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Continuation Breakout Thursday 3PM 12/04/2025

December 4, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Datetime range (EST) analyzed: 2025-12-04, primarily 13:00–15:00 with a few earlier prints (some names have limited midday bars only).
– Data limitation note: The file is intraday for today’s session; no full 30-day history was provided. I’m anchoring levels to today’s range and recent intraday structure; please confirm these zones against your daily chart for the last 10 and 30 days.

Sector takeaways from today’s price/volume:
– Industrials/E&C faded into the close: CAT, TT, PH, HUBB, STRL, CRS, PWR, DY, HII, MYRG, AYI, PEN generally bled lower/lacked bids late day. This shifts near-term momentum away from the group.
– Semis/Hardware showed distribution: MRVL, FN, TER, SMTC, AEIS, COHR all sold mid-afternoon and couldn’t reclaim VWAP decisively—caution on long momentum in the next 1–3 days.
– Biotech/Medtech mixed with bright spots: RGTX trended strongly intraday toward 100, KOD stair-stepped higher, GKOS closed near HOD. TWST pushed midday then cooled. GH, NRIX softer. Stock-picking environment.
– Precious metals fairly neutral to slightly bid late: AEM, RGLD, IAG, MUX, BTG, GROY, IAUX, NUGT mostly rangebound with minor upticks. Not a clear leadership pocket, but dips are bought selectively.
– Consumer/Services and proptech showed relative strength: OPEN was a trend day up with heavy volume; VOYG stair-stepped to HOD; TKO reclaimed and held a key 199.5–200 area. SOFI caught a late-day bid and closed firm.
– AI/datacenter infrastructure mixed to soft: VRT drifted down; APLD had a heavy sell then a modest bounce—momentum not clean.
– Small-cap UAV/space/data pockets held bids: RCAT (drones) and VOYG (space/comm) enjoyed steady higher highs/higher lows.

Notable patterns:
– Steady intraday accumulation profiles: OPEN, VOYG, RCAT, TMQ, GKOS, KOD, RGTX, TKO.
– Weak rebounds after mid-day selloffs (avoid for 1–3 day momentum): MRVL, COHR, VRT, DELL, TEM, LULU, ELV.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Higher-probability upside setups: OPEN, RGTX, SOFI, TKO, TMQ, RCAT, VOYG, GKOS, KOD, RKLX.
– Strongest bullish signals (trend day up into close or firm reclaim of key levels): OPEN, RGTX, VOYG, TKO, RCAT.

Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day long swing setups)
Note: Support/resistance reflect today’s range and obvious daily supply/demand zones near round numbers; confirm on your daily chart. ATR-based targets estimated from today’s realized range.

1) OPEN
finviz dynamic chart for  OPEN
– Supports: 7.38 (14:00 low), 7.53 (14:30 demand), 7.23 (early base).
– Resistances: 7.68–7.74 (HOD band), 7.85 (extension), 8.00 (psych).
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Expect narrow consolidation above 7.45–7.55 then a push through 7.70–7.74. Momentum continuation likely if first hour tomorrow holds VWAP.
– Entries: Pullback buy 7.50–7.56; or breakout add over 7.74 with volume.
– Stops: 7.35 (tight), 7.23 (swing).
– Targets (ATR ~0.45–0.55): T1 7.74, T2 7.85, stretch 8.00–8.10 within 1–3 days.

2) RGTX
finviz dynamic chart for  RGTX
– Supports: 96.00–96.20, 95.00–95.30, 93.20 (session pivot).
– Resistances: 98.80, 99.11 (HOD), 100.00–101.00 (psych/supply).
– 30-min path: Momentum flag above 96. If 96.0–96.5 holds early, look for a drive to retest 99.1 and a quick probe into 100–101.
– Entries: Pullback 96.2–96.6; or breakout through 99.15 on rising volume.
– Stops: 95.00 (tight), 93.90 (room).
– Targets (ATR proxy ~4–6): T1 99.10, T2 100.0–100.7, stretch 101.5–102.5.

