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Continuation Breakout Thursday 3PM 12/11/2025

December 11, 2025 6 min read

Datetime window reviewed (EST): 2025-12-11, ~12:30–15:30 EST (30-minute bars provided). Note: I only received intraday slices for this session, not full 30-day daily candles. The 30-day/10-day context below is inferred from the current tape, sector rotations, and typical volatility profiles.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

  • Precious metals miners and leveraged miner ETFs (CDE, HL, EXK, FSM, SVM, NG, NGD, GAU, RGLD; ETFs GDXJ, NUGT, GDXU, SIL, SILJ): Broad late-day softness with lower highs and weak closes across the complex. Leveraged miner products (NUGT, GDXU, JNUG) faded into the bell; single names (HL, CDE, EXK) printed distribution-like action. This favors continued digestion/mean reversion down over the next 1–3 days unless gold/silver futures reverse sharply.
  • Utilities/Nuclear/Energy transition (CEG, LEU, LTBR, FLNC, NRGV): Clear relative strength. CEG trended cleanly higher all session. LEU saw steady grind and close near highs; LTBR constructive. Energy storage/grid (FLNC) had a strong expansion day; NRGV triggered a high-volume breakout and closed near HOD. This cohort looks bid for continuation.
  • Semiconductors/Hardware vs. Software (AMD, AXON, EQIX vs. ADBE, ORCL, CRWD, NOW, INTU, MNDY): Semis/hardware and data center infra outperformed (AMD firm; AXON reclaimed toward highs; EQIX pushed). Large-cap software showed intraday pops then fades (ADBE, ORCL, CRWD, NOW) — suggests profit-taking and choppy follow-through near resistance.
  • Industrials/Infrastructure/Electrical (PWR, EME, DY, PRIM, HUBB): Persistent uptrends intraday with higher lows and closes near upper ranges, consistent with 10-day leadership and supportive breadth.
  • Financials/Consumer (GS, DPZ, MUSA): GS trended to new intraday highs before a modest fade — still constructive. DPZ stair-stepped higher. MUSA continued to grind up.
  • Space/Defense (RKLB, LMT): RKLB showed accumulation and close near highs; LMT was offered and slipped — rotation favors growthy aero/space over defense giants.

Notable sector trends/patterns
– Rotation out of gold/silver miners into utilities/nuclear/energy storage and industrials.
– Semis/hardware show relative strength; large-cap software remains choppy near overhead supply.
– Breakout-and-hold setups dominated small/mid-cap energy transition tickers (FLNC, NRGV).

Ticker Performance Prediction (2–3 days)

Likely upside continuation (strongest momentum/structure):
– FLNC, NRGV, LEU, CEG, RKLB, AXON
Secondary/monitor list (constructive but slightly lower conviction due to overhead supply/liquidity): PWR, GS, DPZ, NNE

Strongest bullish signals today
– NRGV: High-volume breakout with close near HOD.
– FLNC: Trend day with volume expansion and higher highs late.
– CEG: Persistent trend higher, higher highs and strong close.
– LEU: Grind up and close near the day’s highs (nuclear theme tailwind).
– RKLB: Accumulation day, strong close on elevated volume.
– AXON: Reclaimed range and pressed toward breakout pivot into the close.

Individual Stock Analysis (setups for 1–3 day swing)

1) FLNC (Fluence Energy)
– Daily key levels (zones derived from today’s base/breakout and round-number supply):
– Supports: 25.10–25.15 (afternoon base), 24.80, 24.50
– Resistances: 25.68 (HOD), 26.00, 26.50
– 30-min price path (next 2–3 sessions):
– Preferred: Early pullback toward 25.20–25.30 gets bought → push through 25.70 → 26.00/26.20. Continuation day could stretch 26.50 if volume expands.
– Risk case: Lose 25.10 on volume → test 24.80; below that delays the move.
– Targets (1–3 day): 26.00 → 26.20 → 26.50 (approx one ATR up in two steps)
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback: 25.20–25.35 with strength back above VWAP.
– Breakout: 25.72–25.80 through HOD with volume.
– Stop levels:
– Tight: 24.95 (below base)
– Swing: 24.70 (below prior demand)
finviz dynamic chart for  FLNC

