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Continuation Breakout Thursday 11AM 12/04/2025

December 4, 2025 5 min read

Datetime range (EST) analyzed
– 2025-12-03 15:00 to 2025-12-04 11:00 EST, using 30-minute bars and aggregated prints.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Industrials/Infrastructure strong and broad: DY, IESC, MYRG, STRL, EME, RBC all printed higher highs vs the prior close with expanding early-session volume. STRL and EME led with clean trend days and range expansion — classic institutional accumulation behavior on 30-min bars.
– Defense/Aerospace bid: AVAV, HII, ESLT advanced with steady higher lows; AVAV showed leadership (multi-point push, closing early bars near highs).
– Semis/Photonics/EMS ripping: COHR (standout; +10%+ morning rally on heavy relative volume), SMTC (trend day), AEIS, JBL, SANM, LASR all firm. This looks like a group move, not just a single-name pop.
– Metals/Materials constructive: SCCO (copper) and RGLD (gold royalty) both green with persistent buying; signals a commodities bid alongside cyclicals.
– Energy and grid: FLNC broke out hard on very heavy volume; CEG trended to fresh intraday highs; FANG steady-to-up. Grid/infrastructure plus energy transition plays attracted flows.
– Small/mid-cap beta rotation visible: BKSY, OPEN, WKEY, PLBY, VEEE, NRIX showed momentum and liquidity. Follow-through tends to favor the highest relative-volume leaders (BKSY, OPEN today).

Noticeable patterns
– Range expansion + strong early closes near HOD across industrials (EME, STRL), defense (AVAV), and photonics/semis (COHR, SMTC) — a hallmark of 1-5 day momentum continuation.
– Multiple group breakouts on synchronized relative volume spikes — raises odds of 2-3 day continuation in group leaders.
– Pullback bids holding prior breakout pivots (e.g., FLNC defended 22.2, SMTC defended ~76.7) — dip buyers active.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2-3 days)
Most likely to continue higher (in order of relative strength + volume profile):
– COHR, FLNC, SMTC, AVAV, STRL, EME, BKSY, OPEN
Secondary watchlist (also constructive): DY, HII, CEG, AEIS, MYRG, LASR

Highlight: Strongest bullish signals
– COHR: explosive breakout on big relative volume and tight higher-low structure.
– FLNC: high-volume breakout from a multi-session base; clean intraday hold of breakout retest.
– SMTC: trend day with controlled pullbacks; higher highs/lows on 30-min bars.
– AVAV: defense leader with steady trend; closes near highs on each push.

Individual Stock Analysis (1-3 day swing setups)
Note: ATR-based targets use today’s intraday range as a proxy for short-term ATR.

1) COHR
– Supports: 183.0-183.4 (10:00 close/10:30 open pivot), 177.4 (10:00 low), 170.0 (premarket pivot/psych).
– Resistances: 186.5 (HOD 10:30), 190.0, 195.0.
– 30-min outlook (2-3 days): Expect a pullback-to-go scenario. If 183 holds on a retest, look for a push through 186.5 toward 189-190. Above 190, momentum can extend into 193-195.
– Price targets (1-3 days): 189-190, 193-195 (ATR proxy ~8-10 pts).
– Entries: 183.5-184.5 on a controlled dip; add on reclaim of 186.5.
– Stops: 181.9 (tight), or 177.2 (beneath key higher low) if giving the trade more room.
finviz dynamic chart for  COHR

2) FLNC
– Supports: 22.18 (10:30 low), 21.05 (10:00 pivot), 20.11 (open pivot).
– Resistances: 22.89 (HOD), 23.50, 24.00-24.50.
– 30-min outlook (2-3 days): Breakout/flag potential. Hold above 22.1-22.3 favors a push to 22.9-23.1; sustained bids above 22.9 open 23.8-24.2.
– Price targets: 22.9-23.3, then 23.8-24.2 (ATR proxy ~1.5-2.0).
– Entries: 22.10-22.30 on a retest; add through 22.90 with momentum.
– Stops: 21.85 (tight), or 21.05 (structural).
finviz dynamic chart for  FLNC

