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Continuation Breakout Monday 4PM 1/05/2026

January 5, 2026 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2026-01-05 09:30 to 16:00. Note: The data provided are intraday 30-minute bars for a single session; a 30-day view (and “recent 10 days”) were not included. The analysis below emphasizes intraday momentum and volume patterns from this session as a proxy for near-term direction.

  • Healthcare/Life Sciences showed late-day accumulation and closes near highs:
    • TMO, ICLR, MTD, NTRA all printed higher into the 15:30 bar with volume expansion; TMO closed at session highs (612), MTD and MCK (Healthcare distribution) also closed strong.
  • Aerospace/Defense and suppliers mixed-to-strong:
    • VSEC broke out into the close with a large volume surge and HOD print near 198; HEI and ESLT held firm; AVAV faded late.
  • Financials broadly weak into the bell:
    • JPM, AMP, LPLA, AMG, MKL, FCNCA all sold into the 15:30 bar; CME flat; JLL (Real Estate Services) bucked the trend with a strong push to new highs.
  • Materials/Energy mixed:
    • AA (Aluminum) ramped with heavy 15:30 volume and closed near highs; METC (coal) and HYMC (gold) slipped; BW and FTK faded late.
  • Tech/Semicap softened:
    • SNPS, MSCI, KLAC slipped into the close on rising volume.
  • Large-cap Industrials leaned risk-off late:
    • URI, PH, MA rolled over on heavy closing volume; AGX flat.

Noticeable intraday patterns
– Broad market rotation into quality Healthcare/Life Sciences and select defense suppliers (TMO, ICLR, MTD, NTRA, VSEC).
– Distribution in Financials and cyclicals late-day (JPM, AMP, URI, PH, MA).
– Materials bid concentrated in AA; precious metals miners (HYMC) lagged.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

Likely upside continuation (bullish bias):
– TMO, VSEC, AA, NTRA, ICLR, JLL, MCK, MTD

Strongest bullish signals
– TMO: Breakout and close at HOD with elevated late-day volume.
– VSEC: Sharp late-day expansion, HOD close, clear momentum pivot.
– AA: Broad volume ramp and close near highs suggests follow-through.
– NTRA, ICLR: Consistent higher prints into the close with rising volume.

Individual Stock Analysis

Method note: With only one session provided, I use the session’s high/low range as a proxy for a 1-day ATR and anchor levels to intraday supply/demand (obvious swing highs/lows, round numbers). Entries favor pullbacks to support or breakouts; stops sit just below key swing lows.

1) TMO
– Supports: 608.3–608.8 (15:00 pivot), 607.6 (15:30 low), 605.5 (session low zone)
– Resistances: 612.0 (HOD), 615.0 (round/next leg), 618.0 (range extension)
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect an early retest of 608–609; hold above 607.6 keeps momentum intact. A 30-min acceptance >612 opens 615 then 618.
– Targets (proxy ATR ≈ 6.5): PT1 615, PT2 618, stretch 622 if momentum persists.
– Entries: Pullback bid 608.5–609.2 or breakout >612.2.
– Stop: 605.2 (below session low structure); tighter: 607.2 if entering on breakout.
finviz dynamic chart for  TMO

2) VSEC
– Supports: 194.1 (15:30 launch base), 193.0 (15:00 pullback low), 191.9 (session low)
– Resistances: 198.1 (HOD), 199.0 (minor round), 200.0 (major round)
– 30-min outlook: Momentum continuation favored if 194–195 holds. A clean 30-min close >198.1 targets 199–200.
– Targets (proxy ATR ≈ 6.2): PT1 199, PT2 200, stretch 202–203 on squeeze.
– Entries: Pullback buy 194.5–195.2 or breakout >198.2.
– Stop: 191.7 (beneath session low); tighter: 192.9 if buying pullback.
finviz dynamic chart for  VSEC

