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Continuation Breakout Thursday 4PM 10/23/2025

October 23, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

Analyzed window (EST): 2025-10-23 from 10:30 to 18:00 on 30-minute bars. Note: Only intraday data for this single session was provided. Where I reference “levels,” they’re derived from today’s 30-minute structure and last prints; use your own daily chart to align with broader 10–30 day context.

  • Semiconductors and hardware led on momentum and closing strength:
    • Breakout/near-HOD closes: TDG (aerospace supplier with semi-like beta), NVMI, STX, WDC, MU, VICR, ZBRA. Notably, NVMI pushed to 341.6 and held >340; STX advanced into/after the close; WDC saw heavy late volume and pushed >126 after-hours; MU held near session highs into the after-hours; VICR broke 93.4; ZBRA cleared 314.
  • Software and cloud were mixed-to-flat:
    • MSFT, MDB, CRWD printed tight post-close ranges (no follow-through). DOCN faded late on a volume surge at 15:30, suggesting overhead supply near 40.
  • Healthcare/biotech showed selective strength:
    • NTRA ramped strongly into 195 with rising volume (bullish). Large-cap equipment/life sciences were mixed: WAT and MTD stair-stepped higher late; BIO ground higher into the close; WST and IDXX faded modestly. UNH and HCA were subdued; HCA sold off hard into the close.
  • Industrials/aerospace and distribution constructive:
    • TDG trended up all session to 1350; RBC and FTAI pushed higher late; ZBRA broke out; FERG and CSL flat.
  • Consumer/discretionary mixed:
    • TSLA slightly heavy after-hours; RL faded; SFM choppy; RACE eased.

Noticeable patterns
– Late-day accumulation in select semi/industrial names (NVMI, STX, WDC, MU, TDG, ZBRA, VICR) suggests potential 1–3 day continuation if the tape stays risk-on.
– Multiple names showed “push-then-hold” behavior into the last 60–90 minutes—often a tell for next-day opening drive continuation.
– Software megacaps (MSFT) were quiet, implying leadership skewed to higher-beta cyclicals and semis today.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

Most likely to continue higher:
– TDG, NVMI, STX, WDC, MU, NTRA, VICR, ZBRA

Strongest bullish signals today:
– TDG (trend day, higher highs into close, closes at highs)
– NVMI (range expansion and hold >340)
– WDC (high volume push and after-hours follow-through)
– NTRA (persistent buying into the close)
– VICR (clean breakout >93)
– ZBRA (break above 314 with strong closing bar)
– STX and MU (semi strength with closes near highs)

Individual Stock Analysis (levels, entries, stops, targets, 30-min view)

Note: Support/resistance derived from today’s 30-min structure. For swing framing, align these with your daily zones. For ATR-based targets, I estimate using today’s realized intraday range as a proxy.

1) TDG
– Support: 1344.99–1345.00; 1340.10–1341.00; 1336.70
– Resistance: 1350.79 (HOD); 1355.00; 1360.00
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Favor early dip buy into 1344–1346, then reclaim 1351 for a grind to 1355; extension toward 1360 if semis/industrials bid continues.
– Entries: 1345–1346 on pullback; or momentum add on 1351–1352 break/hold
– Stop: 1339.8 (beneath 1340 shelf) or tighter 1343 if adding post-break
– Targets (1–3 day): 1351.5; 1355; 1360–1362 (range/ATR extension)
finviz dynamic chart for  TDG

2) NVMI
– Support: 340.35; 338.98; 338.16–338.46; deeper: 337.31
– Resistance: 341.58 (HOD); 343.00; 345.00
– 30-min path: Retest 339.5–340.5, then attempt 341.6 break; hold above 341 turns 343–345 feasible within 1–3 days.
– Entries: 339.8–340.5 pullback; or 341.70 breakout confirmation
– Stop: 337.9 (below session higher-low cluster) or tighter 339.2 if breakout add
– Targets: 341.6; 343.2; 345.0
finviz dynamic chart for  NVMI

3) STX
– Support: 225.60–225.98; 225.10; 224.36
– Resistance: 226.91 (HOD); 227.50; 229.00
– 30-min path: Prefer a 225.6–226.0 retest to base, then a push through 226.9; after-hours print 227.02 aids continuation.
– Entries: 225.7–226.0 pullback; or 227.00 break/hold
– Stop: 224.8; conservative swing stop 224.3
– Targets: 227.0–227.5; 228.3; 229.5 (1–3 day)
finviz dynamic chart for  STX

4) WDC
– Support: 125.20–125.70 (post-close churn); 125.00; 124.90
– Resistance: 126.28 (HOD/AH); 127.00; 128.00
– 30-min path: Early digestive dip toward 125.4–125.7, then a push above 126.3; momentum could carry into 127–128 on continuation.
– Entries: 125.4–125.7 pullback; or 126.30 break/hold
– Stop: 124.7 (below session low zone)
– Targets: 126.3; 127.0; 128.0
finviz dynamic chart for  WDC

5) MU
– Support: 207.16–207.25; 206.65
– Resistance: 207.97–208.00; 209.00; 210.00
– 30-min path: Sideways-to-up bias; hold 207.1–207.3 and break 208 opens a measured move into 209–210 in 1–3 days if semis stay firm.
– Entries: 207.1–207.3 pullback; or 208.0 break/hold
– Stop: 206.5
– Targets: 208.0; 208.8; 210.0
finviz dynamic chart for  MU

6) NTRA
– Support: 193.61; 193.21; 192.29–192.30
– Resistance: 195.07 (HOD); 196.00; 198.00
– 30-min path: Strong close suggests continuation; look for a mild dip to 193.8–194.3 to set a higher low, then attempt 195.1–196.
– Entries: 193.8–194.3 pullback; or 195.10 break/hold
– Stop: 192.7
– Targets: 195.3; 196.5; 198.0
finviz dynamic chart for  NTRA

7) VICR
– Support: 92.98; 92.08–92.21; 91.19
– Resistance: 93.40 (HOD); 94.50; 96.00
– 30-min path: Breakout day with clean structure; favor buy-the-dip into 92.3–92.6 and a push through 93.4. Thin name—position size accordingly.
– Entries: 92.3–92.6 pullback; or 93.45 break/hold
– Stop: 91.7 (below prior higher low)
– Targets: 93.4; 94.5; 96.0
finviz dynamic chart for  VICR

8) ZBRA
– Support: 311.72; 310.97–311.00; 309.43
– Resistance: 314.39 (HOD); 316.00; 318.00
– 30-min path: Break and hold of 314.4 likely leads to a test of 316; sustained strength in industrial tech could carry to 318 in 1–3 days.
– Entries: 312.0–312.5 pullback; or 314.50 break/hold
– Stop: 310.6
– Targets: 314.4; 316.2; 318.0
finviz dynamic chart for  ZBRA

Context and risk notes
– Because only one intraday session was provided, I emphasized closing structure, late-day volume, and immediate support/resistance from the 30-minute chart. For a full 1–5 day swing plan, confirm these intraday levels align with your daily supply/demand zones and recent 10–30 day trend.
– If the broader market opens risk-off, prioritize the pullback entries and tighten stops; invalidate long momentum setups on loss of the noted higher-low shelves.

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