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Continuation Breakout Thursday 3PM 2/05/2026

February 5, 2026 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2026-02-05 from 11:30 to 16:00 (30-minute bars across tickers; most begin 13:30). Note: Only intraday data for this single session was provided, so 30-day/10-day context is inferred from today’s price/volume character and where momentum typically emerges late in short-term swings.

  • Industrials/capital goods mixed-to-strong:
    • Strength/breakout behavior: MOD, ARW, CONI pushed late with volume; WCC based tightly near 300; LFUS steady.
    • Faders: WWD, WTS, RRX were sold late. Pattern suggests rotation toward higher-beta industrial/electronics distributors and away from some quality compounders intraday.
  • Tech/semis vs cloud:
    • TXN closed strong at session highs, indicating semis leadership. ARW (electronics distribution) aligns with that cyclical tech strength.
    • DOCN (cloud/IaaS) lagged and was sold mid/late session—tech leadership is selective, favoring hardware/semis over software/cloud.
  • Health care mixed-to-soft:
    • GILD, JNJ were stable to slightly higher with steady volume—defensive bid intact.
    • HCA, MOH saw late-day distribution—managed care/hospitals under pressure near the close.
  • Financials/payments:
    • AXP range-bound; CASH bid late and closed firm, hinting at near-term follow-through in select financials.
  • Telecom: SKM flat, low-vol trend day—no clear momentum edge.
  • Crypto-linked/risk-on:
    • QBTZ showed a persistent mid-to-late-session trend up and closed at highs—risk appetite present.
  • Microcaps (CLPS, ZKIN): low liquidity, choppy—noise-prone for momentum swing setups today.

Noticeable patterns:
– Broad late-day breakout attempts with volume expansion in cyclicals/semis (ARW, MOD, TXN, CONI) and in risk-on proxies (QBTZ).
– Defensive health care and telecom were flat-to-soft.
– Tight bases just below round numbers (WCC ~300) can trigger near-term continuation if the tape stays bid.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

Most likely to rise:
– High-conviction bullish setups: ARW, MOD, TXN, QBTZ
– Additional upside candidates: CONI, TECX, WCC, CASH

Strong bullish signals highlighted:
– ARW: explosive late-session expansion and after-hours spike; fresh momentum ignition.
– MOD: closed at/near highs on strong expansion—classic continuation candidate.
– TXN: higher close near session HOD after defending higher lows—follow-through favored.
– QBTZ: steady trend + strong close at HOD—momentum continuation often persists 1–3 days.

Individual Stock Analysis (bullish setups)

ARW
– Thesis: Momentum ignition late session with a strong push to 146–148; buyers in control into the close.
– Key support: 141.10; 139.10; 138.00
– Key resistance: 146.00; 148.00; 150.00
– 2–3 day price action:
– If price holds above 141–142, expect a retest of 146–148. Clearing 148 opens 150–151.
– A quick shakeout to 139–140 that’s reclaimed intraday can still fuel a push to 146+.
– Targets (1–3 day): 146.5; 148.0; 150.5
– Entries:
– Pullback/reclaim: 141.5–142.2 with intraday reversal evidence.
– Breakout: >146.20 on rising 30-min volume.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 139.80 (below the 139 zone).
– Wider swing: 137.90 (below demand).
finviz dynamic chart for  ARW

MOD
– Thesis: High-close breakout character; multiple 30-min pushes and no meaningful give-back.
– Key support: 205.30; 204.00; 202.20
– Key resistance: 206.84 (HOD); 208.00; 210.00
– 2–3 day price action:
– Holding above 205.3 favors a push through 206.8 toward 208–210.
– A dip to 204–205 that’s bought should still produce higher highs if momentum persists.
– Targets (1–3 day): 207.8; 209.6; 211.5
– Entries:
– Pullback: 205.4–205.8 with higher low on 30-min.
– Breakout: >206.90 with expanding volume.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 203.50.
– Wider: 202.00.
finviz dynamic chart for  MOD

