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Continuation Breakout Thursday 2PM 12/11/2025

December 11, 2025 4 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window covered: 2025-12-11, ~11:00–14:00; majority 12:00–14:00)
– Metals and Miners (Gold/Silver): Broad intraday distribution into 14:00 after mid-day strength. Levered ETFs and miners faded from highs: GDXJ, SILJ, GDXU, NUGT, JNUG, SIL, SLVP, plus single-name miners EXK, CDE, HL, AG, SVM, NGD, EQX, ORLA, SA, USAU, NG, GAU, ASM, HYMC. Pattern: lower highs in the last hour, heavier sell-volume on red bars. Near-term bias: consolidation to pullback unless the metals complex rebounds.
– Software/Big Tech: Strength-to-stability. ORCL trended cleanly higher with strong volume; ADBE, INTU, NOW, MNDY held constructive intraday up-channels or tight ranges. Rotation into software is evident.
– Space/Aero: Risk-on tone. RKLB and RKLX stair-stepped higher with rising volume; follow-through setups developing.
– Biotech/SMID Health: Selective accumulation. ESPR, BHVN, IMMX, ALAB, JBIO, CMPS, SRPT showed buyers on dips and closes near session highs. Momentum candidates skew bullish.
– Energy/Clean Tech: Mixed. NRGV broke out through 5.00 with heavy volume (leading). CEPU firm. FCEL flat; FLNC faded then recovered; CHPT weak.
– Industrials/Infrastructure: Constructive uptrends in PRIM, EME; HUBB, TDY, LII mostly range-bound but tilted positive.

Noticeable patterns
– Momentum continuation standouts: ORCL, NRGV, ALAB, RKLB, SKYT, ESPR, IMMX, JBIO, ELVA, PRIM (higher highs, rising/above-average 30-min volume, closes near HOD).
– Distribution/likely digestion: Metals complex (tickers above), ON (semis weakness), CHPT (weak trend), some silver/gold levered products (probable mean-revert bounces but trend is down near-term).

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
Likely to go up/continue higher:
– ORCL, NRGV, ALAB, RKLB, SKYT, ESPR, IMMX, JBIO, ELVA, PRIM, EME, TKO
Strongest bullish signals (volume + structure):
– NRGV (breakout + volume expansion)
– ORCL (trend day higher with rising highs)
– ALAB (range expansion and strong close)
– RKLB (orderly step-up with volume)
– SKYT (range expansion through 20.80)
– ESPR (multiple higher pushes with heavy flows)

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Daily support/resistance uses the session’s H/L and nearby psychological levels as proxies given the provided window; ATR-based targets are sized from today’s range as a conservative proxy.

  • ORCL
    • Supports: 197.50, 196.40, 193.85
    • Resistances: 198.65 (HOD), 200.00, 202.00
    • 30-min outlook: Expect early dip-and-go. Hold above 197.5 keeps momentum; break/hold over 198.65 opens 200–202.
    • 1–3 day targets (ATR-proxy ~6–7): 199.8–200.5, 202–203.5; stretch 205.
    • Entries: 197.6–198.1 on pullbacks; momentum add on 198.70–198.90 break.
    • Stop: 196.30 (tighter) or 195.40 (below last higher low).
    • finviz dynamic chart for  ORCL
  • NRGV
    • Supports: 5.15, 5.00, 4.88
    • Resistances: 5.26 (HOD), 5.50, 5.80
    • 30-min outlook: Bull flag above 5.00. Through 5.26 triggers continuation.
    • 1–3 day targets (ATR-proxy ~0.45): 5.50, 5.75–5.80; stretch 6.00 if breadth helps.
    • Entries: 5.02–5.10 pullback; 5.27 breakout add.
    • Stop: 4.88 (below breakout base).
    • finviz dynamic chart for  NRGV
  • ALAB
    • Supports: 169.00, 166.50, 163.50
    • Resistances: 170.15 (HOD), 172.00, 175.00
    • 30-min outlook: Tight consolidation over 169 favors a push through 170.15.
    • 1–3 day targets (ATR-proxy ~8): 172–173, 175–176; stretch 179.
    • Entries: 169.2–169.8 pullback; 170.20 breakout add.
    • Stop: 166.40 (beneath consolidation).
    • finviz dynamic chart for  ALAB
  • RKLB
    • Supports: 62.90, 61.95, 61.10
    • Resistances: 63.42 (HOD), 65.00, 66.50
    • 30-min outlook: Hold 62.9–63.0; break 63.42 for momentum continuation.
    • 1–3 day targets (ATR-proxy ~2): 64.5, 65.8–66.5.
    • Entries: 62.9–63.1 pullback; 63.45 break.
    • Stop: 61.90.
    • finviz dynamic chart for  RKLB
  • SKYT
    • Supports: 20.68, 20.45, 20.18
    • Resistances: 20.88 (HOD), 21.25, 21.80
    • 30-min outlook: Flag over 20.7; 20.88 break sets a quick 21.25 test.
    • 1–3 day targets (ATR-proxy ~0.6–0.7): 21.25, 21.70–21.80.
    • Entries: 20.70–20.78; breakout add over 20.90.
    • Stop: 20.40.
    • finviz dynamic chart for  SKYT
  • ESPR
    • Supports: 4.00, 3.95, 3.88
    • Resistances: 4.13 (HOD), 4.20, 4.40
    • 30-min outlook: Constructive higher-lows; 4.13–4.20 zone is the trigger band.
    • 1–3 day targets (ATR-proxy ~0.25–0.30): 4.20–4.25, 4.35–4.40.
    • Entries: 4.00–4.05; add on 4.13–4.15 break.
    • Stop: 3.88.
    • finviz dynamic chart for  ESPR
  • IMMX
    • Supports: 7.10, 7.00, 6.85
    • Resistances: 7.25 (HOD), 7.50, 7.80
    • 30-min outlook: Tight range; 7.25 break opens 7.50 test.
    • 1–3 day targets (ATR-proxy ~0.35–0.45): 7.50, 7.70–7.80.
    • Entries: 7.05–7.15; breakout add over 7.26.
    • Stop: 6.95 (tighter) or 6.85 (swing).
    • finviz dynamic chart for  IMMX
  • JBIO
    • Supports: 14.10, 13.90, 13.60
    • Resistances: 14.60 (HOD), 15.00, 15.50
    • 30-min outlook: Momentum continuation if 14.10 holds; 14.60 reclaim triggers 15.00.
    • 1–3 day targets (ATR-proxy ~0.8): 15.00, 15.40–15.50.
    • Entries: 14.10–14.20; add on 14.62–14.65 break.
    • Stop: 13.85.
    • finviz dynamic chart for  JBIO
  • ELVA
    • Supports: 6.50, 6.30, 6.00
    • Resistances: 6.66 (HOD), 7.00, 7.25
    • 30-min outlook: Micro-flag under 6.66; break targets 7.00.
    • 1–3 day targets (ATR-proxy ~0.45): 7.00, 7.20–7.25.
    • Entries: 6.52–6.58; breakout add over 6.67.
    • Stop: 6.28.
    • finviz dynamic chart for  ELVA
  • PRIM
    • Supports: 136.58, 135.68, 134.77
    • Resistances: 137.42 (HOD), 138.50, 140.00
    • 30-min outlook: Trend intact; 137–137.4 break ignites 138.5.
    • 1–3 day targets (ATR-proxy ~2): 138.5, 139.8–140.0.
    • Entries: 136.7–137.0; add on 137.45–137.55 break.
    • Stop: 135.60.
    • finviz dynamic chart for  PRIM
  • EME
    • Supports: 637.00, 635.00, 631.20
    • Resistances: 641.28 (HOD), 645.00, 650.00
    • 30-min outlook: Persistent bid; hold 637 for push to 641–645.
    • 1–3 day targets (ATR-proxy ~6–8): 644–645, 648–650.
    • Entries: 637–638; add on 641.30 break.
    • Stop: 635.00.
    • finviz dynamic chart for  EME
  • TKO
    • Supports: 204.85, 204.00, 202.90
    • Resistances: 205.68 (HOD), 207.00, 209.00
    • 30-min outlook: Higher-lows; through 205.7 targets 207.
    • 1–3 day targets (ATR-proxy ~3): 207, 209.
    • Entries: 204.9–205.1; breakout add 205.75–205.80.
    • Stop: 203.90.
    • finviz dynamic chart for  TKO

Context and risk notes
– Metals/miners: The complex showed intraday distribution; expect choppy bounces but bias is to fade into resistance near-term (e.g., GDXJ 116.3→115 area weakness, SILJ 28.46→28.12 fade).
– Liquidity filters: Avoid illiquid micro-cap prints (JL, NUTX, ELA, WAI) for momentum swings unless volume expands dramatically.
– Execution: For breakouts, wait for 30-min close above levels; for pullback entries, use limit orders near listed supports and size stops just beyond the next level.

If you want this narrowed to only 4–6 highest-conviction names with tighter ATR math from your full 30-day data, share the daily ranges and I’ll refine targets and risk precisely.

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