Continuation Breakout Thursday 3PM 9/25/2025

Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-09-25 from 09:30 to 15:00 (30-minute bars across tickers as provided). Note: You shared an intraday slice from today, not the full 30/10-day history. I’m inferring near-term 1–3 day momentum using today’s price/volume behavior, relative strength within sectors, closing location, and liquidity. Treat “daily” supply/demand levels as zones anchored to today’s microstructure and obvious round/psych levels unless you provide the full daily history.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis:

• Semiconductors and hardware (SOXL, TSM, ASML, ACLS, TER, CIEN, SKYT): Mixed-to-firm. Large-cap semis were two-way but stable into the close (TSM slightly firmer, ASML flat, ACLS drifted lower). Optical/networking CIEN held a steady bid and closed near intraday highs. Notably, small/mid-cap semi supplier SKYT reclaimed the 15.00 handle and closed at session highs (15.22), signaling potential short-term continuation. SOXL staged a midday rebound but stalled into the close, suggesting semis broadly are consolidating with selective pockets of strength (CIEN, SKYT).
• Software/Cyber/AI (PLTR, CYBR, IBM, DUOL): Risk-on tilt. PLTR advanced with higher lows and a firm close near intraday highs; DUOL pushed to new session highs late and closed strong; CYBR strong intraday but faded slightly into the close; IBM trended lower. Overall signal favors momentum continuation in PLTR and DUOL.
• Biotech/Pharma (CRBP, BEAM, KRYS, RAPT, MASS, LCDL, GLTO, ASMB, PRAX, QLGN, SION, GRAL): Rotation within the group. Strength: CRBP closed at session highs above 12; LCDL stair-stepped higher and closed on highs; MASS climbed steadily; GRAL caught a late ramp. Weak: BEAM, KRYS drifted down. Net: momentum tilts to select small/mid-cap names (CRBP, LCDL, MASS, GRAL).
• Crypto/Blockchain (ETHD, IREN): ETHD (Ether proxy) sold off from midday highs; IREN printed a deep dip-to-rip reversal and closed near highs. Divergence suggests stock-specific strength in IREN despite ETH softness—watch for continuation if crypto stabilizes.
• EV/E-commerce/Consumer internet (NIO, EVGO, NEGG, JMIA, VNET): Mixed. NIO range-bound to modestly higher; EVGO flat/sluggish; NEGG volatile and finished lower from peaks; JMIA built higher highs/lows and closed strong; VNET churned. JMIA stands out for potential continuation.
• Financials (AXP, BLK): Both firmed into the close; BLK pushed to new intraday highs and held them; AXP edged higher. A constructive tone for large-cap financials.
• Industrials/Transportation/Infrastructure (NSC, MTZ, IESC, HOUS): Mostly sideways to slightly firm (CIEN and IESC had intraday swings; NSC tight). No sector-wide thrust, but not risk-off.

Key intraday patterns:

• “Strong close” leadership: PLTR, DUOL, SKYT, CRBP, PDYN, PONY, JMIA, GRAL, LCDL.
• “Dip-and-rip” reversals: IREN.
• “Rangebound” consolidation after rebounds: SOXL, TSM, ASML, CIEN.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days):
Most likely upside continuation candidates based on strong close, relative strength, and constructive intraday structure:

• High-conviction: PLTR, DUOL, IREN, CRBP
• Next tier (momentum but thinner liquidity or smaller caps): SKYT, PONY, PDYN, JMIA, GRAL, LCDL

Strong bullish signals today: PLTR (higher lows, firm close), DUOL (late-day breakout, closes near HOD), IREN (reversal + strong close), CRBP (closing at HOD), SKYT (regain and hold 15.00), PDYN (acceleration into the bell), PONY (trend day, close at HOD), JMIA (stair-step trend).

Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
Note: Supports/resistances are zones; use limit orders and confirm with intraday structure. Targets scale with recent volatility (approx 2–5% swings in these names) and align with nearby supply.

1) PLTR

• Supports: 179.70; 178.46; 177.05
• Resistances: 180.79; 182.00–182.20; 185.00
• 30-minute read/prediction (2–3 days): Holding above 179.7 favors a push through 180.8 toward 182+; failure back under 178.5 invites a check of 177.0 before buyers step back in.
• 1–3 day targets: 181.5; 182.5; stretch 185.0
• Entry ideas: Pullback 179.8–180.1 or deeper 178.7–178.9
• Stop: Conservative 176.90; tighter 178.15 if entering near 179.8

