Back to Insights

Continuation Breakout Thursday 12PM 11/06/2025

November 6, 2025 6 min read

Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-11-06 from 09:30 to 12:00. Note: Your upload contains only intraday bars from this morning; no prior 10–30 days of daily data were provided. Where I reference “daily” supply/demand zones or ATR-based targets, treat them as price-action zones inferred from today’s 30‑minute structure and common psychological levels; please validate on your daily chart before execution.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis:
– Financials/Exchanges and software-analytics leading: CBOE and FICO both showed steady higher-lows, persistent bids above VWAP, and tight intrabar closes near highs—constructive for continuation.
– Semis/communications mixed breadth: MTSI faded from the open and based; MBX led with a strong trend day (higher highs/lows) and rising volume—typical of momentum continuation setups into the next 1–3 sessions when pullbacks are controlled.
– Industrials/materials lagging: RS bled lower all morning; AMR had a sharp sell then only a partial bounce; GTX range-bound. This points to supply overhead and a lack of aggressive dip-buying in cyclicals today.
– Biotech bifurcation: Large/mid-caps mixed (ARGX constructive chop; INBX and EWTX soft; RCUS steady grind). Select small caps caught risk-on flows (EVAX firmed into HOD, PYXS range-bound). LLYX (sector not confirmed from the file) showed a strong intraday uptrend and expanding volume—price-only, it traded like a biotech/small-cap momentum name.
– Real estate subdued: KW tightly range-bound with muted range expansion.

Noticeable patterns:
– “Strong hands grind” in CBOE/FICO (higher lows, closing near bar highs) suggests institutional participation and potential for multiday drift-up.
– “Selective momentum” in smaller tech/biotech (MBX, LLYX, EVAX) with higher highs and volume builds—a classic 1–3 day swing window provided dips stay shallow and volume doesn’t vanish.
– “Distribution/indecision” in materials/industrials (RS, AMR, GTX) with weak bounces, implying rallies may be sold until proven otherwise.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days):
Likely upside continuation:
– FICO, CBOE, VSEC, MBX, LLYX, EVAX (speculative)
Strongest bullish signals today:
– MBX and LLYX: clean intraday trend, expanding volume, closes near highs.
– CBOE and FICO: institutional grind, held above VWAP with minimal give-back.
– VSEC: steady trend with controlled pullbacks, typical of stair-step advances.

Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plan)
Note: Supports/resistances include intraday highs/lows, round-number pivots, and nearby “daily” zones to validate on your daily chart. ATR-based targets are expressed relative to structure—confirm ATR(14) on your platform for sizing.

FICO (Fair Isaac)
– Setup: Trend morning with a spike to ~1768, shallow consolidation above 1730s—constructive higher-low structure.
– Key support: 1732, 1718, 1687–1692 (demand zone)
– Key resistance: 1745–1753, 1768–1775 (supply), 1795–1805
– 2–3 day expectation: Bullish bias for a flag break; holding >1732 favors retest of 1768–1775, with potential extension toward ~1800 if volume persists.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 1732–1738 reclaim with rising 30-min volume
– Breakout buy: >1769 with intraday hold above breakout
– Stops:
– Conservative: below 1718
– Aggressive: below 1730 swing low
– Targets:
– T1: 1753
– T2: 1768–1775
– T3: ~1795–1805 or about +1.0x your daily ATR from entry if momentum accelerates
finviz dynamic chart for  FICO

CBOE (Cboe Global Markets)
– Setup: Higher lows, push to ~251.8; strong tape for an exchange operator on stable bid.
– Key support: 250.6, 249.9–250.0, 248.9
– Key resistance: 251.8–252.0, 253.0, 255.0
– 2–3 day expectation: Gradual grind higher; dips to 250–251 likely bought; look for 253 first, then 255 on a strong day.
– Entries:
– Pullback: 250.6–251.0 with strength back above VWAP
– Breakout: >251.9 hold
– Stops:
– Below 249.9 (tight)
– Below 248.9 (roomy)
– Targets:
– T1: 253.0
– T2: 254.5–255.0
– T3: ~+1.0x daily ATR above entry if breakout holds
finviz dynamic chart for  CBOE

