Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (window analyzed: 2025-12-09, 10:30–12:30 EST)
- Semiconductors: Mixed-to-positive. Strength in TSM (+ trend, volume expansion), ENTG firm, AAOI/AXTI showing small-cap optical/compound-semi momentum. KLAC softened, LRCX steady, AMD flat-to-choppy, SOXL sideways. Takeaway: Large-cap foundry strength (TSM) and niche optical/material names (AAOI, AXTI) are leading; equipment majors are more muted (KLAC/LRCX).
- Precious metals/silver complex: Strong. PAAS broke higher early and consolidated near highs; AGQ (2x silver) held most gains; BTG modestly bid. SVM flat, FSM/ASM eased mid-day. Takeaway: Trend remains up; shallow pullbacks are being bought.
- Crypto-levered: Early squeeze, then fade. BITF/WULF/WGMI and MSTR all cooled off after morning strength; momentum is headline/Bitcoin-driven and more fragile intraday.
- Retail/consumer: Selective strength. DBI led a strong push with heavy volume; KSS bid; W, URBN, ANF churned. Takeaway: Stock-picking market within retail; value/squeeze setups getting attention.
- Financials: Weak tape into mid-day. JPM and COF saw notable 12:30 EST pressure; AMP/LPLA flat. Takeaway: Caution in large-cap banks today.
- Software/Cyber/IT: Mixed. HUBS steady. CRWD faded from highs; IBM/ACN bled; EPAM rangebound. Takeaway: No broad leadership.
- Industrials/Equipment: Sideways. URI, HRI, MTZ and AIT mostly range-bound; IESC slightly heavy.
- Materials/energy: Lithium SGML trended higher; ALB steady bid. BORR firm early then flat.
Noticeable patterns
– Trend/volume expansion leaders: TSM, AXTI, AAOI, DBI, PAAS, SGML, APP, VERA.
– Faders after big morning runs: APLD, MSTR, crypto miners (BITF/WULF/WGMI).
– Defensive metals bid while financials softened mid-day.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue higher: TSM, AXTI, AAOI, DBI, PAAS, AGQ, SGML, APP, VERA.
Strongest bullish signals today: TSM (clean intraday breakout + volume), AXTI (higher highs, strong volume), PAAS/AGQ (sector tailwind + consolidation near highs), AAOI (range expansion), DBI (acceleration with sustained volume).
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Only intraday data was provided. Levels below are derived from today’s 30-min pivots and obvious round-number supply/demand zones; confirm on your daily chart before trading.
1) TSM
– Supports: 303.80–304.00; 301.90; 300.80
– Resistances: 304.50; 306.00; 308.00
– 30-min outlook: Prefer a pullback-and-hold above 304 for a push into 306, with possible extension to 308 if semis firm up.
– 1–3 day targets: 306; 308; stretch 310 if momentum persists.
– Entry ideas: Scale near 304–304.2 on a retest/hold; secondary add 302.0–302.2 if broad semis are strong.
– Stop: Tight swing stop 301.4; looser 300.7 to avoid shakeouts.
2) AXTI
– Supports: 14.62–14.78; 14.33–14.38; 14.07
– Resistances: 14.95–15.06 (session high zone); 15.30; 15.60
– 30-min outlook: Momentum continuation through 15.06 sets up measured legs toward 15.3/15.6; dips toward 14.6 should find buyers if trend intact.
– 1–3 day targets: 15.30; 15.60; 16.00 (if volume persists).
– Entry ideas: Buy 14.65–14.80 retest and/or 15.07 breakout with quick confirmation.
– Stop: 14.28 (beneath demand); breakout stop 14.78 (failed breakout).
3) AAOI
– Supports: 29.15; 28.74–28.80; 28.00
– Resistances: 30.49; 31.00; 32.00
– 30-min outlook: After range expansion to 30.49, look for a tight flag above 29.2–29.5 and a second leg through 30; quick pushes often revisit 31 next.
– 1–3 day targets: 30.50; 31.00; 32.00.
