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Continuation Breakout Tuesday 1PM 10/07/2025

October 7, 2025 6 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

  • Datetime range reviewed (EST): 2025-10-07 from 11:30 to 13:30. Note: Only intraday 30-minute bars for this window were provided; no 30-day daily history was included. The analysis below emphasizes the last 10 trading days from a momentum/continuation lens using today’s 30-minute price/volume behavior as the primary signal. Validate daily levels on your chart before execution.
  • Sector/industry read-through from today’s tape across the list:
    • Semis/AI/software bid: ARM (semis IP), TEM (healthcare AI), APPS (ad-tech/software), VERI (AI), and QMCO (storage/software) showed constructive intraday accumulation and higher highs/lows. ARM grinded higher toward 159 with steady volume; APPS closed at/near HOD; VERI stair-stepped intraday with persistent buyers; TEM built higher lows above 91.6. This complex looks net-bullish for 1–3 day momentum carries.
    • Space/communications: ASTS led with a high-volume push from 69s to 74s, printing consecutive higher highs on expanding volume—leadership-quality action for short-term continuation.
    • Defense/Industrial tech: KTOS trended up from 100 to 102.9 with controlled pullbacks—positive for continuation. Traditional industrials were soft: URI faded all window; POWL chopped and slipped; suggests rotation toward tech/AI/defense within this watchlist.
    • Energy: GPOR was tight and directionless—no clear momentum edge.
    • Healthcare services: UNH churned; UHS leaned lower—defensive healthcare was mixed to soft versus AI/tech strength. TLSA (biotech microcap) had a midday pop but is low-float/noisy.
    • Payments: MA was rangebound to slightly heavy intraday—no momentum edge.
    • Micro/low-float/high-volatility names: BQ unwound violently from 40s to mid-teens—oversold but still a falling knife, best avoided unless a clear reclaim pattern forms. GSIW and HLP showed speculative pops but come with elevated risk.

Noticeable patterns

  • Momentum breadth favored tech/AI/defense: ASTS, ARM, APPS, QMCO, TEM, KTOS led on higher highs and supportive intraday volume.
  • Traditional cyclicals lagged (URI, POWL), while mega-cap payments (MA) chopped. Healthcare plans/hospitals were neutral to weak (UNH, UHS).
  • Several small caps closed near session highs (APPS, QMCO, ARMG), a constructive tell for next-day gap-and-go or flag-and-go attempts.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

  • Most likely to rise: ASTS, ARM, KTOS, TEM, APPS, QMCO, ARMG, VERI.

– Strongest bullish signals: ASTS (volume-backed breakout), ARM (orderly uptrend with higher lows), QMCO (range expansion + heavy volume), APPS (HOD close), KTOS (controlled uptrend with clear pivots).

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Support/resistance (S/R) derived from today’s 30-min structure and obvious psychological levels. Validate against your daily chart to align with higher-timeframe supply/demand.

ASTS

  • Setup: High-volume breakout from 69s to 74s with continuation prints and tight consolidation near highs—bullish.
  • Support: S1 73.5–73.6; S2 71.4; S3 70.5.
  • Resistance: R1 74.2; R2 75.5; R3 77.0.
  • Next 2–3 days: If ASTS holds above 73.5 in the first hour, expect a push through 74.2 toward 75.5; sustained strength can extend to 77 by Day 2–3. Lose 73.5 early and a backfill to 71.4 is likely before attempting another leg.
  • Entries: Pullback buy 73.6–73.9 with strength returning; or breakout buy >74.25 with volume.
  • Stops: Tight: 72.9; Wider swing: 71.2 (below S2).
  • Targets (1–3 days): 75.5, 77.0, 78.5 if momentum persists.
  • finviz dynamic chart for ASTS

ARM

  • Setup: Intraday uptrend from 155s to ~159, bids on dips—constructive.
  • Support: S1 158.7; S2 157.3–157.4; S3 156.0.
  • Resistance: R1 159.1; R2 160.0; R3 162.0.
  • Next 2–3 days: Hold 158.7 early -> test 159.1/160; acceptance above 160 opens 162 by Day 2. Lose 157.3 and it likely revisits 156 for a stronger base.
  • Entries: Pullback 157.5–158.0; or breakout >159.2 with sustained bid.
  • Stops: 157.2 (pullback entry) or 155.7 (wider).
  • Targets: 160.2, 161.5–162.0, stretch 163.5.
  • finviz dynamic chart for ARM

KTOS

  • Setup: Trend day higher with higher lows; defended 101s multiple times.
  • Support: S1 102.2–102.3; S2 101.5; S3 100.5–100.0.
  • Resistance: R1 102.9; R2 104.0; R3 105.5.
  • Next 2–3 days: Above 102.2, look for a R1 break to 104 Day 1; 105–105.5 possible by Day 2–3 if dip-buying persists. Under 101.5, it likely tests 100–100.5 and rebuilds.
  • Entries: Buy 101.8–102.2 on dip holding; add on break >102.9.
  • Stops: 101.3 (tight), 100.4 (swing).
  • Targets: 103.8, 104.8, 105.5.
  • finviz dynamic chart for KTOS

TEM

  • Setup: Higher lows from ~90.5 to ~92.3, controlled pullbacks—accumulation vibe.
  • Support: S1 91.8–92.0; S2 91.6; S3 90.6.
  • Resistance: R1 92.6; R2 93.5; R3 95.0.
  • Next 2–3 days: Hold S1 off the open -> press 92.6; acceptance above R1 targets 93.5 Day 1–2 and possibly 95 Day 2–3. Lose 91.6 and a deeper retest toward 90.6 likely before reattempt.
  • Entries: Buy 91.8–92.0 on hold; or break >92.6 with volume.
  • Stops: 91.5 (tight), 90.4 (swing).
  • Targets: 93.3, 94.0, 95.0.
  • finviz dynamic chart for TEM

APPS

  • Setup: At/near HOD close; steady grind higher—good candidate for continuation.
  • Support: S1 6.83–6.84; S2 6.75; S3 6.69.
  • Resistance: R1 6.94; R2 7.10; R3 7.40.
  • Next 2–3 days: Above 6.83 early, look for a quick R1 test; a clean break can carry to 7.10 Day 1 and 7.25–7.40 Day 2–3. Lose 6.75 and it likely backfills to 6.69 before another attempt.
  • Entries: Dip 6.80–6.85; or break >6.95 with expansion.
  • Stops: 6.74 (dip entry), 6.68 (breakout fail guard).
  • Targets: 7.05, 7.25, 7.40.
  • finviz dynamic chart for APPS

QMCO

  • Setup: Range expansion from 12.6 to ~14.1 with heavy volume; closing near highs—bullish.
  • Support: S1 13.88–13.93; S2 13.62; S3 13.20.
  • Resistance: R1 14.09; R2 14.50; R3 15.00.
  • Next 2–3 days: Early hold above S1 favors a push through 14.09 toward 14.50 Day 1; if momentum persists, 15.00 Day 2–3. Failure to hold 13.62 risks a deeper pullback to 13.20.
  • Entries: Buy 13.70–13.90 on hold; add/breakout >14.10.
  • Stops: 13.45 (dip), 13.15 (swing).
  • Targets: 14.50, 14.90–15.00, 15.60 (stretch if volume remains elevated).
  • finviz dynamic chart for QMCO

ARMG

  • Setup: Tight stair-step higher; closed near HOD—constructive small-cap momentum.
  • Support: S1 13.68–13.71; S2 13.48–13.50; S3 13.24–13.28.
  • Resistance: R1 13.77; R2 14.00; R3 14.25.
  • Next 2–3 days: Hold S1 -> reclaim/clear R1 and probe 14.00 Day 1; 14.20–14.25 possible into Day 2. Lose 13.48 and it likely bases near 13.25 first.
  • Entries: Dip 13.50–13.60; or break >13.77 with follow-through.
  • Stops: 13.35 (dip), 13.45 (breakout fail).
  • Targets: 13.95–14.00, 14.20, 14.50 (stretch).
  • finviz dynamic chart for ARMG

VERI

  • Setup: Intraday higher lows and incremental higher highs; buyers defended 5.30s.
  • Support: S1 5.35; S2 5.31; S3 5.26.
  • Resistance: R1 5.42; R2 5.50; R3 5.70.
  • Next 2–3 days: Above 5.35, a breakout through 5.42 can send to 5.50 Day 1; 5.65–5.70 by Day 2–3 if volume builds. Lose 5.31 and it likely tags 5.26 before another attempt.
  • Entries: Dip 5.31–5.35 on hold; or break >5.42.
  • Stops: 5.25 (tight), 5.19 (swing).
  • Targets: 5.50, 5.65–5.70, 5.85.
  • finviz dynamic chart for VERI

Risk notes and exclusions

  • BQ: Despite potential for dead-cat bounces, the collapse from 40s to teens within hours makes it a high-risk trap. I’m sidelined until a clear reclaim/base forms on the 30-min chart.
  • URI, MA, UHS, UNH, GPOR, POWL, TRON, TLSA, HLP, GSIW: No clean 1–3 day momentum edge from this window; better opportunities elsewhere today.

Process reminders

  • Because only a short intraday slice was provided, daily S/R zones should be confirmed on your daily chart (prior swing highs/lows, gaps, 50/200-DMA confluence).
  • For entries on pullbacks, wait for buyers to show up (reclaim wicks on 5–15 min or a 30-min reversal candle) rather than blind bids at levels.
  • Size down on low-float names (QMCO, ARMG, VERI) and trail stops as they move into targets.
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