Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (based on provided data range)
– Data window analyzed (EST): 2025-11-06, 13:30–16:00 (30-minute bars).
– What’s moving:
– Semiconductors/Photonics: Mixed. MTSI printed a late-day range expansion and strong close near HOD (169.23), signaling relative strength. COHR faded into the close on elevated volume, signaling supply overhead.
– Financials: Exchanges more constructive than banks. CBOE stair-stepped higher into the bell; JPM churned and faded slightly late.
– Technology (large-cap): IBM gave back gains into the close; OSIS was choppy-to-soft, suggesting supply near 284.
– Consumer Discretionary/Online Travel: EXPE showed a significant post-close volatility expansion (likely catalyst), closing AH far above the RTH range—prime momentum candidate.
– Biotech: Breadth skewed weak to mixed. Multiple small/mid-caps faded into the close (GLUE, RCUS, PYXS, MBX, RCT), while quality/mid-cap names showed relative bid (NUVL firmed into a new intraday high; INBX flat-to-soft).
– Energy/Materials: AMR faded steadily; Real Estate (KW) also sold late.
– Noticeable intraday patterns:
– Rotation into high-beta winners with catalysts (EXPE) and select quality growth (MTSI, NUVL) late in the session.
– Broad small/micro-cap biotech selling pressure into the close.
– Defensive/mega-cap tech and banks were not leadership (IBM/JPM both faded).
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Most likely upside follow-through:
– MTSI (semi): Strong range expansion and close, rising volume.
– NUVL (biotech): Strong close near HOD with expanding volume.
– EXPE (online travel): Post-close breakout/ATR expansion; watch for continuation if gap holds.
– EVAX (speculative biotech): Intraday uptrend into close; thin and volatile but set up for a continuation pop if bids persist.
– CBOE (exchanges): Slow grinder; constructive higher-low structure but lower momentum than the above.
– Strongest bullish signals: MTSI, NUVL, EXPE.
Individual Stock Analysis (levels, setups, targets, risk)
Note: With only the provided intraday window, “daily” zones are anchored to today’s candle and key round-number supply/demand nearby.
1) MTSI
– Daily demand (support): 163.2–164.0 (session low/base), 164.5 (pullback pivot), 166.0–166.2 (late-session consolidation/top of prior range).
– Daily supply (resistance): 167.1 (15:30 close area), 169.23 (session HOD), 170.0–171.5 (round number/likely supply).
– 30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Base case: Early dip toward 166.2–166.8 gets bought, push to 168.5–169.5. A clean break/hold above 169.23 opens 171.5 then 173.0 within 1–3 days.
– Invalidation: Sustained trade back below 164.5 shifts momentum neutral-to-bearish.
– 1–3 day targets (use today’s range ~$6 as ATR proxy):
– PT1: 168.8–169.5
– PT2: 171.5
– PT3: 173.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 166.2–166.8
– Add on strength: Break/hold above 169.3
– Stop-loss:
– Moderate risk: 164.40
– Tighter risk: 165.60 (if entering near 166.5)
–
2) NUVL
– Daily demand (support): 94.4–94.9 (intraday demand cluster), 95.0 (round), 94.0 (buffer below session range).
– Daily supply (resistance): 96.1 (session HOD 96.085), 97.5 (round/likely supply), 99.0–100.0 (psychological).
– 30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Base case: Retest/hold 95.0–95.2, then push through 96.1 toward 97.2–98.0. Momentum extension could tag 99–100 if buyers persist.
– Invalidation: Lose 94.4 on volume and fail to reclaim quickly.
– 1–3 day targets:
– PT1: 96.6–97.2
– PT2: 98.0
– PT3: 99.5–100.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 95.0–95.3
– Breakout add: 96.15–96.30 on hold
– Stop-loss:
– 94.35 (beneath demand)
–
3) EXPE
– Context: Post-close expansion to 258.8 with AH close near 239.8—catalyst-driven. Expect elevated volatility and gappy trade.
– Daily demand (support): 220.0–222.5 (RTH resistance turned support), 228.0–232.0 (gap-control zone), 239.0–240.0 (AH close/acceptance line).
– Daily supply (resistance): 245.0, 250.0–252.0 (round/probable supply), 258.8 (AH spike high).
– 30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Scenario A (gap-hold continuation): Hold above 232–235 on open → trend to 245–250 day 1; if 250 holds, 252–258.8 over 1–3 days.
– Scenario B (gap-fill then go): Flush into 228–232 gets quickly reclaimed → squeeze back toward 240–245.
– Invalidation: Sustained loss of 222–224 turns it into a full gap-fill risk-off setup.
– 1–3 day targets:
– PT1: 245
– PT2: 250–252
– PT3: 258–260 (if momentum persists)
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 228–232 or 235–236 with confirmation
– Breakout add: 245.5–246 on hold
– Stop-loss:
– Below 222–224 (wide, catalyst-adjusted)
– Tighter tactical: Below 235 if using a momentum entry
–
4) EVAX (speculative)
– Daily demand (support): 6.13–6.18, 6.03 (session low), 5.90 (round/air pocket protection).
– Daily supply (resistance): 6.28 (HOD), 6.40–6.50 (nearby supply band), 6.75 (extension).
– 30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Base case: Hold 6.15–6.22, grind to 6.40–6.55; a clean move above 6.55 could tag 6.70–6.75.
– Invalidation: Lose 6.03 with increased volume.
– 1–3 day targets:
– PT1: 6.40–6.50
– PT2: 6.65–6.75
– Stretch: 6.95
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 6.15–6.22
– Breakout add: 6.30–6.33 on hold
– Stop-loss:
– 5.99 (below session low)
–
5) CBOE
– Daily demand (support): 251.7–252.1 (intraday cluster), 251.0 (round), 250.0 (psychological).
– Daily supply (resistance): 253.0 (HOD), 254.0–254.5, 255.5–256.0.
– 30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Base case: Maintain 252.1–252.3 → grind to 253.2–253.8; 253 break/hold can extend toward 254.5–256.0 over 1–3 days.
– Invalidation: Rejection and close back below 251.7.
– 1–3 day targets:
– PT1: 253.5
– PT2: 254.5
– PT3: 256.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 252.1–252.3
– Breakout add: 253.1–253.3 on hold
– Stop-loss:
– 251.4 (below demand)
–
Additional notes
– The provided dataset covers the late session of a single day; 30-day and 10-day context weren’t included, so the analysis emphasizes the most recent intraday price/volume structure and anchors “daily” zones to today’s candle and nearby round-number supply/demand.
– Risk management: For momentum entries, keep position sizing adaptive to expected volatility (EXPE notably higher than usual). Consider scaling around levels and using closing-basis invalidation on catalyst names. If you’d like, share the full 30-day data to refine higher-timeframe levels and ATRs.