Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window)
– Data reviewed through 2026-01-15 14:00 EST on 30‑minute bars. The dataset snippets are intraday-heavy; where full 30D/10D composites weren’t present, I weighted the most recent 10 sessions’ character as reflected by today’s momentum/volume.
- Precious metals led: SLV, SIVR, PSLV (ETFs), and miners AG, RGLD, BVN advanced with higher highs and persistent bid; GLTR also firm. Intraday pullbacks were shallow and bought, suggesting continued accumulation in the silver/gold complex.
- Copper/Industrial metals: SCCO stair-stepped higher with rising prints into the close; base‑metals small caps (e.g., RIOX) were softer.
- Defense/Aero-Industrial: KTOS broke out on expanding volume; HII firm; MOG-A and CW constructive but slower. Broader industrial contractors mixed—MYRG and PATK edged up while OSK, EME, PKG, CAT, CMI leaned lower/choppy.
- Semis/Electronics: AEIS pushed to new session highs (breakout behavior). MPWR faded, APH/KEYS drifted, WDC couldn’t hold rallies—mixed tape with selective strength in equipment.
- Financials/IB: GS modestly stronger; EVR/HLI/PIPR climbed intraday; SPGI/MS flat. Consumer banks/credit (COF) and regional proxy (DPST) were soft—regional/balance‑sheet beta lagged.
- Managed care: HUM/ELV ranged; HCA had a steady bid—no clear momentum edge yet.
- China ADRs: BABA and BILI were choppy—brief pops faded; momentum remains rotational/not durable.
- Small/mid-cap momentum pockets: RVMD trended up; KTOS and PATK firm; FIGR had range expansion.
Notable recent 10‑day patterns (inferred from today’s action and recent behavior)
– Metals complex shows a buy-the-dip character with higher lows on 30‑minute structure (SLV, SIVR, PSLV, AG, RGLD, BVN).
– Select defense/industrial tech breaking out (KTOS) while broader industrials are range‑bound.
– Semi equipment (AEIS) displays leadership versus chip devices (WDC, MPWR).
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
Most likely upside continuations:
– SLV, AG: Silver complex leadership on rising volume and shallow pullbacks—continuation setups favored.
– KTOS: Volume-backed breakout; pullbacks to prior breakout levels likely get bought.
– AEIS: Fresh breakout with follow‑through potential if 258–259 holds.
– SCCO: Stair‑step uptrend in copper proxy; dips toward 183/182.6 look buyable.
– DRI: Trend day higher and strong close; room for a push over 215s.
Strongest bullish signals today: SLV, AG, KTOS, AEIS.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
1) SLV (iShares Silver Trust)
– Setup: Trend up with higher highs; shallow bull flag into last hour.
– Key support (daily/obvious zones): 83.42, 83.21, 82.75.
– Key resistance: 83.78, 84.08, 84.50.
– 30‑min outlook (2–3 days): Expect an early dip toward 83.4–83.2; hold there and reclaim 83.9–84.0 to open a squeeze through 84.08 toward mid‑84s. Failure back below 82.75 postpones.
– Swing targets: T1 84.10–84.20, T2 84.50–84.70, stretch 85.20 if metals bid persists.
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 83.25–83.40 on dip with confirmation (buyers stepping in).
– Momentum add on 84.10 breakout with volume.
– Stop: 82.70 (below 82.75 support and VWAP retest risk).
2) AG (First Majestic Silver)
– Setup: Higher highs to 20.19 with strong silver beta; held 20.00 on pullbacks.
– Key support: 19.96, 19.85, 19.84.
– Key resistance: 20.19, 20.30, 20.50.
– 30‑min outlook (2–3 days): Healthy dip into 19.90–20.00 likely met with buyers; a push through 20.19 should trend toward low‑20s. Lose 19.84 and momentum cools.
– Swing targets: T1 20.30, T2 20.50, stretch 20.85 on metals strength.
– Entry ideas:
– Accumulate 19.92–20.02.
– Breakout add above 20.20 with expanding volume.
– Stop: 19.72 (below stacked supports).
3) KTOS (Kratos Defense)
– Setup: Breakout from 122–125 base, topped at 126.31, closed near highs—expanding volume.
– Key support: 125.00, 124.28, 122.83.
– Key resistance: 126.16, 126.31, 127.50.
– 30‑min outlook (2–3 days): Prefer a pullback/hold in 124.9–125.2 and a higher low; reclaim 126.2–126.3 to extend toward 127s–128s. Loss of 124.3 risks a deeper retest.
– Swing targets: T1 126.80, T2 127.50, stretch 129.00 on strong tape.
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 124.9–125.2 on dip/hold.
– Add through 126.35 breakout on volume.
– Stop: 123.90 (below prior breakout shelf).
4) AEIS (Advanced Energy Industries)
– Setup: Clean breakout from 255–258 with higher highs to 259.46; pullbacks bought.
– Key support: 258.25, 257.25, 255.61.
– Key resistance: 259.46, 260.00, 261.50.
– 30‑min outlook (2–3 days): Expect a retest of 258.2–258.7; hold and rotate up through 259.5–260 opens a measured leg toward 261–262+. Loss of 257.2 would turn it into a wait‑and‑see.
– Swing targets: T1 259.90–260.10, T2 261.50, stretch 263.50 if semi‑equipment stays bid.
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 258.3–258.8 on controlled dip.
– Add on 260 breakout with above‑average volume.
– Stop: 256.90 (below demand zone).
5) SCCO (Southern Copper)
– Setup: Stair‑step advance; strong close near highs.
– Key support: 182.98, 182.55, 182.38.
– Key resistance: 183.52, 184.00, 184.50.
– 30‑min outlook (2–3 days): Early fade toward 183.0–182.9 that holds should break 183.52 and grind to 184–184.5. A close below 182.38 would stall the move.
– Swing targets: T1 183.80, T2 184.50, stretch 185.20 on copper strength.
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 182.95–183.10 with tight risk.
– Momentum add through 183.55.
– Stop: 182.30 (beneath layered supports).
6) DRI (Darden Restaurants)
– Setup: Trend day higher; closed near the top of range with steady demand.
– Key support: 214.63, 214.11, 213.50.
– Key resistance: 215.14, 215.50, 216.30.
– 30‑min outlook (2–3 days): Look for a dip to 214.4–214.7; hold and reclaim 215.1 for extension into 215.5–216.3. Failure back under 213.9 weakens the setup.
– Swing targets: T1 215.50, T2 216.30, stretch 217.20 if consumer discretionary firms up.
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 214.4–214.7 on pullback.
– Add on 215.15 push with volume confirmation.
– Stop: 213.40.
Notes and risk management
– For continuation plays (metals and KTOS/AEIS), I prefer buying controlled pullbacks into identified demand with confirmation (stalling of sellers, uptick in bid prints) and adding on clean breakouts.
– If the dollar/real yields bounce, metals could retrace—honor stops on SLV/AG.
– Broader industrial softness (OSK/EME/CAT/CMI) argues for selectivity; lean into leaders (KTOS/AEIS/SCCO) rather than laggards.
Summary of likely upside (2–3 days): SLV, AG, KTOS, AEIS, SCCO, DRI. Strongest conviction: SLV/AG (sector tailwind), KTOS/AEIS (volume‑confirmed breakouts).