3) SMTC
– Supports: 76.71 (10:30 low), 74.88 (10:00 pivot), 72.78-73.00 (opening swing low/pre).
– Resistances: 78.20 (HOD), 79.50, 81.50.
– 30-min outlook: Trend-day continuation likely if 76.7 holds. Above 78.2, look for 79.2-79.8 first, then a squeeze toward 81-82.
– Price targets: 79.5-79.8, 81.0-82.0 (ATR proxy ~2.0-3.0).
– Entries: 76.90-77.20 on dip; momentum add >78.20.
– Stops: 76.40 (tight), or 74.70 (beneath prior pivot).
finviz dynamic chart for  SMTC

4) AVAV
– Supports: 282.6 (10:30 low), 279.2 (10:00 low), 272.0 (opening low).
– Resistances: 285.3 (HOD), 289.5-290.0, 295.0-300.0.
– 30-min outlook: Buy-the-dip character. Hold 282-283; a push >285.3 targets 289-290, then 294-296.
– Price targets: 289-290, 294-296 (ATR proxy ~6-8).
– Entries: 283.0-284.0 on orderly pullback; add >285.5 on volume.
– Stops: 281.8 (tight), or 279.0 (deeper structure).
finviz dynamic chart for  AVAV

5) STRL
– Supports: 329.99 (10:30 low), 321.6-322.0 (10:00 pivot), 313.0 (opening swing low).
– Resistances: 333.23 (HOD), 335.5-336.5, 340-342.
– 30-min outlook: Flagging under highs; above 333.2 opens 335-336, then 339-341 if group strength persists.
– Price targets: 335-336, 339-341 (ATR proxy ~5-7).
– Entries: 330-331 pullback; add through 333.3.
– Stops: 329.5 (tight), or 321.5 (beneath prior base).
finviz dynamic chart for  STRL

6) EME
– Supports: 622.6 (10:30 low), 614.1 (10:00 pivot), 607.0 (opening swing low).
– Resistances: 628.8 (HOD), 632.0-633.0, 640.0.
– 30-min outlook: Steady trend; hold above 622-624 to attempt 628.8 retest; breakout aims 631-633 then 637-640.
– Price targets: 631-633, 637-640 (ATR proxy ~8-12).
– Entries: 623-624 pullback; add >629 on expansion.
– Stops: 621.5 (tight), or 614.0 (structural).
finviz dynamic chart for  EME

7) BKSY
– Supports: 18.67 (10:30 low), 17.85 (10:00 pivot), 17.39 (opening low).
– Resistances: 19.50 (HOD), 20.00, 20.8-21.0.
– 30-min outlook: Strong small-cap momentum. If 18.7-19.0 holds, look for 19.9-20.1; breakout over 19.5 targets a round-number magnet at 20, then 20.7-21.0.
– Price targets: 19.9-20.1, 20.7-21.0 (ATR proxy ~1.0+).
– Entries: 18.85-19.00 dip; add >19.50.
– Stops: 18.65 (tight), or 17.95 (beneath prior swing).
finviz dynamic chart for  BKSY

8) OPEN
– Supports: 7.05 (10:30 low), 6.96 (10:00 low), 6.91 (opening low).
– Resistances: 7.23 (10:00 HOD), 7.30, 7.50.
– 30-min outlook: Range expansion with consolidation. Hold 7.05-7.10; push >7.23 can squeeze to 7.30-7.35, then 7.45-7.50 if momentum returns to housing/online RE.
– Price targets: 7.22-7.25, 7.45-7.50 (ATR proxy ~0.35-0.45).
– Entries: 7.05-7.10 on reclaim; add >7.23 on volume.
– Stops: 6.98 (tight), or 6.85 (beneath morning base).
finviz dynamic chart for  OPEN

Quick sector read-through on notable runners (secondary)
– DY: constructive continuation; watch 354-358 as resistance; above 358 can extend toward 362-365. Support 350-351.
– HII: steady up-channel; supports 313-314; resistance 315.8/318.
– CEG: breakout structure; support 370-372; resistance 373.8-375.
– AEIS, LASR, JBL, SANM: broadening semi/photonics bid; buy dips into intraday supports for continuation.

Risk management notes
– Favor leaders with highest relative volume and clean higher-low structure (COHR, FLNC, SMTC, AVAV).
– Enter near supports with predefined stops; avoid chasing extended candles without a plan to add only on proper retests.
– If market breadth rolls over, tighten stops to first support breaks; momentum setups unwind quickly.

This column focuses on 1-3 day momentum swings using today’s 30-minute structure and relative volume as the primary signal, with targets anchored to nearby resistance and today’s range as an ATR proxy.

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