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Continuation Breakout Tuesday 1PM 1/20/2026

January 20, 2026 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2026-01-20 from 10:00 to 13:00 on 30-minute bars. Note: I did not receive 30 days of daily data, so the commentary and levels lean on today’s intraday price/volume behavior as a proxy for very near-term momentum; validate higher-timeframe zones on your daily chart.

  • Semis/Semi-cap equipment (ASML, AMD, MKSI, MPWR, MTSI, NVMI, FORM, ONTO, UCTT, SIMO): Mixed-to-soft into midday. Early strength in ASML faded to sideways (1342→1340), AMD rolled lower (238.8→235.6), ONTO trended down (221→216.5), NVMI faded (461→457.7), UCTT slipping after a pop (45.6→44.93). MKSI bounced late (211.17). Net read: semis cooled intraday after a morning push; continuation depends on a fresh breadth pickup.
  • Industrial/Infrastructure/Electrification (POWL, EME, FIX, STRL, DY, GNRC, ETN): Leadership pockets. POWL trended up with expanding volume and fresh HODs (to 434), EME/FIX holding elevated levels, STRL narrowed but stable, ETN faded modestly. GNRC gave back a strong rip. Net read: select power/electrification names (POWL) showing real accumulation.
  • Homebuilders/Manufactured housing/building products (CVCO, SKY, BLDR, LPX, NVR, MHO, CCS): Mixed. CVCO steady bid near 690+, SKY uptrend (94.7→95.4), CCS stair-stepped to new session highs (67.28), while BLDR and LPX leaked lower, NVR flat. Net read: rotation within the group; manufactured housing (CVCO/SKY) firmer than suppliers (BLDR/LPX).
  • Consumer discretionary/staples (COST, ULTA, EL, STZ, KRUS, PTLO, OLPX): COST trended cleanly higher to near HODs, ULTA stair-stepped up, PTLO/OLPX firmed intraday; EL/KRUS lagged. Net read: large-cap retail/beauty (COST/ULTA) showed steady accumulation.
  • Healthcare/Biotech/MedTech (TMDX, TYRA, IDXX, GPCR, IRWD, MRNA, GLUE, LENZ): Selective strength. TMDX pressed new highs then consolidated constructively; TYRA closed on HOD; IDXX steady; GPCR faded after a push. Net read: stock-picking tape with momentum breakouts (TYRA/TMDX) attracting buyers.
  • Energy/storage/materials (BE, EOSE, TGB): BE sustained momentum to the 152s after a 155 test; EOSE popped then faded; TGB range-bound. Net read: traders rewarded liquid momentum (BE) while high-beta storage (EOSE) chopped.

Noticeable patterns:
– Trend-day profiles with tightening pullbacks in COST, ULTA, POWL, TYRA, TMDX — indicative of dip-buyers absorbing supply.
– Semis broadly cooled midday; leadership narrowed to quality or power-electrification.
– Multiple tickers closing near session highs (TYRA, ULTA, COST, ALAB) — a constructive 1-2 day tell for continuation if opening drive holds.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2-3 days)

Most likely to continue up:
– POWL — higher highs + volume expansion; power/electrification bid.
– COST — clean trend day, closed near highs; buyers in control.
– ULTA — persistent grind up with higher lows.
– TYRA — closed at HOD; momentum setup for a round-number push.
– TMDX — breakout-and-hold behavior; shallow pullbacks bought.
– ALAB — reclaim and close near HOD after midday dip; buyers returned.

Strongest bullish signals: POWL, COST, TYRA.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note on targets: Daily ATR wasn’t provided; I’m using today’s intraday range as a conservative proxy for 1–3 day extensions, paired with obvious supply areas. Validate with your daily ATR.

1) POWL
– Key support: 431.00; 427.80; 426.76
– Key resistance: 434.00 (HOD); 436.50; 440.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Prefer continuation above 431–432. A clean push through 434 opens a measured leg into mid-436s and a test of 440 on follow-through. Failure back below 427.8 risks a deeper retrace toward 426.8/423.
– 1–3 day swing targets: 434.00; 437.5–438.5; 440–442
– Entry ideas: Pullback/retest 431.0–431.5 or stronger dip buy 428.0–429.0
– Stop-loss: Tight below 427.5; swing below 426.5 (invalidate the trend if lost)
finviz dynamic chart for  POWL

2) COST
– Key support: 966.20; 960.30; 955.27
– Key resistance: 969.90; 973.00; 980.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Trend continuation favored while holding 966. A break/hold above 969.9 targets low-973s, then a grind toward 978–980 if broader tape cooperates. Lose 960.3 and momentum cools back to 955 area demand.
– 1–3 day swing targets: 972; 975–978; 980–985
– Entry ideas: Buy 966–967 retests or 970 breakout with tape confirmation
– Stop-loss: Tight below 964.5; wider below 960.0
finviz dynamic chart for  COST

3) ULTA
– Key support: 674.50; 671.34; 668.55
– Key resistance: 675.98 (HOD); 680.00; 685.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Higher-lows structure intact. Through 676 opens 680, then 683–685. A dip to 672–674 that holds should be buyable; sub-668.5 would dent the setup.
– 1–3 day swing targets: 679–680; 683–685
– Entry ideas: Pullback buy 672–674; momentum add through 676 with volume
– Stop-loss: Below 668.5 (structure break)
finviz dynamic chart for  ULTA

4) TYRA
– Key support: 29.50; 29.26–29.32; 29.11
– Key resistance: 29.875 (HOD); 30.00; 30.50
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): HOD close favors a round-number test. Hold above 29.5 and clear 29.88 to press 30.00/30.20, then 30.50. Lose 29.11 and momentum stalls toward 28.9s.
– 1–3 day swing targets: 30.20; 30.80–31.00
– Entry ideas: Buy 29.50–29.60 pullbacks or break through 29.90 with confirmation
– Stop-loss: Below 29.10
finviz dynamic chart for  TYRA

5) TMDX
– Key support: 143.56; 142.21; 141.81
– Key resistance: 145.13 (session high); 146.00; 148.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Constructive consolidation just under highs. Reclaim/hold 144–145 sets a move into 146, then 147.5–148. Weakness below 142.2 risks a reset to 141.8.
– 1–3 day swing targets: 145.8; 147.5–148.5
– Entry ideas: Buy 143.6–144.0 on hold; add through 145.2 with volume
– Stop-loss: Below 141.7 (invalidates the near-term breakout structure)
finviz dynamic chart for  TMDX

6) ALAB
– Key support: 188.28; 187.31; 186.30
– Key resistance: 189.68 (HOD); 190.50; 192.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Late-session strength and near-HOD close suggest continuation if 188.3–189 holds. Through 189.68 targets 190.5 then 192. Failure back under 187.3 opens a fade to 186.3.
– 1–3 day swing targets: 190.5; 192–193; stretch 195 if momentum persists
– Entry ideas: Buy 188.5–189.0 retests; momentum add through 189.7
– Stop-loss: Below 186.8 (beneath demand pivot)
finviz dynamic chart for  ALAB

Risk notes and execution
– Because I only have today’s intraday sample, treat daily supply/demand references as provisional. Before execution, confirm these zones on your daily chart and your 14-day ATR to refine target distance and stop width.
– For breakouts, insist on volume expansion on the 30-min to avoid false triggers.
– If the broader market or sector leader (e.g., semis) weakens materially, favor the strongest trend structures (POWL/COST/ULTA) and reduce size on thinner names.

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