Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range reviewed: 2025-09-24 14:00 to 2025-09-25 12:00)
Note: The data provided covers intraday 30‑minute bars into mid‑day 9/25 (plus a few late prints on 9/24), not a full 30‑day history. The commentary below emphasizes the last session’s 30‑minute structure and how that typically carries forward over the next 1–3 days for momentum swing setups.
- Semiconductors led decisively:
- Broad, synchronized strength across SOXL (semis 3x), ASML, KLAC, TSM, and SKYT. SOXL ripped from 31.8 to ~34 with persistent dip buying; ASML, KLAC, and TSM stair‑stepped higher with higher lows and closes near the top of their morning ranges. This is classic sector breadth + momentum, often good for 1–3 day follow‑through.
- AI/Software/Infra strong and orderly:
- PLTR trended higher off the open and held above successive pullbacks. IBM firmed. CIEN (optical/networking) pushed to HOD into mid‑day. VNET (China data center/internet infra) showed range expansion with heavy volume and held gains—bullish character.
- China/ADR and e‑commerce risk‑on tone:
- VNET, NEGG, JMIA, and NIO all bid intraday with expanding early volume. That cohort tends to move together; any continuation in semis/tech risk can keep this group buoyant short term.
- Biotech: selective momentum, high risk:
- QLGN exploded on outsized volume; ASMB trended up steadily; RGTX displayed large range volatility. These are best traded on tight risk around consolidation pivots.
- Materials/Energy mixed:
- METC (coal) trended up; LITM (lithium) bid; SBSW (PGMs) faded; LODE flat to down—no unified read.
- Crypto miners constructive:
- IREN advanced on heavy volume with higher lows; EBON up but illiquid. If BTC holds bid, IREN typically outperforms in the short term.
- Financials/Industrials steady:
- AXP and BLK edged higher; IESC and MTZ climbed in an orderly fashion—supportive but not leadership tape versus semis.
Noticeable short‑term patterns (tickers): strong “closes near highs” and higher‑low sequences in SOXL, TSM, ASML, KLAC, CIEN, VNET, PLTR, IREN—these are the hallmarks of potential 1–3 day continuation when sector breadth is aligned.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue up:
– SOXL, TSM, ASML, KLAC, PLTR, VNET, IREN, CIEN
Strongest bullish signals:
– VNET: Range expansion + heavy volume, held VWAP and prior spikes (10.8→11.7) and based near 11.4—typically leads to another leg after a brief coil.
– IREN: High volume, higher lows, strong close near intraday highs; crypto beta tailwind.
– SOXL: Sector breadth tailwind with persistent dip buys and HOD retests; 3x vehicle benefits from continuation days.
– CIEN: HOD close after reclaiming all dips—classic squeeze/continuation structure.
– PLTR: Trend day behavior with buyers defending pullbacks around 182–183.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plans, 30‑min driven)
SOXL (Semis 3x ETF)
– Key supports: 33.07; 32.93; 31.82
– Key resistances: 34.06; 34.50; 35.00
– 30‑min outlook (2–3 days): Expect a shallow pullback toward 33.1–33.4, then a push to re‑test 34.06. A clean 30‑min close above 34.06 opens 34.50 → 35.00. Failure back below 32.93 risks a deeper mean reversion to ~32.3–32.0.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 34.50 (T1), 35.20 (T2), 36.00 (T3) if semis remain broad‑based strong.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 33.20–33.40 with strength returning on 5–15 min.
– Breakout add/alt: Over 34.10 on volume.
– Stop ideas: 32.85 (tighter); 31.75 (looser, under session low).
TSM
– Key supports: 275.00; 274.30; 272.50
– Key resistances: 276.80; 277.50–278.00; 280.00
– 30‑min outlook: Dips that hold 275–274.3 likely base for a push through 276.8. Above 276.8, momentum can carry to 277.8–278.5; a solid daily close above 278 places 280–282 in play.
– Swing targets: 277.80 (T1), 279.80 (T2), 282.00–283.00 (T3).
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 275.10–275.50.
– Breakout above 276.80 with rising volume.
– Stops: 274.10 (tight, below pivot); 272.40 (roomier, below session low band).
