT, IBP, ZBRA, VICR).
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 sessions)
Most constructive for upside continuation:
– Stronger bullish signals: BOOT, IBP, ZBRA
– Secondary/steady setups: VICR, FERG, LOW
Caution/avoid for long side near term: TPL, HUBB, WSO, URI, ROK, MDGL, MDB; ONCO only for high-risk, low-float momentum scalps.
Individual Stock Analysis (30‑min chart anchored; validate on daily for confluence)
Note on targets: Initial targets align with nearby resistance and modest extensions consistent with typical 1–3 day swings. If you track a 14‑day ATR, size the second/third targets to ~0.8–1.5% of price for larger caps and 1.5–3% for mid/smaller caps.
BOOT (Boot Barn)
– Rationale: Clean intraday uptrend; multiple higher highs; strong close near HOD.
– Key supports: 192.75; 192.06; 190.12–189.78 zone
– Key resistances: 193.48 (HOD); 195.00 (round); 196.50 (extension)
– 2–3 day outlook: Prefer brief dip/flag >192 that resolves over 193.50 for a push into mid‑195s. If momentum persists, 196–197 possible.
– Entries:
– Breakout: 193.55–193.70 on volume expansion, or a retest/hold above 193.20 after breakout.
– Pullback: 192.10–192.30 with a higher low on 5–15 min and buyers stepping in.
– Stops:
– Tight: below 191.70 (beneath 30‑min swing);
– Looser swing: below 189.60 (beneath demand zone).
– Targets (1–3 days): 194.50; 195.80; stretch 196.80–197.20
IBP (Installed Building Products)
– Rationale: Strong 12:00 bar with outsized volume, then orderly pullback—bull flag potential above 269–270.
– Key supports: 269.77; 269.26; 268.24
– Key resistances: 271.78; 272.05 (intraday HOD); 273.50
– 2–3 day outlook: Hold above 269.5 and reclaim 271.8–272.1 = continuation toward 273.5 then mid‑275s.
– Entries:
– Breakout: 272.10–272.30 with expanding volume; add on retest of 271.8 holding.
– Pullback: 269.40–269.80 with reversal candle and uptick in bid.
– Stops:
– Tight: below 268.10;
– Looser: below 267.40 (room under pullback base).
– Targets (1–3 days): 273.40; 275.20; stretch 276.80–277.50
ZBRA (Zebra Technologies)
– Rationale: Persistent 30‑min trend up; series of higher lows; buyers active into the close of the window.
– Key supports: 306.71; 305.62; 305.39
– Key resistances: 307.86; 308.17; 310.00
– 2–3 day outlook: Over 307.90 sustains into 309+; if 308.20 clears with volume, 310 handle test likely.
– Entries:
– Breakout: 308.00–308.20 on volume; add on hold above 307.90.
– Pullback: 306.80–307.00 with a higher low and reclaim of VWAP.
– Stops:
– Tight: below 305.40;
– Looser: below 304.80.
– Targets (1–3 days): 309.50; 311.20; stretch 313.00
VICR (Vicor)
– Rationale: Firm session, closing near highs of this intraday window; testing 65 area with successive pushes.
– Key supports: 64.11; 64.06; 64.03
– Key resistances: 64.90; 65.16–65.21; 65.50
– 2–3 day outlook: Hold above 64.40 and break/hold 65.20 = run toward mid‑65s to high‑65s; failure back below 64.00 invalidates.
– Entries:
– Breakout: 65.25–65.35 with volume; add on hold above 65.10.
– Pullback: 64.20–64.40 with a higher low and reclaim of 64.60.
– Stops:
– Tight: below 63.95;
– Looser: below 63.70.
– Targets (1–3 days): 65.80; 66.40; stretch 66.90
FERG (Ferguson)
– Rationale: Tight constructive range with mild upward bias; multiple support tags holding 245.8–246.1.
– Key supports: 245.73; 245.85–245.91; 244.99
– Key resistances: 246.50–246.65; 247.00; 248.00
– 2–3 day outlook: A firm push through 246.65 that holds turns 247–248 achievable; fade risk if 245.7 breaks.
– Entries:
– Breakout: 246.70–246.80 with volume confirmation.
– Pullback: 245.90 ±0.05 with reversal signal; second chance at 245.75 if liquidity holds.
– Stops:
– Tight: below 245.60;
– Looser: below 244.85.
– Targets (1–3 days): 247.40; 248.20; stretch 249.20
LOW (Lowe’s)
– Rationale: Sideways-to-up day; defended 245.4–245.8 multiple times; nudging at 246.5.
– Key supports: 245.90–246.00; 245.58; 245.43
– Key resistances: 246.52; 247.00; 248.00
– 2–3 day outlook: Over 246.52, expect a methodical march to 247–247.7; larger move needs a daily catalyst.
– Entries:
– Breakout: 246.55–246.70 on volume; add on backtest of 246.50 holding.
– Pullback: 245.60–245.80 with tight reversal confirmation.
– Stops:
– Tight: below 245.35;
– Looser: below 245.00.
– Targets (1–3 days): 247.20; 247.90; stretch 248.80
Brief notes on names to fade/avoid long near term
– TPL: Lower highs, illiquid mid-day; prefer reclaim >947 then base before any long.
– HUBB/WSO/ROK/URI: Intraday drifts lower with closes near lows of their 30‑min bars—no clear reversal yet; wait for higher low + reclaim of prior 30‑min supply.
– MDB/MDGL: Heavy intraday; need basing and a reclaim of VWAP/afternoon highs to flip long.
– ONCO/AZULQ: Thin, headline-sensitive; only for experienced momentum scalpers with tight risk controls.
Risk management and execution cues
– Confirmation: For breakouts, insist on rising 30‑min volume and a hold above breakout pivots; avoid wicks-only breaches.
– Pullbacks: Let price probe support and look for higher-low structure before entry; place stops just below the most recent swing low or the lower edge of the zone.
– Sizing: If you track ATR, stagger targets so T1 ≈ 0.4–0.6x daily ATR, T2 ≈ 0.8–1.0x ATR, T3 only if momentum/market tailwind persists.
If you can share the full past 30/10 trading days (daily aggregates), I’ll refine levels with higher-timeframe confluence and adjust targets to the actual 14‑day ATRs.