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Continuation Breakout Thursday 1PM 10/23/2025

October 23, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Analyzed window (EST): 2025-10-23, primarily 11:00–13:00 for most tickers (RAASY includes 09:30–13:00). Only this intraday window was provided, so commentary focuses on the most recent 30-minute structure and volume rotation.

  • Leadership/rotation
    • Healthcare and services showed steady accumulation: UNH, HCA, WST, WAT, BIO, MTD, NTRA printed higher highs/higher lows with persistent bids and supportive volume. Life-science tools (WAT, MTD) also firm.
    • Aerospace/Defense firm: TDG trended up; small/mid-cap services/distribution VSEC led with a clean, persistent intraday uptrend and rising volume into 13:00.
    • Consumer Discretionary mixed: TSLA broke out powerfully midday on surging volume (clear relative strength). RL flat to slightly bid; BOOT faded.
    • Semis and storage mixed: MU had a strong push then faded; STX held a mild trend; WDC faded; NVMI (semicap) constructive with a higher-high sequence. VICR choppy.
    • Software/Cloud largely neutral to soft: ADSK, MDB, CRWD, DOCN, APPF churned with modest ranges; DOCN failed to hold above 40. META (Comm Services) drifted sideways to slightly lower on decreasing momentum.
    • Small-cap/spec names mostly illiquid or under pressure: GPRO and ESTA faded; CBIO/ATXS/RAASY thin and erratic.

Notable intraday patterns
– Momentum breakouts with volume expansion: TSLA’s 12:30–13:00 surge; VSEC’s accelerating trend; UNH/HCA’s steady grind higher.
– Mixed semis: memory (MU, WDC) indecisive; equipment (NVMI) firmer.
– Defensive/Healthcare bid suggests continued rotation into higher-quality earnings/visibility names.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely to trend higher near term (strongest signals first):
– TSLA – clear momentum breakout with heavy volume; likely to probe above 450 if pullbacks hold higher lows.
– VSEC – persistent higher-highs with rising volume; room toward 180–183 if 176–175 zone holds.
– UNH – orderly trend, higher highs/lows; could press into 362–365 if 359–360 holds.
– HCA – strong channel up; likely continuation toward 448–452.
– NVMI – constructive higher-high sequence; needs to reclaim 337.7 for continuation.
– STX – steady drift up; slower mover but constructive above 224.

Stocks showing strong bullish signals: TSLA, VSEC, UNH, HCA.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Levels derive from today’s 30-minute structure and obvious nearby psychological zones (acting as near-term daily supply/demand proxies). Targets include nearby resistance and a conservative extension consistent with recent intraday range/typical daily movement for a 1–3 day swing.

TSLA
– Supports: 444.0–442.6; 436.2–436.5; 430.8–431.0
– Resistances: 449.4; 452.0; 458.0–462.0
– 30-min read and 2–3 day view: Momentum breakout from 436 carried to 449.4 with heavy volume. Expect a shallow pullback toward 444–442.6; if buyers defend, a push through 449.4 opens 452 then mid- to high-450s. Lose 436.2, and a backfill toward 433–431 is likely before any second leg.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 449.5–450.5; T2 455–456; T3 461–462
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 444.5–443.5 (preferred if volume dries on the dip)
– Deeper buy 436.8–436.2 if tested and reclaimed
– Breakout add above 449.5 on strong tape
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 441.8
– Standard: below 435.8 (if using the deeper entry)
finviz dynamic chart for  TSLA

VSEC
– Supports: 176.8; 175.4; 174.6–174.2
– Resistances: 179.3; 180.5; 183.0
– 30-min read and 2–3 day view: Clean stair-step up with rising volume into the close of the window. Look for a buyable dip to 176.8–175.4, then a retest of 179.3/180.5. Sustained strength could extend into 182–183.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 179.3–180.5; T2 182.0–183.0; T3 185.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 176.9–176.3
– Deeper buy 175.6–175.4
– Breakout add above 179.35
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 174.9
– Standard: below 173.2
finviz dynamic chart for  VSEC

UNH
– Supports: 360.0; 358.95; 357.3
– Resistances: 361.07; 362.5; 365.0
– 30-min read and 2–3 day view: Higher highs/lows with steady demand. A shallow dip to ~360 that holds should be followed by a push above 361.1 toward 362.5–365. Losing 358.9 risks a retest of 357.3 before any attempt higher.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 361.5–362.0; T2 363.5–365.0; T3 366.5–367.5
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 360.2–359.9
– Deeper buy 359.1–358.9
– Breakout add over 361.2
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 358.8
– Standard: below 357.1
finviz dynamic chart for  UNH

HCA
– Supports: 446.0; 444.5; 443.0
– Resistances: 446.8; 448.5; 452.0
– 30-min read and 2–3 day view: Strong channel up with buyers active every dip. Expect a retest of 446.8; a clean break targets 448.5 then 450–452. If price loses 444.5, look for 443–442.8 before buyers reassert.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 447.5–448.5; T2 450.0–452.0; T3 455.0–456.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 446.2–445.8
– Deeper buy 444.8–444.4
– Breakout add >446.9
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 444.3
– Standard: below 442.7
finviz dynamic chart for  HCA

NVMI
– Supports: 336.0; 335.03; 334.43
– Resistances: 337.71; 338.0–338.5; 339.5
– 30-min read and 2–3 day view: Constructive higher-highs, brief pullback into 13:00. Holding 335.5–336 favors a reclaim of 337.7, then 338.5–339.5. Loss of 334.4 would weaken the setup near term.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 337.7–338.5; T2 339.5; T3 341.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 336.2–335.8
– Deeper buy 335.2–335.0
– Breakout add >337.8
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 334.9
– Standard: below 334.3
finviz dynamic chart for  NVMI

STX
– Supports: 224.1; 223.1; 222.7
– Resistances: 225.6; 226.8; 228.0
– 30-min read and 2–3 day view: Gentle uptrend with higher lows; a slow mover. Above 224, buyers can grind price into 225.6/226.8. Failure below 223 weakens momentum and risks a 222.7 retest.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 225.6; T2 226.8; T3 228.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 224.3–224.0
– Deeper buy 223.4–223.1
– Breakout add >225.6
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 223.0
– Standard: below 222.6
finviz dynamic chart for  STX

Additional notes
– Also constructive: NTRA (steady bid; watch 192.1 break) and TDG (trend up but thin).
– Caution/avoid on long side near term: WDC (intraday fade), MU (pop then fade; needs to firm), DOCN (failed above 40), GPRO/ESTA (weak tapes), highly illiquid RAASY/CBIO/ATXS for short-term swings.

Risk management
– Consider scaling entries at supports, trimming into targets, and using stop placement just beyond the nearest invalidation level. Adjust size for volatility; TSLA tends to require wider stops than UNH/STX.

If you can share the full 30-day history next time, I’ll refine these levels with true daily supply/demand zones and ATR-calibrated targets.

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