Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (window analyzed: 2025-12-15 13:30–16:00 EST)
- Healthcare and Biotech: Mixed-to-weak into the close. JNJ held relatively stable but faded late (214.32→214.25), showing defensive resilience. Biotech/medtech lagged with clear late-day supply: MRNA sold off on heavy volume (30.28→29.94), ALT broke intraday support (5.41→5.27), LUNG flat-to-soft near 2.55–2.56. Net read: defensive large-cap healthcare (JNJ) steadier than higher-beta biotech (MRNA, ALT, LUNG).
- Technology/Semiconductors: TXN slipped into the close with a volume spike (low 177.37, close 177.95), signaling risk-off pressure in semis. EPAM also saw a late fade (214.2→212.16).
- Consumer/Retail: Mixed with afternoon selling and selective late bounces. ANF trended down (120.48→118.73). VSCO printed a strong reversal off 54.24 with a high-volume bounce to 54.76. DBI stair-stepped higher early, then consolidated just off highs (8.70 high; closed 8.60).
- Travel/Leisure: BKNG range-bound with a modest late fade (5473.8→5457.0) — no momentum edge.
- Industrials/Gov IT: SAIC showed relative strength with a high-volume power move into the close (100.62→101.59; high 101.77).
- Real Estate/REIT: NXDT trended lower through the afternoon (3.73→3.645).
- Homebuilders: NVR firmed late and closed near session highs (7624→7632), a constructive sign despite limited liquidity.
- Micro/special cases: KDK and NVOX lacked clear accumulation; both were choppy with late-day supply (KDK 8.65→8.30; NVOX range 21.65–21.85, net flat).
Trends/patterns:
– Broad late-day risk-off flows hit beta/growth (TXN, EPAM, MRNA, ALT), while defensives and selective quality names (SAIC, JNJ, NVR) held up better.
– Retail bifurcation: specialty retail showed a reversal candidate (VSCO), while ANF stayed heavy; DBI held a constructive consolidation.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely to move up:
– SAIC (strongest bullish signal): Late-day expansion in range and volume with a higher close suggests a continuation attempt.
– VSCO: Reversal off intraday lows with heavy buy-the-dip participation; set up for a follow-through toward prior supply.
– DBI: Intraday trend-up and close holding higher base; potential push to retest intraday highs and beyond.
– NVR: Steady accumulation into the close; potential continuation though liquidity is thin.
– JNJ (modest grind): Defensive tone with tight ranges; not explosive, but leaning up if indices stabilize.
Stocks showing strong bullish signals: SAIC (clear leader), VSCO (reversal-with-volume), DBI (constructive base above prior lows). JNJ and NVR are steadier, lower-volatility up-bias candidates.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
SAIC
– Supports (demand): 101.00–101.02, 100.62–100.78, 100.43
– Resistances (supply): 101.59, 101.77, 102.00
– Price action view (30-min): Momentum push 15:30–16:00 with expanding volume. Expect early dip buy towards 101.0–101.2, then a retest of 101.77; a clean break can extend.
– Price targets (1–3 days): 101.77, 102.17 (≈0.5x late-session range add), 102.75 (≈1x late-session range add)
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback: 101.05–101.20 with confirmation (buyers holding VWAP on open).
– Breakout: Above 101.80 on volume.
– Stops: Tight 100.60 (below last higher low) or swing 100.40 if allowing more noise.
VSCO
– Supports: 54.24, 54.47, 54.00
– Resistances: 54.78, 55.21, 55.76
– Price action view (30-min): Capitulation to 54.24 followed by strong bounce to 54.76 with volume. Look for a higher low above 54.47 and push through 54.78 to target mid-55s.
– Price targets (1–3 days): 55.21, 55.76, 56.18 (prior intraday supply)
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback: 54.50–54.65 with buyers defending.
– Breakout: 54.82–54.90 through the 54.78 lid.
– Stops: 54.20 (beneath reversal low) or conservative 53.95.
DBI
– Supports: 8.56, 8.535, 8.50
– Resistances: 8.615, 8.672, 8.73
– Price action view (30-min): Trend-up early, then tight consolidation above 8.60. If 8.56 holds on dips, expect a grind through 8.62→8.67; a strong tape could tag 8.73–8.80.
– Price targets (1–3 days): 8.62, 8.67, 8.73–8.80 (extensions near intraday supply)
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback: 8.56–8.60 with rising bid.
– Breakout: 8.67 on volume expansion.
– Stops: 8.52 (below session demand); swing 8.49 if allowing more room.
NVR
– Supports: 7595.00, 7590.51, 7583.21
– Resistances: 7623.99, 7632.17–7632.35, 7650.00
– Price action view (30-min): Higher close near highs; thin liquidity favors measured continuation. Watch for a shallow dip to ~7600 that holds, then a push through 7632.
– Price targets (1–3 days): 7632, 7648 (≈0.5x late-session range add), 7673 (≈1x late-session range add)
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback: 7595–7605.
– Breakout: >7633 with sustained bids.
– Stops: 7580 (beneath intraday base) or tighter 7590 if managing risk tighter due to spread.
JNJ
– Supports: 214.17–214.25, 214.13, 214.00
– Resistances: 214.73, 214.81, 215.19
– Price action view (30-min): Tight range; mild shake-and-hold. Expect a measured drift higher if market stabilizes. Look for reclaim of 214.73–214.81 to open a push into 215s.
– Price targets (1–3 days): 214.73, 214.81, 215.19
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback: 214.20–214.30.
– Breakout: >214.82 on firm tape.
– Stops: 213.95–214.00 to respect range risk.
Notes and risk management
– The dataset provided covers only the afternoon of 2025-12-15; without 30-day/10-day history or ATRs, levels and ATR-based targets are inferred from intraday structure and late-session range.
– Size down on thinner names (NVR, DBI intraday, and anything with wider spreads).
– Respect market context: if semis/biotech continue risk-off, favor SAIC/JNJ over higher beta until breadth improves.
– Always reassess if supports fail on volume or if opening gaps invalidate the planned entries.