VSEC (VSE Corp)
– Setup: Stair-stepping uptrend; higher highs into 177s; controlled pullbacks—bullish continuation profile.
– Key support: 176.2, 175.4, 174.0
– Key resistance: 177.8, 179.0, 181.0
– 2–3 day expectation: Continuation if 175.4–176.2 holds; look for pushes into 179 then 181.
– Entries:
– Pullback: 175.5–176.2 with tight risk
– Breakout: >177.9 with volume push
– Stops:
– Below 175.4 (tight)
– Below 174.0 (swing)
– Targets:
– T1: 179.0
– T2: 180.5–181.0
– T3: ~+0.8–1.2x daily ATR above entry on a momentum day
finviz dynamic chart for  VSEC

MBX
– Setup: Strong trend day from ~23.5 to ~25.1 with persistent bids—classic momentum candidate in semis/communications space.
– Key support: 24.6, 24.0, 23.5
– Key resistance: 25.13 (intraday high), 25.5, 26.5
– 2–3 day expectation: Favor continuation while >24.6; a tight bull flag could trigger a push through 25.1 toward mid-26s if volume holds.
– Entries:
– Pullback: 24.6–24.8 reclaim
– Breakout: >25.15 with volume expansion
– Stops:
– Tight: below 24.2
– Swing: below 24.0/23.9
– Targets:
– T1: 25.50
– T2: 26.00
– T3: 26.8 or ~+1.0x daily ATR above entry if the squeeze continues
finviz dynamic chart for  MBX

LLYX
– Setup: Clean intraday uptrend to ~20.65 with strong volume; price-only momentum signal.
– Key support: 20.30–20.35, 20.00, 19.85
– Key resistance: 20.65, 21.00, 21.50
– 2–3 day expectation: Bullish above 20.30; a break/hold over 20.65 opens 21–21.5. Watch for shallow flags; avoid if volume collapses.
– Entries:
– Pullback: 20.20–20.35 with higher low confirmation
– Breakout: >20.66 sustained
– Stops:
– Below 20.00 (tight)
– Below 19.85 (swing)
– Targets:
– T1: 21.00
– T2: 21.40–21.50
– T3: ~22.00 or about +1.0x daily ATR from entry if continuation persists
finviz dynamic chart for  LLYX

EVAX (speculative)
– Setup: Micro-cap momentum; steady bid and spike toward 6.44; liquidity risk elevated.
– Key support: 6.10, 5.97, 5.93
– Key resistance: 6.44, 6.70, 7.00
– 2–3 day expectation: Volatility expansion possible. Over 6.44 can squeeze to 6.7–7.0 quickly; below 6.10 risks full fade into the 5.90s.
– Entries:
– Pullback: 6.10–6.20 with swift reclaim
– Breakout: >6.45 with rising volume
– Stops:
– Tight: below 5.97
– Hard: below 5.93
– Targets:
– T1: 6.45–6.50
– T2: 6.70
– T3: 7.00 or ~+1.0x daily ATR above entry (size small due to volatility)
finviz dynamic chart for  EVAX

Bonus quick reads (watchlist bias-up but not primary setups):
– ARGX: Firm chop; watch >855.7 for continuation toward 860–865. Supports 849–851.
– RCUS: Grinding higher; over 19.80 may test 20.10–20.30. Support 19.50–19.65.

Risk management and execution notes:
– Validate all “daily” zones and ATR(14) on your platform (your file did not include multi-day data).
– Use staged exits at T1/T2/T3; trail stops under higher lows on 30‑min to stay with trend.
– If the tape flips risk-off (e.g., leaders lose VWAP and can’t reclaim within 2–3 bars), step aside and wait for fresh structure.

If you can share 30 sessions of daily candles (OHLC/volume), I’ll refine the daily supply/demand zones and provide precise ATR-based target ladders.

Share: