Back to Insights

Continuation Breakout Thursday 11AM 10/23/2025

October 23, 2025 4 min read

Analysis window (EST): 2025-10-23 09:30–11:30. Only this intraday 30-minute window was provided; no 30-day history was included. I’ll focus on today’s momentum structure and relative volume/strength as a proxy for near-term (1–5 days) swing direction, and emphasize the most recent 10 bars.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

  • Semiconductors and storage leading: WDC, MU, STX, NVMI, and SNDK printed strong opening drives, higher lows, and continued accumulation through the morning. MU reclaimed pullback lows and pushed back toward the morning highs; WDC stair-stepped with controlled dips; NVMI showed a steady grind higher on light but persistent bid. This is the strongest pocket of momentum.
  • Cybersecurity/Software bifurcation: CRWD broke and held above 515 with repeated pushes toward 520+ (leadership behavior). MDB faded its open and sat heavy; ADSK also faded slightly—software broadly mixed, with cybersecurity the standout.
  • Megacap tech neutral: META was rangebound (739–741) with no net progress; constructive but not a momentum leader today.
  • Industrials mixed: TDG trended up smoothly (leadership tone). URI had a big pop then persistent selloff (distribution intraday). JBL stair-stepped higher and held gains.
  • Healthcare mixed: NTRA controlled upward drift; LLY rangebound with modest bid; WST faded off early spike; ABVX rangey.
  • Consumer/Other: FWRG trended lower after the open (risk-off for small-cap restaurant today). ESTA, VSEC largely basing/sideways.

Notable patterns and takeaways

  • Momentum rotation into semis (WDC, MU, NVMI, STX) and cybersecurity (CRWD). Industrials split with quality trend (TDG) vs. selloff (URI).
  • Leaders are showing: strong opening range breaks, higher highs/lows, holding above VWAP-like pivots, and controlled pullbacks on lighter volume. Laggards show morning fades that weren’t reclaimed (URI, WST, FWRG, MDB).

Ticker Performance Prediction (2–3 days)
Most likely to continue higher:

  • Strongest bullish signals: WDC, MU, CRWD
  • Additional upside candidates: NVMI, TDG, NTRA, JBL, STX (sympathy to storage strength)

Caveat: Without 30-day ATR/daily supply-demand, ATR-based targets are approximations using the morning range. Replace with your ATR(14) if available.

Individual Stock Analysis
WDC

  • Support: 125.20; 123.87; 121.72
  • Resistance: 126.27; 126.40; 126.67 (then 128.00)
  • Next 2–3 day price action (30-min read): Holding above 125.2 favors a grind to retest 126.4–126.7 and a potential breakout toward 128. A loss of 123.9 likely backfills to 122s before dip buyers step in.
  • Swing targets (1–3 days): 126.7; 128.0; 129.2–129.5
  • Suggested entry: Pullback buy 125.2–125.6 or breakout/retest >126.4
  • Stop-loss: Tight 124.9; wider 123.8
finviz dynamic chart for  WDC

MU

  • Support: 203.60; 201.60; 200.72
  • Resistance: 205.25; 205.99; 208.00
  • Next 2–3 day price action: As long as 203.6–204.0 holds, expect tests of 205.3–206. A clean break and hold above 206 opens 208–211. Lose 201.6 and you likely revisit 200.7.
  • Swing targets: 206.0; 208.5; 211.0
  • Suggested entry: 203.8–204.2 on a higher-low; or >205.3 breakout/retest
  • Stop-loss: Tight 201.9–202.2; wider 200.7
finviz dynamic chart for  MU

CRWD

  • Support: 515.12; 511.36; 499.98
  • Resistance: 519.80; 520.98; 523–525
  • Next 2–3 day price action: Holding 515–516 keeps momentum to 520–521 and potentially 523–525. Failure back below 515 likely mean-reverts to 511–512 where buyers should defend.
  • Swing targets: 521; 525; 532
  • Suggested entry: 516–517 on a higher-low, or post-breakout retest >520
  • Stop-loss: Tight 514.9; wider 511.2
finviz dynamic chart for  CRWD

NVMI

  • Support: 333.00; 331.21; 323.57
  • Resistance: 335.16; 336.00; 338.00
  • Next 2–3 day price action: Trend intact above 333; expect tests of 335–336 and a measured push to 338+. Slip under 333 and you likely probe 331–332 demand.
  • Swing targets: 336.0; 338.5; 342.0
  • Suggested entry: 333.2–334.0 pullback buy; or reclaim/hold >335.2
  • Stop-loss: Tight 331.8–332.1; wider 331.2
finviz dynamic chart for  NVMI

TDG

  • Support: 1339.70; 1333.34; 1325.66
  • Resistance: 1342.59–1342.72; 1345; 1350
  • Next 2–3 day price action: Smooth uptrend favors incremental pushes into 1343–1345; if accepted, 1348–1350 is in play. Lose 1339 and you retest 1333 trend support.
  • Swing targets: 1343; 1348; 1355
  • Suggested entry: 1336–1339 on a higher-low; or breakout/hold >1343
  • Stop-loss: Tight 1333; wider 1329
finviz dynamic chart for  TDG

NTRA

  • Support: 190.07; 189.50; 187.16
  • Resistance: 191.09; 192.00; 194.00
  • Next 2–3 day price action: Constructive drift higher—holding 190 keeps 191–192 tests alive; a clean 192 breakout targets 194. Lose 189.5 and you likely fade to 187s.
  • Swing targets: 191.1; 192.5; 194.5
  • Suggested entry: 190.0–190.6 on a coil; or >191.1 breakout/hold
  • Stop-loss: 189.4 (tight); wider 188.9
finviz dynamic chart for  NTRA

JBL

  • Support: 205.165; 204.24; 201.80
  • Resistance: 205.805; 206.50; 208.00
  • Next 2–3 day price action: Uptrend continuation while above 205; expect retests of 205.8–206.5, then 207–208. Below 204.2 opens a move back to 202.
  • Swing targets: 206.0; 207.5; 209.0
  • Suggested entry: 204.8–205.3 higher-low; or >205.8 push/hold
  • Stop-loss: Tight 204.0; wider 203.5
finviz dynamic chart for  JBL

STX

  • Support: 223.12; 221.30; 218.25
  • Resistance: 224.82; 226.17; 228.00
  • Next 2–3 day price action: Sideways-to-up; a hold above 223.4 favors 224.8–226.2 retest. Break 226.2 could magnet 228. Lose 223 and you likely probe 221.3.
  • Swing targets: 225.0; 226.5; 228.5
  • Suggested entry: 223.4–223.9 on a higher-low; or >224.9 break/hold
  • Stop-loss: Tight 222.6; wider 221.2
finviz dynamic chart for  STX

Quick notes on a few others

  • SNDK: Big opening expansion and consolidation in 163–165. Above 165.9 opens 166.5–169; below 161.9 risks a deeper fill.
  • META: Constructive range. Needs a range break >741 to join momentum list; otherwise likely chops.
  • URI: Caution—failed to reclaim after selloff; avoid long until it’s back above 948–955.
  • WST/MDB/FWRG: Weak or fading—avoid longs unless they reclaim morning pivots on rising volume.

If you can share daily data (last 30 sessions) or ATR(14) for each name, I’ll refine the support/resistance zones to true daily supply-demand and tighten ATR-based targets and stops.

Share: