Continuation Breakout Thursday 1PM 9/25/2025

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window: 2025-09-24 15:00 to 2025-09-25 13:00)

• Note: You provided intraday snapshots primarily for 9:30–13:00 EST on 2025-09-25 (plus a brief 2025-09-24 print for PLUT). I don’t have full 30-day data. The commentary and predictions lean on today’s 30‑minute momentum/volume behavior and how these groups typically follow through over 1–3 sessions.
• Semiconductors leading risk-on: SOXL ramped hard off 32.9 toward 34 with heavy turnover, ASML stair-stepped higher after a strong 11:30 thrust, and TSM pushed back above 276. SKYT bounced mid-morning but cooled later. Net: breadth and persistence favor semis (SOXL, ASML, TSM).
• AI/Cyber/software mixed: CYBR broke out toward 484 and flag-consolidated; PLTR and IBM chopped/lowered midday; DUOL drifted lower. Net: selective—quality security names (CYBR) stronger than broader AI/software tape.
• China/Internet and data infra firm: VNET kept higher lows and closed near the session highs; NEGG held the upper range with repeated 45 tests. Net: high-beta China e-comm/data (VNET, NEGG) showed accumulation patterns.
• EV ecosystem mixed: NIO faded afternoon; EVGO’s morning push stalled but held most gains. Battery/supply names like LITM couldn’t hold highs. Net: neutral/slightly risk-off outside of pockets of strength.
• Biotech/life sciences selective: MASS trended cleanly to HOD into the early afternoon; BEAM tightened upward; QLGN had a huge volume surge but faded—more trader than investor flow. KRYS was steady. Net: better in steady climbers (MASS, BEAM) than the fade-after-spike types.
• Industrials/infrastructure steady: IESC pushed to 383 then consolidated; MTZ and NSC were range-bound. Net: constructive but not momentum-led.
• Financials steady: AXP and BLK modestly bid but not leadership.
• Satellite/telecom: CIEN popped then backed off; TSAT faded—mixed.
• Standout momentum runner: MVLL exploded from ~20.5 to 23.75 with persistent higher highs and rising volume—classic “fresh momentum” profile that often follows through 1–2 days if early supports hold.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely upside continuation candidates (momentum + structure):

• Semis: SOXL, ASML, TSM
• High-beta e-comm/China data: NEGG, VNET
• Momentum runner: MVLL
• Cybersecurity/enterprise: CYBR
• Life sciences: MASS
• Secondary: GRAL (steady up-channel)

Strongest bullish tells today: SOXL (breadth leader), ASML (orderly trend), TSM (reclaim above 276), NEGG (multiple 45 taps), MVLL (fresh runner), CYBR (flag high), MASS (climb to HOD), VNET (close near highs).

Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plans)
Note: Levels derived from today’s 30‑minute structure; targets cluster near obvious intraday resistances/psychological levels and typical daily ranges. Use liquidity-adjusted stop buffers.

1) SOXL

• Support: 33.57; 33.06; 32.88
• Resistance: 33.90–34.06; 34.50; 35.00
• Price action view (2–3 days): Expect a dip-and-rip pattern; hold above 33.55 favors a 34.06 retest. Break/hold over 34.06 opens 34.50 then 34.90–35.00.
• Entries: 33.60–33.65 pullback reclaim; or breakout >34.06 after a 10–15 min hold.
• Stops: 33.38 (tight) or 32.85 (looser swing).
• Targets: 34.06; 34.50; 34.90–35.00

2) ASML

• Support: 949.2–949.4; 947.5; 943.7
• Resistance: 951.35; 952.66; 955.00
• Price action view: Range 947–952 likely resolves higher if 949 holds; sustained >952.7 can stretch into 955–958.
• Entries: 949.5–949.0 on controlled pullbacks; or >952.7 with volume.
• Stops: 946.8 (tight) or 943.4 (swing).
• Targets: 952.7; 955.0; 957–958

3) TSM

• Support: 276.03; 275.10; 274.28
• Resistance: 276.80; 277.05; 278.00
• Price action view: Higher-low base above 276 favors a squeeze to 277.0–278.0; losing 275.1 delays.
• Entries: 275.3–275.6 on dip; or through 276.8–277.1 with hold.
• Stops: 274.9 (tight) or 274.2 (swing).
• Targets: 277.05; 278.00; 279.00

4) NEGG

• Support: 44.03–44.10; 43.56; 43.00
• Resistance: 44.97–45.00; 45.50; 46.00
• Price action view: Multiple 45 probes suggest an imminent break if 44 holds; could flag 1–2 bars then pop.
• Entries: 44.05–44.20 higher-low reclaim; or >45.00 on volume.
• Stops: 43.40 (tight) or 42.90 (looser).
• Targets: 45.00; 45.80; 46.50

5) MVLL

• Support: 23.25; 22.74; 21.00
• Resistance: 23.90; 24.50; 25.00
• Price action view: Fresh momentum runner. Holding >23.25 keeps the “day 2” continuation setup alive; through 23.90 can accelerate toward 24.5–25.
• Entries: 23.30–23.40 pullback that holds; or break/hold >23.90.
• Stops: 22.40 (beneath mid-day base) or 20.80 (wide swing).
• Targets: 23.90; 24.50; 25.00+

6) VNET

• Support: 11.54; 11.40; 11.33
• Resistance: 11.60–11.68; 11.80; 12.00
• Price action view: Tight upward channel; expect a push into 11.80, possibly 12 if 11.40–11.54 holds.
• Entries: 11.45–11.52 on a controlled dip; or >11.68 with a flag.
• Stops: 11.28 (below structure).
• Targets: 11.68; 11.80; 12.00

7) CYBR

• Support: 479.2–479.8; 478.7; 475.6
• Resistance: 480.82; 483.93; 484.49
• Price action view: Flag under highs. Hold above 479 and curl through 480.8 sets up 483–485 test. Failure back through 478.7 risks 476.
• Entries: 479.5–480.0 reclaim; or >480.8 with volume.
• Stops: 478.2 (tight) or 475.3 (swing).
• Targets: 483.0; 484.5; 488–490 stretch

8) MASS

• Support: 7.94; 7.88; 7.73
• Resistance: 8.06; 8.20; 8.50
• Price action view: Clean intraday uptrend closing near HOD—often continues day 2. Early dip to ~7.90–7.95 likely gets bought if trend intact.
• Entries: 7.92–7.96 on higher-low confirm; or >8.06 with a tight flag.
• Stops: 7.70 (beneath morning base).
• Targets: 8.20; 8.35; 8.50

9) GRAL

• Support: 47.29; 47.11; 46.47
• Resistance: 47.78–47.95; 48.50; 49.00
• Price action view: Steady grind higher with higher lows; expect continuation to test 47.95–48.50 if 47.1–47.3 holds.
• Entries: 47.30–47.40 on dip buy; or >47.95 continuation.
• Stops: 46.95 (tight) or 46.40 (swing).
• Targets: 47.95; 48.50; 49.00

Risk management and notes

• With only intraday data available, these are momentum-driven setups. If the semi group (SOXL/ASML/TSM) weakens broadly, trim expectations across growth/tech.
• Use bracketed orders on breakouts; avoid chasing extended candles. Place stops just beyond the next identifiable support to avoid noise.
• If first push fails (especially on MVLL/NEGG), consider waiting for a second setup after a higher low forms.

If you want me to incorporate true 10–30 day levels, send daily OHLCV or confirm permission to pull those from an external source, and I’ll refine supports/resistances and ATR-based targets accordingly.