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Continuation Breakout Thursday 1PM 11/20/2025

November 20, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed: 2025-11-20 from 11:00 to 13:00; plus limited prints around 2025-11-19 15:00 for LPA)
– Data scope note: The dataset is intraday 30‑minute bars for today’s mid‑day window (not a full 30‑day history). I emphasize the last 10 intraday bars’ behavior and derive near‑term swing context from that structure.

  • Standouts: Crypto/digital-asset proxies showed broad strength and expanding ranges/volume:
    • ETHD, SBIT, CONI, CORD posted higher highs through midday with persistent bid and shallow pullbacks—classic momentum continuation conditions for 1–3 day swings.
  • Weak/Cooling groups:
    • Industrials/Transports and cap‑goods faded: FDX, PH, APD, STE all stair‑stepped lower intraday.
    • Financials heavy: GS sold off hard from 811 → 777 before stabilizing near 781.
    • Precious metals/miners soft: WPM and GAU bled lower intraday on rising volume—risk‑off for metals vs risk‑on in crypto proxies.
    • Health care/biotech mixed to weak: APGE trended down; TXG, EWTX, BDX, ALGN slid; ABVX highly volatile with heavy selling, then a bounce into 121; ANVS held 3.78–3.84 support but no breakout yet.
    • Tech/comm equipment: CIEN had a sharp dump from ~199 to ~183; AKAM trended down most of the window then stabilized.
  • Read‑through: Risk appetite appears concentrated in crypto‑linked exposures (ETHD, SBIT, CONI, CORD) while cyclicals and defensives underperformed. That rotation favors short‑term momentum continuation in those crypto‑sensitive tickers over the next 1–3 sessions.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Likely to go up (strongest bullish signals):
– ETHD, SBIT, CONI, CORD
– Secondary/speculative long candidates (need confirmation on next session open):
– AMPL (reclaimed 10 after a morning dip; constructive if 9.95–10.00 holds)

Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plan (1–3 day swing)

ETHD
– Structure: Large trend day up with higher highs (HOD ~64.01), shallow pullbacks, and elevated intraday volume; closed ~63.19.
– Key support (demand):
– 63.20–63.00 (midday shelf)
– 61.80–61.40 (12:30–11:30 pullback basin)
– 60.80–60.40 (late morning pivot)
– Key resistance (supply):
– 63.67–64.01 (intraday high zone)
– 65.00 (psychological)
– 66.00 (extension)
– 30‑min based prediction (2–3 days):
– Prefer an opening dip-and-rip. If 63.00 holds, look for a push to retest 64.00, then 65.00. Strong tape could extend toward 66.00 within 1–2 sessions.
– Price targets (1–3 day):
– T1 63.70–64.00; T2 65.00; T3 66.00
– Entry:
– Aggressive: 63.20–63.00
– Conservative: 61.90–61.50 (only if market-wide crypto risk stays firm)
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 60.95
– Swing: 60.35
finviz dynamic chart for  ETHD

SBIT
– Structure: Trend up, series of higher lows; HOD ~47.49; holding 46s into the close.
– Key support:
– 46.30–46.10
– 45.80–45.65
– 45.05–44.90
– Key resistance:
– 46.90–47.13
– 47.49 (HOD)
– 48.50 (measured move/extension)
– 30‑min based prediction (2–3 days):
– Holding above 46.10 favors a retest of 47.13/47.49. A strong close above 47.50 opens 48.5 over 1–2 sessions.
– Price targets:
– T1 46.90–47.13; T2 47.49; T3 48.50
– Entry:
– 46.40–46.10 on pullbacks
– Add on a clean 47.15–47.20 breakout with volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 45.55
– Swing: 44.85
finviz dynamic chart for  SBIT

CONI
– Structure: Powerful momentum session from ~59 to ~68 with controlled consolidations; closing ~66.08 after testing 66.56.
– Key support:
– 66.00–65.85
– 64.96 (breakout pivot)
– 62.80–62.30 (prior base)
– Key resistance:
– 66.93
– 68.00 (session high)
– 70.00 (round-number extension)
– 30‑min based prediction (2–3 days):
– Base over 66 leads to 66.9/68 retest. Break and hold over 68 targets 70 within 1–3 sessions.
– Price targets:
– T1 66.90–67.00; T2 68.00; T3 70.00
– Entry:
– 66.20–65.90 first buy zone
– 65.10–65.00 second-chance buy on deeper backtest (only if buyers defend quickly)
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 64.45
– Swing: 62.80
finviz dynamic chart for  CONI

CORD
– Structure: Explosive upside (47 → 55.6) with higher lows; closed near 53.8–54 after consolidating.
– Key support:
– 54.20–53.80
– 52.60–52.00
– 50.40–49.50 (gap/pivot area)
– Key resistance:
– 55.02
– 55.57 (HOD)
– 57.00 (extension)
– 30‑min based prediction (2–3 days):
– As long as 53.8 holds, look for a grind to 55.0/55.6; a breakout there can extend to ~57 on momentum carry.
– Price targets:
– T1 54.80–55.00; T2 55.60; T3 57.00
– Entry:
– 54.10–53.80 first scale
– 52.80–52.20 add only if the trend remains intact across crypto cohort
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 51.90
– Swing: 49.20
finviz dynamic chart for  CORD

AMPL
– Structure: Morning fade to 9.85, then steady reclaim and close above 10.07—constructive “buy-the-dip then hold” behavior.
– Key support:
– 10.00–9.98
– 9.93–9.90
– 9.86–9.85 (session floor)
– Key resistance:
– 10.11
– 10.22 (session high)
– 10.40 (extension from intraday range)
– 30‑min based prediction (2–3 days):
– Hold above 9.98 → 10.11 retest; through 10.22 can see 10.35–10.40 over 1–2 sessions.
– Price targets:
– T1 10.11; T2 10.22; T3 10.35–10.40
– Entry:
– 10.02–9.98; add 9.92–9.90 if defended
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 9.83
– Swing: 9.74
finviz dynamic chart for  AMPL

Notes on non‑selected names (context)
– Metals/miners (WPM, GAU): Lower highs and steady selling intraday—no long edge until they reclaim intraday lower‑high pivots.
– Industrials/Cap‑goods (FDX, PH, APD, STE): Trend down intraday; look for mean‑reversion bounces only after basing—no confirmation yet.
– Biotech/HC (APGE, TXG, EWTX): Weak tapes; avoid longs until they print higher low + higher high on 30‑min.
– High‑beta tech/infra (CIEN, AKAM): Distribution today; wait for stabilization.
– GS/Financials: GS heavy—risk appetite not broad-based; stays a headwind for cyclicals.

Risk management
– For momentum continuations, use staggered entries at support and trail stops under the most recent higher low on the 30‑min. If the crypto cohort (ETHD/SBIT/CONI/CORD) collectively loses their midday shelves, reduce exposure; these are fast‑moving tapes.

If you want, share full 30‑day daily bars and full intraday history; I’ll refine the daily supply/demand zones and ATR‑anchored targets with higher precision.

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