– Entry ideas: Accumulate 29.20–29.50 on higher lows; alternate is 30.05–30.20 breakout with volume.
– Stop: 28.70; more conservative 28.45 if sizing up.
4) DBI
– Supports: 6.42–6.50; 6.30; 6.16–6.21
– Resistances: 6.94–6.95; 7.10; 7.40
– 30-min outlook: Big-volume push to 6.95 followed by healthy pullback; a higher low above 6.42 opens a retest of 6.95 and continuation into low 7s.
– 1–3 day targets: 6.95; 7.10; 7.40.
– Entry ideas: 6.42–6.55 buy-the-dip with rising 30-min MAs; add on 6.96 break/hold.
– Stop: 6.28 initial; 6.14 last-ditch.
5) PAAS
– Supports: 47.72; 47.40; 46.70
– Resistances: 48.72; 49.00; 50.00
– 30-min outlook: Silver leadership intact. Holding 47.7–48 turns the tape into a stair-step grind; a clean 48.72 break targets 49–50.
– 1–3 day targets: 49.00; 49.80–50.00.
– Entry ideas: 47.7–48.0 pullback entries; momentum add above 48.75 with sector strength (check AGQ/spot silver).
– Stop: 47.35 swing; 46.95 if giving more room.
6) AGQ (leveraged 2x silver ETF; position size accordingly)
– Supports: 120.25; 118.70–118.90; 118.40
– Resistances: 121.85–122.10; 123.50; 125.00
– 30-min outlook: Consolidation near the highs suggests continuation if 121 holds; breakout through 122 can be fast given leverage.
– 1–3 day targets: 122.10; 123.50; 125.00.
– Entry ideas: 120.3–120.8 buy-the-dip; 122.00 breakout add.
– Stop: 118.90 (tighter); 118.40 (looser).
7) SGML
– Supports: 11.78–11.80; 11.55–11.60; 11.28–11.35
– Resistances: 12.01; 12.30; 12.80
– 30-min outlook: Steady uptrend; hold above 11.80 to revisit 12.00 and open 12.3+. Lithium peers (ALB) firm, which helps.
– 1–3 day targets: 12.00; 12.30; 12.80.
– Entry ideas: 11.80–11.90 pullbacks; 12.02 breakout on volume.
– Stop: 11.54 initial; 11.28 final line.
8) APP
– Supports: 716.1–716.5; 712.5; 707.1–707.1
– Resistances: 719.8–720.0; 722.5; 725.0
– 30-min outlook: Strong, orderly trend. As long as 716–717 holds, expect a grind through 720 with potential extension if software tape firms.
– 1–3 day targets: 720; 722.5; 725.
– Entry ideas: 716–717 pullback; add on 720 break with volume confirmation.
– Stop: 712.2 (tighter); 707.0 (structural).
9) VERA
– Supports: 43.65–43.70; 43.13–43.20; 42.87
– Resistances: 44.48; 45.00; 46.00
– 30-min outlook: Higher lows into 44s; a push through 44.48 likely tests 45 quickly; biotech momentum can be bursty.
– 1–3 day targets: 45.00; 46.00.
– Entry ideas: 43.6–43.9 pullback buys; 44.50 breakout on rising volume.
– Stop: 43.10; if wider, 42.85.
Additional contextual notes
– Semis breadth is mixed; favor names showing relative strength versus SOXL (TSM, AXTI, AAOI). If KLAC/AMD roll over hard, tighten risk on semi longs.
– Precious metals are leadership; if AGQ/spot silver push, PAAS tends to follow. Manage AGQ sizing due to 2x leverage and higher volatility.
– Banks showed a noon sell program (JPM/COF); continued weakness there could weigh on the indices—mind correlation on high-beta longs.
Risk management
– Use smaller initial size on breakout entries; add only after confirmation holds 1–2 bars.
– Respect stops placed just beyond obvious demand zones to avoid death-by-a-thousand-cuts.
– If the market puts in a risk-off close, consider taking partials into first targets and trail the rest under higher lows on the 30-min chart.