Continuation Breakout Monday 4PM 10/13/2025

October 13, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range covered)

Data received covers: 2025-10-13 from 13:30 to 16:00 ET for most tickers, plus a few RAASY bars on 2025-10-10. No full 30-day history was provided, so the commentary emphasizes the latest session’s 30-minute action and late-day momentum footprints that often drive 1–3 day swings.

Sector/industry takeaways from the late-day tape

Life Sciences Tools/Diagnostics (DHR, WAT, AVTR, BRKR): Mixed-to-weak with late-day fades in AVTR (-heavy sell into close), BRKR (steady bleed), DHR (faded), while WAT showed relative strength, holding higher levels and closing firm. This hints at stock-picking over sector beta in tools/diagnostics, with WAT a relative-strength standout.
Biotech (ALNY, STOK, INSM, IMAB, ARGX, OLMA): Broad late-day weakness and supply into close across many names (ALNY, STOK, INSM, IMAB, OLMA), while ARGX was more neutral. Near-term, this group is not seeing risk inflows on the afternoon tape; bounces may be tactical only.
Healthcare Distributors (MCK, COR): Both were heavy-to-flat into the bell (COR sold most of the afternoon; MCK churned). No clear momentum edge long here near-term.
Materials/Energy (MLM, METC): MLM slipped into the close; METC failed a push above 54 and reversed hard late. This looks corrective near-term after prior strength.
Aerospace/Defense (AVAV): Held up well, reclaimed intraday highs, and closed near the upper end of its afternoon range on rising volume—bullish relative strength footprint.
Micro/small-cap momentum (SDST, TBH, MGRX, plus thin names RAYA, EUDA, LOBO): Clear risk-on behavior in the afternoon with strong pushes and volume expansions into the close, especially SDST, TBH, MGRX. This is the clearest near-term theme for 1–3 day momentum follow-through.

Noticeable patterns to note

Late-day accumulation and range expansion in selected microcaps (SDST, TBH, MGRX) typically favors a morning push or day-2 continuation if early supports hold.
Broad-cap healthcare tools/biotech mostly faded—favor relative-strength outliers (WAT) and avoid names closing on supply until they reclaim intraday pivots.
Reversal risk in cyclicals (METC, MLM) suggests patience for better entries or confirmation.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely to go up (highest momentum/relative strength probabilities based on late-day 30-min tape):

SDST, TBH, MGRX: Strongest microcap momentum setups with volume confirmation into close.
AVAV: Large-cap RS within its group, controlled dips and higher close.
WAT: Relative-strength outperformer within Life Sciences Tools.

Strongest bullish signals

Individual Stock Analysis (setups for names likely to rise 1–3 days)

SDST

Supports: 5.10–5.12 (pullback zone), 5.00 (psych/round), 4.76 (session low demand).
Resistances: 5.20–5.22 (close supply), 5.39 (HOD), 5.50–5.65 (psych/next supply band).
30-min price action view: Momentum breakout late with strong volume. If early holds above 5.10, expect a quick test of 5.20s → 5.39; sustained above 5.39 opens 5.50–5.65.
1–3 day price targets (using session range ~0.63 as guide): 5.35–5.40, 5.55–5.65, stretch 5.80.
Entry ideas: Pullbacks to 5.10–5.12 or quick reclaim of 5.20 after a dip.
Stop-loss: 4.86–4.90 (below key pullback/round number and undercut of demand).

TBH

Supports: 1.18–1.19, 1.14–1.15, 1.10–1.12.
Resistances: 1.24 (HOD), 1.30, 1.35–1.36.
30-min price action view: Clean afternoon momentum ladder. Holding 1.18–1.19 early favors push into 1.24; through 1.24 opens 1.30/1.35.
1–3 day price targets (session range ~0.19): 1.30, 1.35–1.38, stretch 1.45–1.50 if volume persists.
Entry ideas: 1.18–1.20 pullback with buyers stepping in; or break-retest-hold above 1.24.
Stop-loss: 1.12 (below structure and VWAP-risk zone).

MGRX

Supports: 2.40–2.43, 2.30–2.32, 2.20.
Resistances: 2.55–2.60 (HOD band), 2.75, 3.00.
30-min price action view: Breakout to 2.60 with higher close vs. midday base. Early hold above 2.40–2.43 favors a retest of 2.60; through 2.60 opens 2.75.
1–3 day price targets (session range ~0.31): 2.70, 2.85, stretch 3.00.
Entry ideas: 2.42–2.48 pullback buys; or 2.60 break with tight risk if volume expands.
Stop-loss: 2.30 (below base and prior pivot lows).

AVAV

Supports: 408.0–408.2, 406.5–406.9, 405.5 (session low area).
Resistances: 411.0 (intraday high), 413.0, 415.5–416.0.
30-min price action view: Afternoon strength and close near highs with rising volume—RS vs. peers. Above 408, expect grind to 411; a clean 411 break targets 413 then 415–416.
1–3 day price targets (using intraday range ~5.5): 412, 415–416, stretch 420 if momentum broadens.
Entry ideas: Buy dips 406.8–408.2 with strength confirmation; or 411 breakout with volume.
Stop-loss: 405.2 (below session low zone).

WAT

Supports: 336.0–336.1, 334.7 (session low), 333.5.
Resistances: 337.1 (HOD), 338.0–338.2, 340.0.
30-min price action view: Held gains while peers faded, signaling RS. Above 336, look for 337.1 tag; through 337.1 → 338s; sustained strength targets 340 over 1–3 days.
1–3 day price targets (intraday range ~2.4): 337.8, 339.5, stretch 341.5.
Entry ideas: 336.0–336.3 pullback holds; or 337.1 break with follow-through volume.
Stop-loss: 334.6 (beneath session low).

Notes and risk management

Microcaps (SDST, TBH, MGRX) can be illiquid and prone to halts; size down and respect stops.
Many healthcare/biotech names closed on supply; favor relative strength and clean reclaim signals before considering longs.
Without full 30-day daily data, the above support/resistance zones are derived from the latest 30-min structure and obvious round-number supply/demand. Revalidate levels at the open with premarket prints and volume profile.

#Continuation Breakout

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