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Continuation Breakout Thursday 2PM 9/25/2025

September 25, 2025 5 min read

Datetime window analyzed (EST/EDT)

  • 2025-09-25 between roughly 11:00–14:00 EDT across the symbols (a few with prints just before/after); 30-minute bars.
  • Note: A full 30-day daily history wasn’t included in the upload, so levels and ATRs below are inferred from today’s intraday structure and round-number supply/demand zones; verify on your daily chart.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (based on today’s price/volume tape)

  • Semiconductors/Hardware weak: SOXL, ASML, TSM, TER, ACLS, SKYT all bled lower on steady selling and failed bounces—classic distribution intraday. Any strength likely faces supply into prior day highs.
  • Software/Tech mixed-to-soft: PLTR, DUOL trended down; CYBR showed relative strength with higher lows and closing near the top of its intraday range.
  • Biotech small/mid-cap mostly risk-off: ASMB, PRAX, PDYN, GRAL, BEAM, KRYS, RAPT faded. Notable outlier: CRBP climbed steadily with higher highs and rising participation late.
  • Crypto-linked divergence: ETHD (Ethereum-linked ETF) showed persistent accumulation and higher highs/higher lows; miners (IREN) sold off—rotation favored the ETF over operators.
  • Industrials/Transport soft: NSC, MTZ slipped throughout the window—no evidence of strong dip-buying.
  • Financials mixed: BLK drifted higher with controlled pullbacks; AXP eased.
  • Media/Consumer/Event-driven: WBD range-bound; NEGG choppy; EVGO trended lower; HOUS built a tight intraday base with volume pickup around mid-day—accumulation tell.

Patterns to note

  • Persistent sell-the-rip in semis and EV/charging; strength clustered in crypto ETF (ETHD), a few quality software/security names (CYBR), and selective biotechs (CRBP). Tickers referenced above.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days, momentum bias)

  • Most likely to push higher: ETHD, CRBP, CYBR, BLK, HOUS
  • Strongest bullish signals today:

– ETHD: clean intraday uptrend with rising volume and strong closes each 30-min bar.
– CRBP: progressive higher lows, late-day push to HOD.
– CYBR: relative strength vs software cohort; defended dips and reclaimed highs.
– BLK: orderly grind up, constructive for a break over intraday resistance.
– HOUS: tight base, accumulation mid-day; poised for a 1–2 ATR push if it clears 10.60s.

Individual Stock Analysis (swing horizon 1–3 days)
Note: Supports/resistances reflect obvious intraday pivots and nearby round-number daily zones; confirm with the daily chart.

1) ETHD

  • Structure: Persistent bid with higher highs/lows; momentum continuation setup into close.
  • Key support (daily/intraday zones): 4.32–4.35; 4.23–4.25; 4.14–4.17
  • Key resistance (supply): 4.37–4.40; 4.50; 4.62–4.65
  • 30-min price path (2–3 days): Prefer a shallow pullback into 4.32–4.35, then a push through 4.40 to 4.50. If momentum persists, extension toward 4.62–4.65 by Day 2.
  • 1–3 day targets (approx ATR-based): 4.45, 4.53, 4.65
  • Entries:

– Pullback buy 4.32–4.35
– Breakout add >4.40 with volume

  • Stop: 4.19 (beneath 4.23 zone and today’s higher-low pocket)
  • finviz dynamic chart for  ETHD

2) CRBP

  • Structure: Bid built all session; closed at HOD with constructive volume progression.
  • Key support: 11.68–11.72; 11.58–11.60; 11.50–11.52
  • Key resistance: 11.86 (HOD); 12.00; 12.20–12.25
  • 30-min price path: Expect an opening retest of 11.70–11.75, then attempt through 11.86/12.00. Holding 12 after the break sets up 12.20–12.30 by Day 2.
  • 1–3 day targets: 11.98–12.00, 12.20, 12.45
  • Entries:

– Pullback buy 11.70–11.75
– Breakout add >11.86, then >12.00 on acceptance

  • Stop: 11.50 (below intraday base and round-number shelf)
  • finviz dynamic chart for  CRBP

3) CYBR

  • Structure: Relative strength vs broader tech; defended dips, closed near session highs.
  • Key support: 480.10–480.20; 478.70–478.90; 476.50–477.00
  • Key resistance: 482.35; 484.00–484.50; 488.00–490.00
  • 30-min price path: Look for a probe into 480–481 that holds, then a drive through 482.35. If sustained, 484.5 then 487–490 become reachable within 1–2 days.
  • 1–3 day targets: 484.5, 487.5, 492.0
  • Entries:

– Pullback buy 480.0–481.0
– Breakout add >482.4 on volume

  • Stop: 478.6 (below intraday support cluster)
  • finviz dynamic chart for  CYBR

4) BLK

  • Structure: Controlled uptrend during the window; compression below 1138 suggests coiled move.
  • Key support: 1133.9–1134.1; 1130.5; 1127
  • Key resistance: 1137.7; 1140; 1145–1148
  • 30-min price path: Prefer a dip to 1134–1135 and hold, then a push >1137.7 to test 1140. Acceptance over 1140 opens 1145–1148 in 1–3 days.
  • 1–3 day targets: 1142, 1148, 1155
  • Entries:

– Pullback buy 1134–1135
– Breakout add >1138

  • Stop: 1130.4 (beneath session’s demand shelf)
  • finviz dynamic chart for  BLK

5) HOUS

  • Structure: Tight intraday base with volume increase mid-session—accumulation setup.
  • Key support: 10.50–10.52; 10.48; 10.40–10.42
  • Key resistance: 10.60–10.61; 10.70–10.72; 10.85–10.90
  • 30-min price path: Watch an initial check back into 10.50–10.52, then a push through 10.61. Clearing 10.61 with volume often runs to 10.70–10.72; holding above could reach 10.85–10.90 by Day 2–3.
  • 1–3 day targets: 10.70, 10.85, 11.00
  • Entries:

– Pullback buy 10.50–10.52
– Breakout add >10.61

  • Stop: 10.44 (below base and low-of-day risk line)
  • finviz dynamic chart for  HOUS

Optional high-risk candidate: QLGN (speculative rebound)

  • Thesis: Intraday washout to ~5.19 then recovery to ~5.54; if 5.30–5.35 holds and 5.55 reclaims, momentum can re-test overhead.
  • Key support: 5.33–5.35; 5.19–5.21; 5.00
  • Key resistance: 5.50–5.54; 5.62; 5.90
  • Targets: 5.62, 5.80, 5.95
  • Entries: 5.30–5.35 pullback; add >5.55
  • Stop: 5.18
  • finviz dynamic chart for  QLGN

Risk management notes

  • The broader tape shows risk-off in semis and EV/charging; avoid fighting that trend until sectors reclaim intraday VWAPs and prior day highs.
  • For small/mid-cap biotechs, keep position sizes modest and stops tight; liquidity can disappear quickly.
  • Reassess these levels against your daily charts since the upload did not include 30 days of candles; adjust targets using your measured daily ATRs.

If you want, share your daily charts or the last 30-day OHLC/volume for the highlighted tickers, and I’ll refine the support/resistance and ATR-based targets precisely.

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