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Continuation Breakout Thursday 3PM 8/22/2024

August 22, 2024 3 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

Datetime Range Analyzed: July 24, 2024 – August 22, 2024 (all times are in EST)

Sector Performance Overview:

  • Financial Services: Notable stocks include MCO and HROW, which have shown significant price movements in the last 10 days. The overall sector appears mixed with varying momentum as reflected by the volume.
  • Technology: Stocks like MSCI and EG have experienced upward price momentum coupled with higher volume, indicating strong positive sentiment.
  • Healthcare: HCA exhibited strong volume and moderately stable price movements, signaling potential steadiness but lacking strong momentum signals.
  • Consumer Goods and Services: Although mostly stable, stocks like ASND and FNCH within this sector have shown inconsistent volumes and mixed price movements.
  • Basic Materials and Industrial Goods: Stocks such as CLMT and FWRD show cyclic movements, with volume spikes indicating periods of increased trading interest, often coinciding with earnings reports or significant news events.
Noticeable Trends:
  • Recent 10-day volume spikes in EVLV and OPRA suggest increased short-term interest, denoting potential swing trading opportunities.
  • KUKE and AIZ demonstrated low volatility with consistent price ranges, indicating less favorable conditions for short-term momentum trading but potential for steady swings.

Ticker Performance Prediction

Likely Bullish Tickers for Next 2-3 Days:

  • MCO: Recent price action indicates strong bullish sentiment with consistent volume increases. Likely to see a continuation in upward momentum.
  • CLMT: Strong upward momentum with increasing volume, particularly noticeable over the last 5 trading days.
  • EVLV: A clear immediate surge in interest, with volume spikes and strong upwards price movement.

Individual Stock Analysis

MCO (Moody’s Corporation)

  • Support Levels: 477.50, 478.00, 479.00
  • Resistance Levels: 479.50, 480.00, 481.00
  • Price Action Prediction:
    • 30-minute Chart: Expect a quick retest of 480.00 level. If volume sustains, potential breakout towards 481.50.
    • Targets for 1-3 day swing: Near-term target at 481.00 with stop-loss at 477.50.
    • Entry Points: Ideal near 478.00 with a primary stop-loss at 477.00.
  • Finviz Chart: finviz dynamic chart for  MCO

CLMT (Calumet Specialty Products)

  • Support Levels: 20.20, 20.00, 19.80
  • Resistance Levels: 20.75, 20.90, 21.00
  • Price Action Prediction:
    • 30-minute Chart: Likely to challenge 20.75 resistance imminently. Look for breakout towards 21.00.
    • Targets for 1-3 day swing: Near-term target at 21.00 with a cautious stop-loss at 20.00.
    • Entry Points: Ideal near 20.20 with a primary stop-loss at 19.90.
  • Finviz Chart: finviz dynamic chart for  CLMT

EVLV (Evolv Technologies)

  • Support Levels: 3.40, 3.50, 3.60
  • Resistance Levels: 3.80, 4.00, 4.20
  • Price Action Prediction:
    • 30-minute Chart: Potential bullish continuation if it breaches 3.80 resistance; target move towards 4.00.
    • Targets for 1-3 day swing: Initial target at 4.00 with a wider stop-loss at 3.40 due to recent volatility.
    • Entry Points: Ideal near 3.50 with a primary stop-loss at 3.40.
  • Finviz Chart: finviz dynamic chart for  EVLV

Summary

In the context of a 1-5 day momentum swing trading strategy, the analyzed data suggest focusing on MCO, CLMT, and EVLV for potential upward movements, backed by recent positive price action and increased trading volumes. Key levels and entry points have been identified to maximize potential upside while managing risk through articulated stop-loss placements.

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