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Continuation Breakout Thursday 12PM 10/30/2025

October 30, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis:

Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-10-29 15:30 to 2025-10-30 12:00, with most 30-minute bars from 09:30–12:00 on Oct 30. Note: The uploaded data is intraday for ~1 session rather than a full 30 days. I emphasize today’s 30-minute structure as a proxy for near-term momentum and confirm with sector breadth inside this basket.

Sector takeaways from price/volume in this basket:
– Energy (Up): Refiner and offshore drillers led. PBF trended from 34.38 → 36.53 on rising volume before a controlled midday pullback. Offshore drillers RIG and BORR stair-stepped higher and repeatedly tested round-number resistance (RIG near 4.00, BORR above 3.30). This group shows accumulation and relative strength.
– Tickers: PBF, RIG, BORR.
– Healthcare/Life Sciences Tools (Up): TMO printed a clean series of higher highs/lows from 555.4 → 565.6 with steady demand. MTD flat, HCA/MCK were softer, so tools/outsource equipment > providers.
– Tickers: TMO (leader), MTD (flat), HCA, MCK (softer).
– Software/Cyber/Cloud (Mixed-to-Constructive): MDB advanced 346 → 355 and held most gains; HUBS advanced to 481+; CYBR held above 519 with tests of 522. SNOW lagged, choppy around 270.
– Tickers: MDB, HUBS, CYBR (constructive), SNOW (lagging).
– Financials (Neutral): Early upticks faded to sideways—no decisive breakouts. V, AXP, COF, JPM, GS consolidated near recent highs, suggesting digestion rather than distribution.
– Tickers: V, AXP, COF, JPM, GS.
– Industrials/Cap Goods (Soft): Many faded intraday off early highs. TT, ROK, HON, ITW, DOV, RS lost momentum late morning.
– Tickers: TT, ROK, HON, ITW, DOV, RS.
– Consumer Discretionary (Mixed): MELI held near highs after a strong push; BKNG spiked then faded; GM steady but modest.
– Tickers: MELI (leader), BKNG (fade), GM (steady).
– Small caps/High beta (Caution): Several thin names had erratic moves (CHOW rug-pull to 8.25; LVO/HTCO/DUOT/CAMP low liquidity). HUT’s crypto beta faded mid-morning; ASPI heavy-volume chop.
– Tickers: CHOW (avoid), LVO/HTCO/DUOT/CAMP (illiquid), HUT/ASPI (volatile).

Noticeable patterns:
– Rotation into Energy and Life-Science Tools with persistent bid and clear round-number tests (PBF, RIG, BORR, TMO).
– Select Software (MDB, HUBS, CYBR) showing higher lows and resistance probing, while broader Financials and Industrials consolidate.
– Round-number magnet effects were prominent: RIG 4.00, PBF 36, TMO 565, MDB 355, HUBS 480.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days):

Likely to up-move (strongest first):
– TMO – clean trend continuation setup; strong tape and higher lows.
– MELI – holding near morning highs; momentum continuation above 2411–2414.
– MDB – constructive flag below 355–356 with potential push toward 358–361.
– PBF – energy momentum; pullback buy for a push to re-test 36.2–36.5+.
– RIG – repeated 4.00 tests; a breakout could squeeze to 4.10–4.20.
– BORR – sympathy to RIG; higher lows, potential 3.31–3.50 push.
– HUBS – strength over 480 with shallow pullbacks; continuation likely.

Additional bullish but slightly lower conviction: CYBR (above 519–522 zone).

Individual Stock Analysis:

TMO (Thermo Fisher)
finviz dynamic chart for  TMO
– 30-min context: Persistent climb 555.4 → 565.6 with sequential higher highs/lows and increasing prints into midday.
– Key supports: 562.80; 560.95; 557.60.
– Key resistances: 565.63; 567.50; 570.00.
– 2–3 day price action view: Look for shallow pullback toward 562–563 to base, then continuation to 567.5–570. A range expansion day could test 572+ if momentum persists.
– Entries:
– Pullback: 562.8–563.3.
– Breakout: 565.7–566.1 on volume.
– Stops:
– Tight: 560.40.
– Swing: 557.00.
– 1–3 day targets: 567.5; 569.9–570.5; stretch 572.5.

