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Continuation Breakout Thursday 4PM 10/16/2025

October 16, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Analyzed window (ET): 2025-10-15 17:00 to 2025-10-16 16:00, based on the intraday data you provided. Note: 30-day and 10-day aggregated context wasn’t included in the upload, so conclusions emphasize today’s 30-minute bars and late-session momentum.

  • Life Sciences/Tools and CROs (WAT, MTD, MEDP, AVTR, BRKR, ILMN): Broadly mixed with a late-session upward bias in higher-quality tools. WAT pushed to a session high into the close (335.3 HOD, 334.9 close) on rising volume—constructive. MTD popped late (spready, thin). MEDP was steady. AVTR had a big volume spike into the close with little price expansion (supply overhead 14.65–14.71). BRKR and ILMN finished softer. Read: rotation into quality tools (WAT) while others churn.
  • Biotech/Pharma (IMAB, CRBP, SRPT, ASND, PSNL): Selective momentum. CRBP closed strong at HOD (19.04) with expanding volume—bullish continuation setup. IMAB stair-stepped higher before an orderly close just under the intraday high—bullish if 6.50 holds. SRPT reclaimed and closed near session highs (23.35)—constructive. ASND faded most of the afternoon—weak. PSNL had a late breakout (10.345) but then printed a weak 16:00 bar—mixed/risk of fade if it can’t reclaim 10.
  • Semis/Materials (MU, AXTI): Divergent. MU chopped and couldn’t hold gains—indecisive. AXTI ramped into the close at HOD (4.93) on rising volume—classic small-cap continuation look.
  • Precious Metals (GLD): Late-day range expansion and close near HOD (397.30) with heavy closing volume. That’s a textbook momentum continuation candidate and suggests defensive bid or commodity strength.

Noticeable patterns
– Late-day accumulation: GLD, WAT, AXTI, CRBP all printed higher highs into the final 30–60 minutes on rising volume—hallmark of strong hands carrying exposure overnight.
– Selective biotech strength: CRBP, IMAB, SRPT showed constructive closes while ASND lagged and PSNL showed a breakout-then-fade.
– Quality tilt within Life Sciences Tools: WAT led; AVTR churned; BRKR/ILMN drooped—favor leaders for continuation.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to push higher:
– GLD — Strong close at HOD with volume expansion.
– AXTI — Closing at HOD with rising volume; clean 5.00 magnet above.
– CRBP — Range expansion into the bell; room to 19.60–20.00 if 18.70s hold.
– IMAB — Higher lows and strong midday push; continuation above 6.70/6.79.
– WAT — Quality tools leader; persistent bid into close.
– SRPT — Closed near highs after reclaiming intraday dips.

Strongest bullish signals: GLD, AXTI, CRBP.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Levels derived from today’s 30-min intraday structure; use the open/first hour tomorrow to confirm.

GLD
– Key support: 396.45, 395.00–395.15 zone, 394.50
– Key resistance: 397.40 (HOD), 398.50, 400.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Prefer dip-and-go. If holds above 396.4–396.6 early, expect a push through 397.4 toward the 398.5–400 band over 1–2 sessions. Failure below 395 likely retests 394.1–394.5 before another attempt.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): PT1 398.50, PT2 399.70, stretch PT3 401.00
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 396.6–396.8
– Add/alt: 395.2–395.4 on deeper dip into demand
– Stop-loss: Conservative 394.45; tighter 395.00 if buying the shallow pullback
finviz dynamic chart for  GLD

AXTI
– Key support: 4.83–4.85, 4.81–4.80, 4.75
– Key resistance: 4.93 (HOD), 5.00, 5.10–5.15
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Strong HOD close with volume favors a 5.00 test early. Hold above 4.86–4.88 and a clean break of 4.93 can trend toward 5.10–5.15. Lose 4.80 and momentum stalls.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): PT1 4.98–5.00, PT2 5.10, stretch PT3 5.30
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 4.86–4.88
– Breakout entry >4.94 with quick risk
– Stop-loss: Below 4.80 (tight continuation), or 4.74 (looser swing under structure)
finviz dynamic chart for  AXTI

CRBP
– Key support: 18.78–18.80, 18.60, 18.48
– Key resistance: 19.06 (HOD), 19.50, 20.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect a retest of 18.80–18.90; hold/turn there should propel through 19.06 toward 19.50. Clear 19.50 and 20.00 comes into play. Lose 18.48 and momentum thesis weakens.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): PT1 19.20–19.25, PT2 19.60, stretch PT3 20.10–20.30
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 18.75–18.85
– Add/alt on 19.07–19.10 breakout
– Stop-loss: Tight 18.58; swing 18.45
finviz dynamic chart for  CRBP

IMAB
– Key support: 6.50–6.56, 6.43, 6.12
– Key resistance: 6.70, 6.79 (intraday high), 7.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Constructive if price bases above 6.50. Break/hold 6.70 opens 6.79 and then 7.00 psych. Failure back below 6.43 risks a deeper retrace toward 6.12.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): PT1 6.70, PT2 6.85–6.90, stretch PT3 7.05–7.10
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 6.48–6.55
– Breakout add >6.71
– Stop-loss: Tight 6.41; looser swing 6.34
finviz dynamic chart for  IMAB

WAT
– Key support: 333.05, 332.38, 331.63
– Key resistance: 335.34 (HOD), 336.80, 338.50
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Late-session climb suggests continuation on shallow dips. If price holds above 333.5–334.0 early, look for a push through 335.3 to 336.8. A failure under 332.3 would likely mean more chop first.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): PT1 335.3–335.5, PT2 336.8–337.0, stretch PT3 338.5
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 333.2–333.6
– Breakout >335.40 with quick risk
– Stop-loss: Conservative 332.20; tighter 333.00 if buying strength
finviz dynamic chart for  WAT

SRPT
– Key support: 23.05, 22.92, 22.80
– Key resistance: 23.42–23.50, 23.80, 24.20
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Strong close suggests an early probe of 23.42–23.50. A hold above 23.05 on dips favors a move toward 23.80; a decisive break there opens 24.20. Lose 22.92 and it likely retests 22.80.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): PT1 23.50, PT2 23.80, stretch PT3 24.20
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 23.10–23.20
– Breakout add >23.52
– Stop-loss: 22.88 (beneath obvious demand)
finviz dynamic chart for  SRPT

Notes and risk management
– Liquidity filter: NSRX and JCSE showed very thin prints—excluded from momentum ideas due to slippage risk.
– PSNL: Late breakout but weak close print; needs reclaim of 10.00 with volume to re-qualify.
– MU, AVTR, BRKR, ILMN, ASND, WSO: Mixed or weak momentum into the bell; not preferred for 1–3 day continuation versus the leaders above.
– Always reassess off the first 30–60 minutes tomorrow for confirmation/negation of today’s late-day momentum.

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