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Continuation Breakout Monday 4PM 7/22/2024

July 22, 2024 4 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis:

Datetime Range Analyzed in EST: June 22, 2024 – July 22, 2024

In the past 30 days, the overall market has shown mixed dynamics across different sectors and industries based on the stocks provided. Recently, the market seems to be exhibiting signs of strengthening momentum in certain sectors like housing and construction, technology, and financial services. Analyzing the price and volume data reveals several noticeable trends.

Key Sector Observations:

  1. Housing and Construction:
    • Tickers: TOL, LEN, MTH, NVR, CCS
    • Performance: This sector has shown relatively strong performance. TOL (Toll Brothers) and LEN (Lennar Corporation) have held their gains steadily with increasing volumes, indicating accumulation. NVR (NVR Inc.) had a recent strong price surge, but with some volatility. Overall, the sector is demonstrating consolidation near highs, a bullish signal.
  2. Technology and Software:
    • Tickers: NOW, APPF, WIX, FICO
    • Performance: Strong upward momentum in tech stocks, particularly APPF (AppFolio) and NOW (ServiceNow). FICO (Fair Isaac) has shown remarkable resilience with its price consistently testing new highs. The increasing volume in NOW indicates high investor interest.
  3. Financial Services:
    • Tickers: HLNE, SFBS, TBBK
    • Performance: Mixed signals in financials. While HLNE (Hamilton Lane) and TBBK (The Bancorp) show bullish patterns with price uplift supported by volume spikes, SFBS (ServisFirst Bancshares) is struggling with resistance, leading to price stagnation.
  4. Biotechnology and Pharmaceuticals:
    • Tickers: RNA, ORIC, ALEC
    • Performance: Volatility is a key aspect in this sector. RNA (Avidity Biosciences) and ORIC (Oric Pharmaceuticals) display high volatility but have held key support levels. ALEC (Alector) has shown bullish sentiment with strong upward price movement and volume.
  5. Consumer Discretionary:
    • Tickers: MSCI, WSM, CSL
    • Performance: Strong recent performance, especially MSCI (MSCI Inc.) and WSM (Williams-Sonoma) which indicated upward price movements supported by volume, suggesting institutional accumulation.
  • The housing sector is consolidating near highs, suggesting potential for breakout or a continuation of the trend.
  • Technological stocks are consistently gaining ground with solid volume support, indicating strong sector sentiment.
  • Financial services exhibit mixed signals with selective bullish opportunities.
  • Biotech stocks showing high volatility but maintaining upward momentum.

Ticker Performance Prediction:

Based on the recent 10 days of price volume development, the following tickers are likely to go up in the next 2-3 days:
1. APPF – AppFolio, Inc.
2. TOL – Toll Brothers, Inc.
3. NOW – ServiceNow, Inc.
4. WIX – Wix.com Ltd.
5. HLNE – Hamilton Lane Incorporated
6. RNA – Avidity Biosciences, Inc.
7. ORIC – Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Highlighted Stocks Showing Strong Bullish Signals:

  • APPF – Increased volume and steady closing above key support levels.
  • NOW – Continual upward momentum with bullish volume spikes.
  • HLNE – Positive price movements with volume build-up.

Individual Stock Analysis:

1. AppFolio, Inc. (APPF)

  • Support Levels: $268.00, $266.00, $263.00
  • Resistance Levels: $272.00, $275.00, $278.00
  • Price Action Prediction: APPF is likely to test $272.00 in the next 2-3 trading days. Look for a potential breakout above $275.00 with increased volume.
  • Entry Point: Near $268.00
  • Stop-Loss Level: Just below $266.00
  • Price Targets: $272.00, $275.00, $278.00
  • Chart: finviz dynamic chart for  APPF

2. Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL)

  • Support Levels: $132.00, $130.00, $128.00
  • Resistance Levels: $135.00, $137.00, $140.00
  • Price Action Prediction: Consolidating near $134.00, probable to test $135.00-$137.00 shortly.
  • Entry Point: Around $132.00
  • Stop-Loss Level: Close below $130.00
  • Price Targets: $135.00, $137.00, $140.00
  • Chart: finviz dynamic chart for  TOL

3. ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW)

  • Support Levels: $755.00, $750.00, $745.00
  • Resistance Levels: $765.00, $770.00, $780.00
  • Price Action Prediction: Likely to maintain above $760.00, targeting a test to $765.00-$770.00.
  • Entry Point: Near $755.00
  • Stop-Loss Level: Below $750.00
  • Price Targets: $765.00, $770.00, $780.00
  • Chart: finviz dynamic chart for  NOW

4. Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE)

  • Support Levels: $140.00, $138.00, $136.00
  • Resistance Levels: $145.00, $147.00, $150.00
  • Price Action Prediction: Uptrend continuation expected, targeting $145.00-$147.00.
  • Entry Point: Around $140.00
  • Stop-Loss Level: Below $138.00
  • Price Targets: $145.00, $147.00, $150.00
  • Chart: finviz dynamic chart for  HLNE

5. Avidity Biosciences, Inc. (RNA)

  • Support Levels: $45.00, $44.50, $44.00
  • Resistance Levels: $47.00, $48.00, $49.00
  • Price Action Prediction: Likely to move to $47.00-$48.00 if it holds above $45.50.
  • Entry Point: Near $45.00
  • Stop-Loss Level: Around $44.50
  • Price Targets: $47.00, $48.00, $49.00
  • Chart: finviz dynamic chart for  RNA

6. Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ORIC)

  • Support Levels: $10.40, $10.20, $10.00
  • Resistance Levels: $11.00, $11.30, $11.50
  • Price Action Prediction: Bullish momentum expected to test $11.00-$11.30.
  • Entry Point: Around $10.40
  • Stop-Loss Level: Below $10.20
  • Price Targets: $11.00, $11.30, $11.50
  • Chart: finviz dynamic chart for  ORIC

By analyzing recent price and volume trends, these stocks exhibit strong momentum and are likely candidates for short-term bullish movement.

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