TXN
– Thesis: Semis leadership; defended lows and closed near highs—healthy demand.
– Key support: 224.14; 223.71; 222.68
– Key resistance: 225.82; 226.50; 228.00
– 2–3 day price action:
– Above 224.8–225, look for continuation toward 226.5–228.
– If early dip to 223.7–224.2 holds, expect an afternoon ramp attempt.
– Targets (1–3 day): 226.3; 227.5; 228.8
– Entries:
– Pullback: 224.8–225.0 on reclaim.
– Breakout: >225.85.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 223.60.
– Wider: 222.60.
finviz dynamic chart for  TXN

QBTZ
– Thesis: Trend day up with HOD close; risk-on flow likely to persist short-term.
– Key support: 17.12; 16.70; 16.32
– Key resistance: 17.50; 17.80; 18.20
– 2–3 day price action:
– Holding 17.1–17.2 favors a push to 17.8–18.2; strong tapes can overshoot on day 2.
– A shake to 16.7 that’s quickly reclaimed often reloads the trend.
– Targets (1–3 day): 17.80; 18.20; 18.60
– Entries:
– Pullback: 17.15–17.25 with buyers stepping in.
– Breakout: >17.52 continuation.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 16.95.
– Wider: 16.70.
finviz dynamic chart for  QBTZ

CONI
– Thesis: Late-session surge and strong close; constructive for continuation if gains hold.
– Key support: 138.52; 137.62; 135.33
– Key resistance: 141.65; 142.50; 145.00
– 2–3 day price action:
– Above 139.5–140, expect 141.6 retest; clearing unlocks 142.5–145.
– If early dip to 138.5 holds, look for afternoon grind higher.
– Targets (1–3 day): 142.2; 143.8; 145.5
– Entries:
– Pullback: 139.3–140.0 reclaim.
– Breakout: >141.70.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 137.90.
– Wider: 136.80.
finviz dynamic chart for  CONI

TECX
– Thesis: Volatility compression then strong rebound to close near highs; momentum could carry.
– Key support: 22.45; 21.90; 21.73
– Key resistance: 23.01; 23.30; 24.00
– 2–3 day price action:
– Holding >22.45 favors a breakout over 23.0–23.3 toward 24.0.
– Failure back below 22.45 risks a retest of 21.9 before any rebound.
– Targets (1–3 day): 23.30; 23.80; 24.50
– Entries:
– Pullback: 22.55–22.75 with a higher low.
– Breakout: >23.05.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 21.95.
– Wider: 21.70.
finviz dynamic chart for  TECX

WCC
– Thesis: Tight range day around 300; coiling below a round number—ripe for a push if market stays bid.
– Key support: 298.29; 297.40; 297.07
– Key resistance: 300.00; 301.42; 303.00
– 2–3 day price action:
– Above 299.5–300, look for a grind to 301.4–303.
– Lose 298.3 and the setup likely needs time; reassess on reclaim.
– Targets (1–3 day): 300.9; 301.9; 303.5
– Entries:
– Pullback: 298.9–299.2 with reclaim of VWAP.
– Breakout: >300.10 with volume.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 297.20.
– Wider: 296.70.
finviz dynamic chart for  WCC

CASH
– Thesis: Steady afternoon staircase and firm close; modest continuation setup.
– Key support: 92.00 (91.93–92.04 zone); 91.46; 91.33
– Key resistance: 92.42; 92.56; 93.00
– 2–3 day price action:
– Above 92.0–92.1, expect a test of 92.42/92.56; break opens 93.0.
– A dip to 91.5–91.9 that’s bought can reset the push.
– Targets (1–3 day): 92.55; 92.90; 93.40
– Entries:
– Pullback: 91.9–92.1 with confirmation.
– Breakout: >92.45.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 91.50.
– Wider: 91.25.
finviz dynamic chart for  CASH

Quick risk notes and context
– The above levels stem from today’s 30-minute structure and round-number psychology given the lack of a 30-day panel. In a live plan, refine with the last 10–30 daily candles (prior swing highs/lows, gaps, and rolling ATR) before sizing up.
– Names showing weakness today (HCA, MOH, RRX, WTS, DOCN, WWD) are avoids for long momentum until they reclaim intraday supply and print higher lows.

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