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Continuation Breakout Monday 4PM 9/29/2025

September 29, 2025 4 min read

Datetime range analyzed (Eastern Time): 2025-09-29 13:30–16:00 ET. Note: Only this intraday window was provided; 30-day and last-10-day context wasn’t included. The analysis below emphasizes the most recent intraday structure that typically drives 1–3 day momentum setups.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis:

  • Tech hardware/semis showed notable late-day accumulation: WDC ripped into the close on expanding volume; ONTO and MRAM were more muted/sideways. Software/adtech (APP) held strong near highs with sustained volume.
  • Consumer cyclical outperformed: AZO broke to session highs late; DASH reclaimed VWAP and pushed into a closing ramp.
  • Insurance/financials steady-to-strong: AJG stair-stepped higher to HOD; MA and MSCI were firm but less impulsive.
  • EV/battery and electrification saw speculative afternoon flows: ABAT put in a strong higher-low reversal and broke back above 5.10; FLUX spiked and closed near highs. NAAS was rangebound.
  • Industrials mixed: CAT trended up into the bell with orderly bids; SYM faded late on heavier volume, suggesting supply overhead.
  • Telecom/satellite lagged: GSAT faded from its mid-afternoon spike and couldn’t reclaim VWAP.
  • Micro/illiquids (TOP, BAOS, HTCO, ATRA) showed inconsistent flows and thin tape—lower-quality momentum.

Notable intraday patterns:

  • Late-day volume expansions with closes near HOD (WDC, AZO, AJG, DASH, APP, FLUX, ABAT) favor continuation attempts in the next 1–3 sessions.
  • Faders/weak closes (GSAT, SYM, UMAC) suggest supply and likely early sell-the-rip action unless reclaim levels trigger.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days):
Most likely to push higher (bullish continuation candidates):

  • WDC, APP, AZO, DASH, ABAT, FLUX

Secondary watch (constructive but slightly lower quality/conviction on this tape): AJG, MRAL, VOR, CAT

Individual Stock Analysis (setups for next 1–3 days)

WDC

  • Bias: Bullish continuation if 116 holds.
  • Key supports: 116.00; 115.36–115.38 (intraday base); 114.76.
  • Key resistances: 116.84–117.00 (HOD zone); 118.00; 119.50.
  • 30-minute price-action outlook (2–3 days): Look for an opening test/retest of 116–116.2; hold and curl over 116.84 opens a squeeze toward 118, then 119.5. Failure to hold 116 likely backfills 115.4 for a higher-low attempt.
  • Entry ideas: 116.05–116.25 on dip-and-hold; or 117.05–117.20 on confirmed break/retest.
  • 1–3 day targets: 118.00, 119.50, stretch 121.00 if momentum persists.
  • Stop: 114.70 (below base and last higher low).
finviz dynamic chart for  WDC

APP

  • Bias: Bullish; strong close near highs with sustained liquidity.
  • Key supports: 712.00; 710.70; 709.10.
  • Key resistances: 714.43 (intraday pivot/HOD zone); 717.00; 720.00.
  • 30-minute outlook: Early dip into 711–712 that reclaims 713 favors a push through 714.4 toward 717. Consolidation under 717 sets up a second leg toward 720 on day 2–3 if tech risk-on holds.
  • Entry ideas: 711.8–712.5 hold; or 714.6 break/retest.
  • 1–3 day targets: 717.0, 720.0, stretch 725.0.
  • Stop: 708.90.
finviz dynamic chart for  APP

AZO

  • Bias: Bullish continuation; strong late expansion.
  • Key supports: 4273.8; 4260; 4248.
  • Key resistances: 4280–4285; 4300; 4325.
  • 30-minute outlook: Opening basing above 4260–4270 sets a flag. Over 4285 triggers 4300, then a measured extension toward 4325 on day 2 if dips are bought.
  • Entry ideas: 4265–4275 demand tag and hold; or 4286 break/retest.
  • 1–3 day targets: 4300, 4325, stretch 4350.
  • Stop: 4240.
finviz dynamic chart for  AZO

DASH

  • Bias: Bullish; reclaim and ramp into close.
  • Key supports: 272.00; 271.10; 271.00/270.86 (intraday floor).
  • Key resistances: 273.50 (late print); 275.00; 277.50.
  • 30-minute outlook: Expect a minor backtest of 272–272.2; hold and push through 273.5 sets 275 day-1. If market breadth is favorable, 275 holds as a base for 277.5 on day 2–3.
  • Entry ideas: 272.0–272.3 hold; or 273.6 break/retest.
  • 1–3 day targets: 275.0, 277.5, stretch 280.0.
  • Stop: 270.90.
finviz dynamic chart for  DASH

ABAT

  • Bias: Bullish speculative continuation; strong afternoon reversal and close near highs.
  • Key supports: 5.03–5.05; 4.99; 4.93.
  • Key resistances: 5.17 (HOD); 5.30; 5.50.
  • 30-minute outlook: Watch an opening dip to 5.02–5.06; if defended, push through 5.17 can accelerate into 5.30 with potential extension toward 5.50 on momentum. If it stuffs 5.17, expect a range 4.99–5.17 before next attempt.
  • Entry ideas: 5.02–5.06 demand; or 5.18–5.20 break/retest.
  • 1–3 day targets: 5.30, 5.50, stretch 5.80 with volume.
  • Stop: 4.89 (below intraday higher-low structure).
finviz dynamic chart for  ABAT

FLUX

  • Bias: Bullish; volume expansion and close near highs.
  • Key supports: 4.44–4.48; 4.35; 4.22.
  • Key resistances: 4.51; 4.64; 4.80.
  • 30-minute outlook: First pullback into 4.44–4.48 should decide. Hold and reclaim 4.51 to attack 4.64. Continuation above 4.64 sets up a measured move into 4.80 over 1–3 days if small-cap momentum persists.
  • Entry ideas: 4.44–4.48 hold; or 4.52 break/retest.
  • 1–3 day targets: 4.64, 4.80, stretch 5.00 if flows broaden.
  • Stop: 4.29.
finviz dynamic chart for  FLUX

Secondary watch notes (no full plans, but constructive):

  • AJG: Grinding trend; supports 304.4–305, resistance 305.86/307. Continuation possible on dips.
  • MRAL: Higher highs/lows into close; watch 23.75–24.05 as the pivot for a 24.50–25.00 test.
  • VOR: Late push to 39.80; needs 39.10–39.30 to hold for a 40.20–41.00 attempt.
  • CAT: Orderly bids; 470.7 support vs 472.5–473.5 resistance.

Risk notes:

  • Several names (GSAT, SYM, UMAC) showed late selling—treat bounces as suspect until key reclaim levels are proven.
  • Illiquid tickers (TOP, BAOS, ATRA, HTCO) have wider slippage and less reliable levels; size accordingly or avoid.

If you can share the broader 30-day data, I can layer in higher-timeframe supply/demand zones and ATR-based projections with more precision.

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