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Continuation Breakout Thursday 2PM 10/30/2025

October 30, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window covered)
– Data window analyzed: 2025-10-30 from 11:00 to 14:00 EST (30-minute bars provided). No 30-day daily data was included, so commentary emphasizes today’s intraday momentum as a proxy for very near-term (1–3 day) swing setups. Where “daily” zones are referenced, they are approximated using obvious psychological levels and today’s intraday pivots; please confirm on your daily chart.

Sector takeaways from today’s flow
– Financials (COF, V, JPM, TRV, AXP, GS): Mixed-to-soft. Card/payment leaned heavy (V, AXP down all session; GS and COF faded). Money-center JPM showed relative strength, grinding higher midday before a small dip. Insurance (TRV) flat. If rates stabilize, the relative bid in JPM could persist near term.
– Industrials (HON, ITW, ROK, DOV): Broadly heavy, with persistent lower-highs intraday. Notable exception: TT showed a clean intraday breakout and trend continuation with strong closes near highs—a clear outlier of strength in the group.
– Tech and software (AMD, META, SNOW, HUBS, MPWR, MDB, CYBR, IBM, UI, IDCC): Mixed. Large-cap growth (META) faded into the afternoon; semis were soft-to-flat (AMD boxed, MPWR faded). Security/software flat (CYBR, MDB). Select single-name strength/volatility in IDCC with a hard bounce attempt back toward 400. UI/IBM consolidated.
– Energy/Refiners (RIG, PBF): Divergent. Offshore services (RIG) stair-stepped higher with strong volume. Refining (PBF) faded intraday.
– Biotech/small-cap health (ACHV, GLUE, VRDN): ACHV and GLUE trended higher steadily with constructive 30-min structure and higher highs; VRDN was range-bound.
– Real Estate (PLD): Quiet, range-bound.
– Crypto miners (HUT): Showed risk-on tone; pushed higher and held most gains intraday.

Notable intraday trends and patterns
– Clear relative strength: TT (Industrials), HUT (crypto miner), ACHV and GLUE (biotech small/mid caps), RIG (energy services), JPM (money-center bank resilience), IDCC (reclaim attempt).
– Clear weakness: AXP, V (payments), HON/ROK/DOV (industrials core), TMO (healthcare equipment), META late fade.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 sessions)
Most likely to press higher near term, given today’s momentum and structure:
– TT, HUT, ACHV, GLUE, RIG, JPM, IDCC
Secondary watch (constructive but less conviction today): AXTI, VSEC, UI

Strongest bullish signals today
– TT: Trend day, higher highs and closes near session highs.
– HUT: Held high-level consolidation after pushing to HOD; buyers absorbing dips.
– ACHV and GLUE: Persistent higher highs/higher lows on rising volume footprints.
– RIG: Nibble-up pattern with strong participation.

Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plan (1–3 day swing)
Note: Daily zones are approximated from intraday pivots and common psychological levels. Validate against your daily chart. Use position sizing appropriate to volatility.

1) TT (Trane Technologies)
– Supports: 447.3–447.7 (VWAP/afternoon base), 446.0–446.5 (midday pivot), 444.0 (session low/psych)
– Resistances: 452.2 (HOD), 455.0 (psych), 460.0 (next psych/extension)
– Price action view (2–3 days): Momentum continuation favored while above 447. A pullback into 447–448 that holds should launch another test of 452.2, then 455.
– Targets (1–3 day): 452.2, 455.0, stretch 458–460 (≈ today’s intraday range extension of ~8 points)
– Entry idea: Scale 447.5–448.5 on a dip-and-hold or break/retest above 450.2–450.5.
– Stop: 445.0 (below structure), conservative 443.8.
finviz dynamic chart for  TT

2) HUT
– Supports: 50.30–50.35 (afternoon base), 50.00 (psych), 49.20–49.30 (session low zone)
– Resistances: 50.98–51.00 (HOD/psych), 51.50, 52.00
– Price action view: Constructive high consolidation. Continuation favored if 50 holds; look for a quick probe of 51–51.5.
– Targets: 51.00, 51.50, 52.00 (range extension ~1.5–2.0)
– Entry idea: Buy 50.10–50.40 on support hold; or momentum add through 51.00 on volume.
– Stop: 49.45 (below rising intraday trend), tight 49.90 if buying breakout.
finviz dynamic chart for  HUT

3) ACHV
– Supports: 5.12–5.15 (intraday higher-low area), 5.06–5.08 (midday shelf), 5.00 (psych)
– Resistances: 5.20 (HOD), 5.25, 5.30
– Price action view: orderly stair-step higher; a hold above 5.10 favors a grind toward 5.25–5.30.
– Targets: 5.20, 5.25–5.30; stretch 5.40 if volume expands
– Entry idea: Buy 5.10–5.14 on dip-and-hold; add on 5.20 break with time-and-sales confirmation.
– Stop: 5.02 (below shelf), conservative 4.95.
finviz dynamic chart for  ACHV

4) GLUE
– Supports: 13.00 (round/retake), 12.90–12.95 (intraday shelf), 12.75–12.80 (session low area)
– Resistances: 13.09–13.10 (session high), 13.20, 13.50
– Price action view: Steady bid; look for a base above 13.00 then push into 13.10–13.20.
– Targets: 13.10, 13.20; stretch 13.40–13.50 on follow-through
– Entry idea: Buy 13.00–13.05 on hold; or break-and-retest above 13.10.
– Stop: 12.85 (below shelf), conservative 12.74 (session low minus wiggle).
finviz dynamic chart for  GLUE

5) RIG
– Supports: 3.94–3.95 (afternoon base), 3.90 (intraday pullback low), 3.85 (prior demand/psych)
– Resistances: 3.97–4.00 (HOD/psych), 4.05, 4.15
– Price action view: Slow grind up with broad participation; favor a 4.00 test if 3.94 holds.
– Targets: 4.00, 4.05; stretch 4.15 (if crude stays firm)
– Entry idea: Nibble 3.92–3.95 on pullbacks; add through 4.00 on volume.
– Stop: 3.88 (below structure), conservative 3.84.
finviz dynamic chart for  RIG

6) JPM
– Supports: 311.20–311.30 (afternoon minor pivot), 310.45–310.85 (midday support), 310.00–310.20 (session floor)
– Resistances: 312.28 (HOD), 313.00, 315.00
– Price action view: Relative strength vs. peers. A hold above 311 opens a retest of 312.3–313; 315 possible on a financials bounce.
– Targets: 312.3, 313.0; stretch 314.5–315.0
– Entry idea: Buy 311.10–311.40 on dip-and-hold; add if it pushes through 312.30 on rising volume.
– Stop: 309.90 (below session floor).
finviz dynamic chart for  JPM

7) IDCC
– Supports: 397.0 (late reclaim), 395.0 (intraday higher-low), 390.0 (psych/earlier flush area)
– Resistances: 401.9–402.5 (session top), 405.0, 410.0
– Price action view: Volatile but constructive reclaim. If 395–397 holds, look for another probe toward 402–405.
– Targets: 402, 405; stretch 410 on expanded range
– Entry idea: Scale 395.5–397 on controlled dips; add over 402 with confirmation.
– Stop: 392.5 (beneath higher-low), conservative 389.5.
finviz dynamic chart for  IDCC

Secondary watch (honorable mentions)
– AXTI: Supports 7.20, 7.15, 7.05; resistances 7.32, 7.39, 7.50. Buy 7.18–7.22 with stop 7.08; targets 7.32/7.39.
– VSEC: Supports 179.6, 179.0, 178.5; resistances 180.5, 181.0, 182.0. Buy 179.6–179.9; stop 178.9; targets 180.5/181.0.

Risk notes
– Liquidity: Several small caps (e.g., LVO, CAMP, DUOT, ESLA, LOBO, MWG) showed thin volume and wider spreads; if trading them, reduce size and require confirmation.
– Payments/Industrials headwinds: If the broader tape leans risk-off, leaders can backfill. Respect stops and reassess if TT loses 447 or if HUT loses 50.
– Without 30-day daily candles/ATR, targets lean on intraday structure and obvious round numbers; confirm with your own daily levels and volatility stats before executing.

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