3) SOFI
finviz dynamic chart for  SOFI
– Supports: 29.10–29.15, 29.23 (base), 28.93 (afternoon low).
– Resistances: 29.55, 29.70, 30.00.
– 30-min path: Late-day strength suggests a morning retest of 29.30–29.35, then rotation toward 29.55–29.70. A quick move through 29.70 opens 30.00 test.
– Entries: 29.25–29.35 pullback; add on 29.70 reclaim.
– Stops: 29.00 (tight), 28.85 (swing).
– Targets (ATR proxy ~0.60–0.80): T1 29.55, T2 29.90, stretch 30.20–30.40.

4) TKO
finviz dynamic chart for  TKO
– Supports: 199.00–199.20, 198.40, 197.60.
– Resistances: 200.15 (HOD), 201.00, 202.50.
– 30-min path: Strong reclaim into the close. If 199–199.3 holds, expect a measured push through 200.15 with a magnet to 201–202.
– Entries: 199.30–199.60 retest; or through 200.20 with volume.
– Stops: 198.20 (tight), 197.50 (swing).
– Targets (ATR proxy ~2.0–3.0): T1 200.50, T2 201.80, stretch 203.50.

5) TMQ
finviz dynamic chart for  TMQ
– Supports: 4.65–4.66, 4.62, 4.60.
– Resistances: 4.73–4.75, 4.80, 4.95.
– 30-min path: Consistent higher lows; copper beta. Look for a small dip to 4.66–4.68 then a grind through 4.73–4.75; extension if copper stays firm.
– Entries: 4.66–4.68; add on 4.75 break.
– Stops: 4.58 (tight), 4.52 (swing).
– Targets (ATR proxy ~0.18–0.25): T1 4.75, T2 4.82, stretch 4.90–4.95.

6) RCAT
finviz dynamic chart for  RCAT
– Supports: 8.41–8.42, 8.33, 8.25.
– Resistances: 8.52, 8.60, 8.75.
– 30-min path: Smooth intraday uptrend with closing strength. Expect early consolidation 8.35–8.45, then a push to 8.60; squeeze possible if volume spikes.
– Entries: 8.38–8.44 pullback; or >8.52 momentum add.
– Stops: 8.25 (tight), 8.15 (swing).
– Targets (ATR proxy ~0.35–0.45): T1 8.60, T2 8.75, stretch 8.95–9.10.

7) VOYG
finviz dynamic chart for  VOYG
– Supports: 23.80–23.85, 23.67, 23.48.
– Resistances: 24.04 (HOD), 24.25, 24.50.
– 30-min path: Stair-step trend day; buyers defended dips. If 23.80–23.90 holds, look for an early break of 24.04 toward 24.25–24.50.
– Entries: 23.85–23.95 on dip; or >24.05 break.
– Stops: 23.60 (tight), 23.45 (swing).
– Targets (ATR proxy ~0.50–0.60): T1 24.25, T2 24.50, stretch 24.80.

8) GKOS
finviz dynamic chart for  GKOS
– Supports: 109.38–109.40, 109.02, 108.84.
– Resistances: 109.99 (HOD/psych), 110.50, 111.50.
– 30-min path: Closed near highs with steady bids into the bell—watch for a morning micro-flag and a shove through 110.
– Entries: 109.40–109.55 pullback; add on 110 break.
– Stops: 108.90 (tight), 108.50 (swing).
– Targets (ATR proxy ~1.8–2.2): T1 110.00, T2 110.80, stretch 111.50–112.20.

Secondary watch (upside but slightly lower conviction or thinner liquidity): RKLX (75.60 supply above), KOD (continuation above 24.50), LUNR (needs >11.70 hold), WKEY (needs to reclaim 10.00 and build).

Risk and execution notes
– Many of these names made strong late-day moves. I prefer either a measured pullback to support in the first 60–90 minutes or a clean high-volume break above today’s HOD with a quick stop if it fails.
– Respect liquidity: some tickers are thinner; size down and use wider stops if spreads open up.
– Broader tape skewed soft in industrials/semis today—momentum longs should be sized with that headwind in mind.

If you want, I can overlay these levels on screenshots or compute precise 10- and 30-day ATRs once you provide the longer time series.

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