Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
- Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-10-06 from 13:30 to 16:00. Note: Only intraday 30-minute bars for today were provided. Without 30 days of daily candles/volume, I emphasize today’s price/volume and infer near-term momentum and sector flows; validate key daily zones on your own daily chart.
- Sector flows and standouts:
- Defense/Aerospace firm into the close: LHX 303.08 and NOC 618.71 pushed late on rising volume; KTOS reclaimed 100.00. BWXT lagged. This suggests dip-buying in defense.
- Crypto-complex strong: HIVE stair-stepped to 5.61 on heavy volume, while ETH proxies (ETHU/ETHT) pushed into the bell. Bid for risk in crypto-adjacent names.
- Select Biotech strength: RGEN (150.11 close, orderly higher lows), ZVRA late surge to 10.66, ORIC trend up (faded slightly), CYTK firm. IMNM popped then printed a weak 16:00 mark—treat after-hours print with caution.
- Consumer Discretionary: ULTA pushed to 566.91 with decisive 15:30 flow—accumulation look.
- Batteries/Energy tech: ENVX climbed steadily to 12.97 on rising volume—bullish structure.
- Semis/AI hardware soft: ARM, LRCX, ASML all sold into the close; APLD faded. Suggests short-term digestion in semis despite broader AI theme.
- Materials/Construction softer: EME, PRIM, VMC drifted lower; breadth mixed.
- Metals/miners weak: JNUG rolled over late; MUX faded.
Noticeable intraday patterns:
- Multiple names showed higher-lows + close near highs on increasing 15:30 volume (ULTA, LHX, HIVE, ENVX, ZVRA, RGEN) — a classic 1–3 day continuation tell.
- Rotational divergence: defense, crypto, select biotech bid; semis/materials sold—use this for pair selection.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue higher: ULTA, LHX, ENVX, HIVE, ZVRA, RGEN.
Strongest bullish signals:
- ULTA: Higher-highs into the bell, strong closing flow; discretionary strength.
- LHX: Late-day breakout attempt with expanding volume; defense tailwind.
- ENVX: Clean intraday uptrend with rising participation; constructive base behavior.
- HIVE: Persistent bid with heavy tape; aligned with ETH strength.
- ZVRA: Expansion candle late day; potential catalyst/continuation.
- RGEN: Tight constructive grind up, held gains; low-stress momentum.
Individual Stock Analysis
Note on levels: With only today’s intraday data, I derived nearby levels from visible supply/demand and round-number pivots. Confirm against your daily chart for 30-day zones before execution.
1) ULTA
- Supports: 564.0; 563.0; 560.0
- Resistances: 568.0 (HOD ~567.98); 570.0; 575.0
- 2–3 day price action view (30-min basis): Favor a small dip into 564–563, then push through 568. If 568 converts to support, 570–572 prints are reachable; sustained momentum could extend toward 575.
- 1–3 day targets:
– Near resistance: 568, 570, 575
– ATR-proxy: Afternoon range ≈ $5; a 0.6–1.0x extension suggests +$3–$5 from 566.9 → 570–572.5 (conservative) up to 572–572.9 (aggressive). Use full daily ATR if available to refine.
- Entry: Scale 564.5–563.5; add on 568 breakout/hold.
- Stop: Below 563 (tight) or 560 (swing).
2) LHX
- Supports: 302.1; 301.3; 300.0
- Resistances: 303.1; 304.0; 305.5
- 2–3 day price action view: Look for 302.2–302.0 retest to hold, then a reclaim of 303.1. A steady tape can grind toward 304–305.5 with defense sector bid.
- 1–3 day targets:
– Near resistance: 303.1, 304.0, 305.5
– ATR-proxy: Afternoon range ≈ $1.9; +0.6–1.0x suggests +$1.1–$1.9 from 303 → 304.1–304.9.
- Entry: 302.2–301.9 pullback; or 303.2 hold after breakout.
- Stop: Below 301.2 (tight) or 300 (swing).
3) ENVX
- Supports: 12.79; 12.64; 12.50
- Resistances: 12.98–13.00; 13.20; 13.50
- 2–3 day price action view: Expect buy-the-dip flow 12.80–12.70 and a probe of 13.00. If 13.00 holds, 13.20 then 13.50 are feasible in a momentum tape.
- 1–3 day targets:
– Near resistance: 13.00, 13.20, 13.50
– ATR-proxy: Afternoon range ≈ $0.38; +0.6–1.0x → +$0.23–$0.38 from 12.97 → 13.20–13.35.
- Entry: 12.82–12.70; add on 13.02 reclaim/hold.
- Stop: Below 12.64 (tight) or 12.50 (swing).
4) HIVE
- Supports: 5.54; 5.48; 5.40
- Resistances: 5.61; 5.75; 6.00
- 2–3 day price action view: Crypto strength favors continuation. Look for 5.48–5.54 to catch a dip; a clean break/hold above 5.61 opens 5.75 and possibly 6.00 if ETH remains bid.
- 1–3 day targets:
– Near resistance: 5.61, 5.75, 6.00
– ATR-proxy: Afternoon range ≈ $0.22; +0.6–1.0x → +$0.13–$0.22 from 5.61 → 5.74–5.83; stretch to 6.00 on momentum.
- Entry: 5.52–5.54; add on 5.62 hold.
- Stop: Below 5.47 (tight) or 5.40 (swing).
5) ZVRA
- Supports: 10.34; 10.20; 10.00
- Resistances: 10.68; 10.80; 11.00
- 2–3 day price action view: Late expansion candle suggests follow-through after a brief backfill to 10.34–10.25. Above 10.68, 10.80/11.00 are next magnets.
- 1–3 day targets:
– Near resistance: 10.68, 10.80, 11.00
– ATR-proxy: Afternoon range ≈ $0.51; +0.6–1.0x → +$0.31–$0.51 from 10.60 → 10.91–11.11.
- Entry: 10.34–10.25; add on 10.70 hold.
- Stop: Below 10.19 (tight) or 10.00 (swing).
6) RGEN
- Supports: 149.16; 148.57; 148.00
- Resistances: 150.56; 151.00; 152.00–153.00
- 2–3 day price action view: Constructive grind up; expect dip buy near 149.2–149.0 and a push to retest 150.6. A hold above 151 opens 152–153 in 1–3 days.
- 1–3 day targets:
– Near resistance: 150.6, 151.0, 152.0–153.0
– ATR-proxy: Afternoon range ≈ $1.54; +0.6–1.0x → +$0.92–$1.54 from 150.1 → 151.0–151.6.
- Entry: 149.3–149.0; add on 150.7 hold.
- Stop: Below 148.6 (tight) or 148.0 (swing).
Risk management and notes
- If the first pullback after the open undercuts S2 on any name with increasing volume, treat the setup as failed for 1–2 days.
- Given we lack the last 30 daily candles, treat the above S/R as tactical zones derived from intraday structure and round-number memory. Before placing swing trades, overlay these levels on your daily chart to align with true 10–30 day supply/demand and your ATR(14).
- Sector tailwinds to monitor for confirmation:
– Defense: LHX/NOC/KTOS holding green on day and outperforming SPY.
– Crypto: ETH strength (spot/futures) continuing; HIVE tends to track beta.
– Biotech: XBI tone; if XBI up, ZVRA/RGEN follow-through odds improve.
– If semis (SOX) continue to fade, avoid initiating fresh longs in ARM/LRCX/ASML until they reclaim prior VWAPs/highs.