ASML
– Key supports: 945.00; 943.70; 939.60
– Key resistances: 951.70; 955.00; 960.00–962.00
– 30‑min outlook: Favor a drift‑down open toward 946–947 that gets bought; reclaim of 951.7 sets a path to 955 then 960+. Loss of 943.7 would delay the move and risk a test of 940.
– Swing targets: 955 (T1), 960 (T2), 968–972 (T3) if semis strength persists.
– Entries:
– Pullback into 946–947 with reversal signal.
– Breakout through 951.8 with confirmation.
– Stops: 943.0 (tight); 939.0 (swing).
KLAC
– Key supports: 1060.00; 1059.24; 1058.45
– Key resistances: 1066.99; 1070.00; 1075.00
– 30‑min outlook: Expect coil above 1060 then expansion through 1067; sustained trade >1067 can press 1070 then 1075. Lose 1058.5 and the setup likely defers to a deeper dip buy.
– Swing targets: 1067 (T1), 1070 (T2), 1075–1078 (T3).
– Entries:
– Pullback 1060–1062 with higher‑low confirmation.
– Breakout through 1067 on uptick in volume.
– Stops: 1058.2 (tight); 1056.5 (looser).
PLTR
– Key supports: 182.70; 181.60; 180.00
– Key resistances: 184.32; 185.00; 187.00
– 30‑min outlook: Strong trend character—look for a shallow dip toward 182.7–183.1 to get bought, then a retest of 184.3. A 30‑min hold >185 opens 187+. Breaks below 181.6 likely produce a fuller fade to ~180.
– Swing targets: 185.00 (T1), 187.00 (T2), 190.00 (T3) if momentum compounds.
– Entries:
– Pullback 182.8–183.2 with intraday higher low.
– Breakout >184.40 with expanding volume.
– Stops: 181.4 (tight); 179.9 (looser swing).
VNET
– Key supports: 11.09–11.10; 10.82; 10.66
– Key resistances: 11.68; 11.80; 12.00–12.30
– 30‑min outlook: Post‑expansion coil favored; holding above 11.1 maintains the higher‑low structure. Through 11.68/11.80, momentum often carries into the 12.0–12.3 supply band.
– Swing targets: 11.80 (T1), 12.00 (T2), 12.30 (T3).
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 11.10–11.25 with buyers defending.
– Breakout buy over 11.70–11.75 with tape speed.
– Stops: 10.95 (tight, below VWAP band); 10.75 (roomier).
IREN
– Key supports: 47.98; 47.25; 47.11
– Key resistances: 48.61; 49.10; 49.40–50.00
– 30‑min outlook: Strong beta tape; expect dips into 48.0–48.1 to be bought if crypto stays bid. Above 48.61, watch 49.10 then 49.40/50. A loss of 47.25 would caution for deeper consolidation first.
– Swing targets: 49.10 (T1), 49.40 (T2), 50.00–50.50 (T3).
– Entries:
– Pullback 47.95–48.10 with reversal tell.
– Breakout >48.65 with increasing volume.
– Stops: 47.10–47.20 depending on risk.
CIEN
– Key supports: 136.05; 135.22; 134.44
– Key resistances: 137.31; 138.00; 139.50
– 30‑min outlook: HOD close favors continuation. A small dip to ~136.2 that holds could spring a push through 137.3; hold >137.3 opens 138–139.5. Lose 135.2 and momentum likely pauses.
– Swing targets: 138.00 (T1), 139.00 (T2), 140.00 (T3).
– Entries:
– Pullback 136.20–136.40 with buyers stepping in.
– Breakout >137.35 on volume.
– Stops: 135.10 (tight); 134.30 (looser swing).
Honorable mentions for upside watch (higher risk or less liquid): METC (coal uptrend continuation), NB (momentum but verify liquidity), QLGN (biotech momentum—needs tight risk after consolidation), SKYT (semis foundry beta), NEGG/JMIA/NIO (ADR e‑com/EV risk‑on contingent).
Risk notes:
– The above levels derive from the provided 30‑minute intraday structure; a gap against the levels can invalidate a precise entry. Let price confirm by holding a higher low on 5–15 minute charts.
– If broader semis/tech momentum stalls, tighten risk quickly, especially in leveraged products like SOXL and high beta names like IREN and VNET.