Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range: 2025-12-17 15:30 to 2025-12-18 14:00)
– Note on data coverage: The dataset contains intraday 30-minute snapshots with no full 30-day history. The commentary focuses on today’s structure and very short-term momentum, with sector reads inferred from group behavior across the names provided.
- Precious metals/miners led: Broad, synchronized intraday bids across NUGT (leveraged gold miners), WPM, EGO, RGLD, and PPLT. NUGT reclaimed and held the mid-183s, pressed 185s; WPM stair-stepped from ~115 to 115.9; EGO lifted from 34.4 to 34.6; RGLD recovered the sharp dip to 223.3 and stabilized 224s; PPLT bounced 173.9 → 175.6. Group flow favors a 1–3 day continuation attempt if dips hold.
- Specialty insurance/brokers were strong: KNSL trended to HOD 395.8; AON ground higher to HOD 353.8; PLMR advanced to 134.5 HOD. That cluster strength often persists 1–3 days.
- IT services/software mixed but constructive: EG broke higher to 331.8; EPAM firmed above 206; FFIV grinded 256 → 259; MSFT was range-bound (485–487). Rotation favored services/enterprise more than megacap.
- Consumer discretionary/retail mixed-to-soft: WSM faded intraday; ANF range-bound; LOVE flat.
- Small-cap biotech/healthcare weak: OWLT, LYEL, IPSC, RANI, GLSI mostly faded or illiquid; no broad risk-on there.
- Industrials/materials: CTEV pushed to 41.8 before mild fade—relative strength. ARRY/FTK were flat, TORO illiquid.
- LatAm financials/e-comm firm: BAP bid into 281; MELI broke toward 1980s intraday before settling.
Noticeable group trends
– Strength: Precious metals/miners (NUGT, WPM, EGO, RGLD, PPLT), Specialty insurance/brokers (KNSL, AON, PLMR), selective IT services (EG, FFIV, EPAM).
– Weakness: Small-cap biotech (OWLT, LYEL, IPSC, RANI, GLSI), parts of discretionary retail (WSM).
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Most likely to advance: NUGT, WPM, KNSL, AON, PLMR, CTEV
– Strongest bullish tells:
– NUGT: Higher lows and sustained bid into 184–185 with metals group confirmation.
– WPM: Clean intraday accumulation with resistance just overhead (116.0–116.2).
– KNSL: Trend day to HOD into the close—a classic continuation setup.
– AON: Persistent grind to HOD with nearby support density.
– PLMR: Higher-high sequence into 134.5 HOD.
– CTEV: Expansion bar through 41 with volume spike and shallow pullback.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plans)
Note: Daily supply/demand zones aren’t fully visible in the dataset; levels below are derived from today’s intraday structure and obvious round-number pivots—validate on your daily chart for confluence.
1) NUGT
– Supports: 183.30–183.90 (13:30–14:00 congestion), 181.23 (12:30 low), 179.96 (session low)
– Resistances: 185.16 (13:30 high), 187.40 (12:00 high), 190.00 (round)
– 30-min path/expectation (2–3 days): If 183.3–183.9 holds on dips, expect a push toward 185.2 → 187.4; extension toward 190 on strong metals tape.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 185.2, 187.4, stretch 190.0
– Entries: 183.6–184.0 pullback buy; add on confirmed break/hold >185.2
– Stop: 181.2 (conservative), or 179.8 (looser swing under session low)
2) WPM
– Supports: 115.68 (13:30 low), 115.04 (12:30 open), 114.88 (12:00 low)
– Resistances: 116.02 (12:30 high), 116.24 (13:30 high), 117.00 (round)
– 30-min path/expectation: Hold above 115.7 and rotate through 116.0–116.2; a base above 116.2 opens 117.0.
– Swing targets: 116.2, 116.8–117.0, stretch 117.6
– Entries: 115.7–115.9 on pullback; or breakout >116.25 with a hold
– Stop: 114.85 (beneath session low/round), or tighter 115.35 if breakout entry
3) KNSL
– Supports: 392.71 (13:00 close), 392.08 (12:30 close), 390.09 (12:30 low)
– Resistances: 395.82 (HOD), 398.00 (round), 400.00 (round/psych)
– 30-min path/expectation: Trend day into HOD favors follow-through; look for a flag between 393–396 then expansion to 398/400 if financials stay firm.
– Swing targets: 396.5, 398.0, stretch 400.0
– Entries: 393.0–394.0 pullback to prior breakout area; or break/hold >396
– Stop: 391.0 (beneath last higher low), fail-safe 389.9
4) AON
– Supports: 352.95 (13:00 close), 352.07 (12:00 high), 351.05 (12:00 low)
– Resistances: 353.76 (HOD), 355.00 (round), 357.00 (round/extension)
– 30-min path/expectation: Demand above 352.6 should continue the grind; base over 353.8 targets 355 then 357.
– Swing targets: 354.8–355.0, 356.2–357.0
– Entries: 352.6–353.0 pullback buy; or reclaim/hold >353.8
– Stop: 351.3 (below micro shelf), wider 350.9 if volatility expands
5) PLMR
– Supports: 133.28–133.30 (12:30 area), 132.90 (12:30 low), 132.53 (11:30 low)
– Resistances: 133.88 (12:00 high), 134.50 (HOD), 135.00 (round)
– 30-min path/expectation: Constructive higher-high day; if it holds above ~133.3, expect a retest of 134.5 and attempt through 135.
– Swing targets: 134.5, 135.0, stretch 136.0
– Entries: 133.1–133.4 pullback; or break/hold >134.5
– Stop: 132.45 (beneath session base), tighter 132.9 if breakout entry
6) CTEV
– Supports: 40.64 (13:00 close/low), 40.28 (13:30 low), 40.11 (session low)
– Resistances: 41.17 (13:00 high), 41.78 (13:30 high), 42.00 (round)
– 30-min path/expectation: Expansion and higher-highs with a shallow retrace—a textbook continuation if 40.6–40.8 holds; look for reclaim of 41.3 → 41.8.
– Swing targets: 41.30–41.40, 41.75–41.80, stretch 42.00
– Entries: 40.65–40.80 pullback into prior breakout; add on hold >41.20–41.30
– Stop: 40.25 (beneath pullback lows), wider 40.05 (under session low) if allowing variance
Additional metals candidates (watchlist-tier)
– EGO: Supports 34.58, 34.48, 34.32; resistances 34.76, 34.99, 35.20. Same continuation logic as WPM/NUGT.
– PPLT: Supports 174.38–174.50, 173.85, 173.34; resistances 175.57, 176.61, 177.00. Momentum improves above 175.6.
Risk notes and execution
– Liquidity/volatility: NUGT is leveraged and moves fast—size down. KNSL, AON, PLMR tend to trend but can gap; use stop discipline. Validate levels against your daily chart and 10–30 day ATR to calibrate targets and stops.
– Invalidations: Any sustained loss of the first support cluster listed for each name weakens the long thesis; step down or exit rather than average down.
If you want, I can recalc the same plans with your 10–30 day ATRs and full daily levels once you share the broader dataset.