MDB (MongoDB)
finviz dynamic chart for  MDB
– 30-min context: Strong ramp 346 → 355, then tight consolidation around 352–354; buyers defending dips.
– Key supports: 352.00; 350.70; 346.20.
– Key resistances: 354.40; 355.50; 358.00–360.00.
– 2–3 day price action view: Expect a flag break above 355.5 toward 358.8–360; dips into 351–352 should attract buyers if the trend stays intact.
– Entries:
– Pullback: 351.0–352.0.
– Breakout: 355.6–356.0 with expanding volume.
– Stops:
– Tight: 349.80.
– Swing: 346.00.
– 1–3 day targets: 356.5; 358.8–359.5; 361.5–362.5.

MELI (MercadoLibre)
finviz dynamic chart for  MELI
– 30-min context: Solid thrust to 2414 then tight hold near 2405; relative strength vs market chop.
– Key supports: 2400.00; 2393.86; 2370.00.
– Key resistances: 2411.76; 2414.22; 2430.00–2450.00.
– 2–3 day price action view: Break/hold over 2411–2414 opens 2425–2435; shallow dips to 2395–2403 likely bought.
– Entries:
– Pullback: 2395–2403.
– Breakout: 2414.3–2416.
– Stops:
– Tight: 2388.
– Swing: 2370.
– 1–3 day targets: 2422; 2435; 2450.

PBF (PBF Energy)
finviz dynamic chart for  PBF
– 30-min context: Strong morning trend 34.38 → 36.53, then orderly retrace to 35.8; volume supportive across the advance.
– Key supports: 35.68; 35.27–35.21; 34.38.
– Key resistances: 36.15–36.21; 36.53; 36.80–37.20.
– 2–3 day price action view: Expect a higher low above 35.3–35.7 and a re-test of 36.2–36.5. A clean break over 36.53 targets the upper 36s to low 37s.
– Entries:
– Pullback: 35.30–35.80 (scale-in).
– Breakout: 36.22–36.30.
– Stops:
– Tight: 35.05.
– Swing: 34.30.
– 1–3 day targets: 36.20; 36.53; 37.20.

RIG (Transocean)
finviz dynamic chart for  RIG
– 30-min context: Trend up with multiple tests of 4.00; healthy volume across pushes.
– Key supports: 3.92; 3.82; 3.72.
– Key resistances: 4.00; 4.10; 4.20.
– 2–3 day price action view: Expect a breakout-and-pullback pattern through 4.00; holds above 3.92 favor a push to 4.10–4.20.
– Entries:
– Pullback: 3.90–3.93.
– Breakout: 4.01–4.03 with real-time volume confirmation.
– Stops:
– Tight: 3.80.
– Swing: 3.72.
– 1–3 day targets: 4.05; 4.12–4.15; 4.20–4.25.

BORR (Borr Drilling)
finviz dynamic chart for  BORR
– 30-min context: Stair-step higher to 3.315, then tight pullback to 3.24; sympathy tailwind from RIG.
– Key supports: 3.24; 3.20; 3.02.
– Key resistances: 3.31–3.315; 3.35–3.40; 3.50.
– 2–3 day price action view: Hold above 3.20 and reclaim 3.315 sets 3.40–3.50. A shallow bull flag is forming.
– Entries:
– Pullback: 3.23–3.27.
– Breakout: 3.32–3.34.
– Stops:
– Tight: 3.15.
– Swing: 3.08.
– 1–3 day targets: 3.33; 3.40–3.44; 3.50.

HUBS (HubSpot)
finviz dynamic chart for  HUBS
– 30-min context: Trend higher to 480–481 with constructive dips; relative strength vs software peers.
– Key supports: 479.00; 477.60; 475.72.
– Key resistances: 482.25; 483.82; 486.00–489.00.
– 2–3 day price action view: A push above 483.8 likely tags 486–489; pullbacks toward 478–479 should find buyers if structure remains intact.
– Entries:
– Pullback: 478.5–479.5.
– Breakout: 483.9–484.5.
– Stops:
– Tight: 474.80.
– Swing: 473.50.
– 1–3 day targets: 482.5; 485.5; 489.0.

Optional watchlist (bullish bias, not fully detailed):
– CYBR: Above 519–522 keeps 525–527 in play; support 517.7/519, resistance 521–522/525.

Notes and risk management:
– The dataset is intraday and does not include a full 10–30 day daily context; supply/demand zones are derived from today’s 30-minute structure and obvious round numbers. Adjust levels to your daily chart where prior highs/lows and gaps may refine zones.
– For thin names (e.g., CHOW, LVO, HTCO, DUOT, CAMP), liquidity is a material risk; consider avoiding or using wider stops and smaller size.
– Use real-time volume confirmation on breakouts; if breakouts occur on weak volume, prefer pullback entries near support.

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