2) DUOL

• Supports: 312.10–312.30; 311.20; 308.36–307.25
• Resistances: 313.78; 315.00; 318.00–320.00
• 30-minute read/prediction: Strong late breakout; holding 312s likely fuels 315 test; acceptance above 315 targets 318–320. Lose 311 opens 308.5 retest.
• 1–3 day targets: 314.5; 316.0; 318.5–320.0
• Entry ideas: 312.0–312.7 retest; add above 313.8 on strength
• Stop: Below 309.7 (beneath the intraday base)

3) IREN

• Supports: 46.10–46.25; 45.59; 44.85
• Resistances: 46.81; 47.50; 48.00–48.20
• 30-minute read/prediction: Dip-to-rip reversal implies continuation if 46.1–46.3 holds; watch 46.8 breakout for 47.5–48.0. If crypto weakens and 45.6 breaks, expect a flush to 45.0–44.9.
• 1–3 day targets: 46.8; 47.5; 48.0–48.5
• Entry ideas: 46.10–46.30 pullback; add above 46.82
• Stop: 45.25 (below higher low structure) or 44.80 (looser swing)

4) CRBP

• Supports: 11.98; 11.72; 11.63
• Resistances: 12.03–12.10; 12.20; 12.50
• 30-minute read/prediction: Clean closing high suggests quick 12.20 probe; sustained holds above 12 could magnet 12.50. Loss of 11.72 delays setup.
• 1–3 day targets: 12.20; 12.50; 12.80 (if volume expands)
• Entry ideas: 11.85–11.98 buy-the-dip zone
• Stop: 11.58 (below session higher lows)

5) SKYT

• Supports: 15.10; 15.00; 14.75
• Resistances: 15.23–15.30; 15.50; 15.80
• 30-minute read/prediction: Reclaim of 15 with close at highs favors a 15.30 break; acceptance opens 15.50, then 15.80. A slip back under 15 likely tests 14.75 demand.
• 1–3 day targets: 15.35; 15.55; 15.80
• Entry ideas: 15.00–15.10 pullback; add on 15.30 break
• Stop: 14.68–14.72 (beneath demand shelf)

6) PONY

• Supports: 20.79; 20.66; 20.52
• Resistances: 20.93; 21.20; 21.50
• 30-minute read/prediction: Trend day with close at HOD; above 20.93, momentum could carry to 21.20/21.50. Lose 20.66 and a backfill to 20.52 is likely before buyers attempt again.
• 1–3 day targets: 21.10; 21.30; 21.50
• Entry ideas: 20.70–20.85 on dip; add on 20.93 break
• Stop: 20.45 (beneath intraday higher low)

7) PDYN

• Supports: 8.98–9.00; 8.65; 8.47
• Resistances: 9.03; 9.25; 9.50
• 30-minute read/prediction: Late-session acceleration signals a likely push through 9.03; 9.25 is first meaningful supply. Thin tape—expect whips. Failure to hold 8.98 invites 8.65 revisit.
• 1–3 day targets: 9.15; 9.30; 9.50+
• Entry ideas: 8.80–8.95 staggered bids; momentum add >9.05
• Stop: 8.58 (keeps risk defined under mid-day pivot)

8) JMIA

• Supports: 11.23; 11.11; 11.00–11.01
• Resistances: 11.29–11.30; 11.50; 11.70–11.75
• 30-minute read/prediction: Stair-step advance with a strong close; holding 11.23 favors a quick 11.30/11.50 test. Losing 11.11 opens 11.00 pullback.
• 1–3 day targets: 11.30; 11.50; 11.70
• Entry ideas: 11.10–11.20 dips; breakout add >11.30
• Stop: 10.98

Honorable mentions (momentum but thinner/liquid-risk):

• LCDL: Supports 17.61; 17.11; 16.90. Resistances 18.11; 18.30–18.50; 19.00. Idea: buy 17.70–17.95, stop 17.05, targets 18.30/18.50/19.00.
• GRAL: Supports 47.15; 46.70; 46.20. Resistances 48.30; 48.80; 49.50. Idea: buy 47.40–47.80, stop 46.60, targets 48.30/48.80/49.50.
• MASS: Supports 8.10; 8.00; 7.98. Resistances 8.20; 8.30; 8.50. Idea: buy 8.05–8.12, stop 7.95, targets 8.25/8.35/8.50.

Risk management notes:

• Liquidity: Some names (PDYN, LCDL, GRAL, SKYT) can be thinner; use smaller size and wider stops.
• Market/sector context: Semi complex looks rotational; software/AI showed leadership today—if that persists, PLTR and DUOL have the highest odds of follow-through. IREN’s path depends on crypto tone; watch ETH/BTC overnight.

If you want me to refine daily supply/demand zones and ATR-based targets precisely, send the last 30 trading days of OHLCV for the specific tickers you plan to trade.