2) NRGV (Energy Vault)
– Daily key levels:
– Supports: 5.35 (late-day shelf), 5.15, 4.95
– Resistances: 5.54 (HOD), 5.80, 6.00
– 30-min price path:
– Preferred: Retest 5.30–5.35 → reclaim → through 5.54 → momentum to 5.75–5.80. A second push can tag 6.00 on follow-through.
– Risk case: Fail and hold below 5.15 → backfill toward 4.95.
– Targets (1–3 day): 5.75 → 5.95 → 6.10
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback: 5.32–5.38 with reversal candle.
– Breakout: 5.55–5.60 with expanding volume.
– Stop levels:
– Tight: 5.14
– Swing: 4.98
finviz dynamic chart for  NRGV

3) LEU (Centrus Energy)
– Daily key levels:
– Supports: 269.50, 268.20, 266.50
– Resistances: 273.00 (intraday high), 275.00, 280.00
– 30-min price path:
– Preferred: Hold above 269.5–270.5 early → push through 273 → trend to 275. Momentum continuation can explore 278–281 within 2–3 sessions.
– Risk case: Lose 268 → test 266.5 and reload lower.
– Targets (1–3 day): 276.5 → 281–283
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback: 270.0–271.0 on buyers stepping in.
– Breakout: 273.10–273.50 with time-and-sales confirming.
– Stop levels:
– Tight: 268.20
– Swing: 266.50
finviz dynamic chart for  LEU

4) CEG (Constellation Energy)
– Daily key levels:
– Supports: 375.25 (PM pivot), 372.70–372.75, 369.00
– Resistances: 380.00, 385.00, 390.00
– 30-min price path:
– Preferred: Early hold 375–376 → 380 test/through → 383–385. Strong tape could extend to 388–390 on day 2–3.
– Risk case: Back below 372.7 → 369 test.
– Targets (1–3 day): 383 → 388
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback: 376–377 with buyers defending.
– Breakout: 380.10–380.50 with volume surge.
– Stop levels:
– Tight: 372.50
– Swing: 369.00
finviz dynamic chart for  CEG

5) RKLB (Rocket Lab)
– Daily key levels:
– Supports: 62.96, 62.40, 61.80
– Resistances: 63.71 (HOD), 64.50, 65.50
– 30-min price path:
– Preferred: Hold 63.0 area → push >63.70 → 64.80. Continuation can probe 65.5 on expanding volume.
– Risk case: Lose 62.40 → 61.80 re-test and slower setup.
– Targets (1–3 day): 64.30 → 64.90 → 65.60
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback: 63.05–63.20 with reversal confirmation.
– Breakout: 63.75–63.85.
– Stop levels:
– Tight: 62.40
– Swing: 61.80
finviz dynamic chart for  RKLB

6) AXON (Axon)
– Daily key levels:
– Supports: 579.5–579.6, 578.0, 575.6
– Resistances: 585.78 (HOD), 590.00, 600.00
– 30-min price path:
– Preferred: Respect 579–580 on open → reclaim 585.8 → 589–590. Follow-through day can attempt 596–600.
– Risk case: Break and hold below 578 → 575–576 retest, delays breakout.
– Targets (1–3 day): 589 → 596 → 600
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback: 580.0–581.5 with higher-low confirmation.
– Breakout: 586–587 continuation through HOD.
– Stop levels:
– Tight: 577.90
– Swing: 575.50
finviz dynamic chart for  AXON

Quick notes on names to avoid long-side for 1–3 days unless the tape flips
– Precious metals complex (NUGT, GDXU, GDXJ, SIL, SILJ; HL, CDE, EXK, FSM, SVM, NG, NGD, GAU, USAU): Weak closes and distribution intraday; wait for a flush-and-reclaim or a definitive higher low.
– Large-cap software (ADBE, ORCL, CRWD, NOW): Choppy and sold late; bullish setups need fresh bases or strong reclaim over today’s highs with volume.

Risk management and execution
– Size down breakouts in extended names; prioritize pullback entries near cited supports and use VWAP reclaim as confirmation.
– If first 30–60 minutes break below your support zones on rising volume, step aside and wait for a fresh structure.
– Respect stops; momentum can unwind quickly in 1–3 day swings.

If you can share full 30-day daily OHLCV for these tickers, I can refine ATRs and daily zones with higher precision.

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