3) AA
– Supports: 61.30–61.37 (15:30 higher low), 60.95–61.00 (round retest), 60.60 (session low)
– Resistances: 61.76 (HOD), 62.00 (round), 62.60 (range extension)
– 30-min outlook: Dips toward 61.10–61.30 likely get bought if metals bid persists. A 30-min hold above 61.76 pushes 62.00.
– Targets (proxy ATR ≈ 1.16): PT1 61.75–61.90, PT2 62.10–62.20, stretch 62.60.
– Entries: Bid 61.10–61.30; add on 61.78–61.85 break-and-hold.
– Stop: 60.55 (under session low zone).
finviz dynamic chart for  AA

4) NTRA
– Supports: 236.0–236.1 (15:00 base), 235.6 (15:30 higher low), 234.8 (14:30 support)
– Resistances: 237.5 (HOD), 239.0 (round/next pivot), 241.0–242.0 (extension)
– 30-min outlook: Constructive above 235.6; 30-min acceptance >237.5 likely unlocks 239 quickly.
– Targets (proxy ATR ≈ 3.0): PT1 239.2, PT2 241.0–241.5, stretch 244 on strong flows.
– Entries: Pullback 235.8–236.2; breakout >237.6.
– Stop: 234.5 (below 14:30 support).
finviz dynamic chart for  NTRA

5) ICLR
– Supports: 197.4 (15:30 close pivot), 196.5 (15:30 dip), 195.0 (session shelf/round)
– Resistances: 198.24 (HOD), 199.0, 200.0
– 30-min outlook: Expect an opening probe of 196.8–197.1; hold above 196.5 keeps the path to 198.2–199 intact.
– Targets (proxy ATR ≈ 3.2): PT1 198.7–199.0, PT2 200.0, stretch 201.5.
– Entries: 196.7–197.1 pullback; or >198.3 breakout.
– Stop: 195.8 (below recent swing); conservative: 194.9.
finviz dynamic chart for  ICLR

6) JLL
– Supports: 347.6 (15:30 pullback low), 346.3 (15:00 support), 345.0 (session base)
– Resistances: 349.69 (HOD), 350.5 (nearby supply), 352.0 (extension zone)
– 30-min outlook: A hold above 347.6 sets up a re-attack of 349.7; a 30-min close >350.0 targets 352 quickly.
– Targets (proxy ATR ≈ 4.7): PT1 350.0–350.5, PT2 352.0–353.0, stretch 355.
– Entries: 347.8–348.2 pullback; or >349.8 break.
– Stop: 346.0 (below support cluster).
finviz dynamic chart for  JLL

7) MCK
– Supports: 824.8 (15:30 pivot/close), 823.3 (15:00 support), 822.5 (15:30 dip)
– Resistances: 825.96 (HOD), 828.0 (minor), 832.0 (extension)
– 30-min outlook: Tight bullish consolidation; sustained trade >825.9 likely walks to 828 then 832.
– Targets (proxy ATR ≈ 5.7): PT1 828, PT2 832, stretch 836.
– Entries: 823.5–824.2 pullback; or >826 break.
– Stop: 822.0 (below support band).
finviz dynamic chart for  MCK

8) MTD
– Supports: 1445.9 (15:30 close), 1442.8 (15:00 pivot), 1437.6 (session dip)
– Resistances: 1447.4 (HOD), 1450.0 (round), 1455.0 (extension/supply)
– 30-min outlook: Momentum continuation if 1442–1444 holds on early dip; 30-min acceptance >1447.4 targets 1450 then 1455.
– Targets (proxy ATR ≈ 15.6): PT1 1450, PT2 1453–1455, stretch 1460.
– Entries: 1442–1444 pullback; breakout >1447.5.
– Stop: 1437.0 (beneath session low).
finviz dynamic chart for  MTD

What to avoid near term (bearish momentum into the close)
– Financials and cyclicals that saw heavy 15:30 distribution: JPM, AMP, LPLA, URI, PH, MA.
– Tech names showing late-day supply: SNPS, MSCI, KLAC.
– Metals/miners weakness outside AA: HYMC, METC.

Risk management notes
– With only one session of data, use smaller size and demand confirmation on the first 30–60 minutes (e.g., 30-min acceptance above breakout levels).
– Respect session low pivots; they align well with logical invalidation for these intraday-driven swings.

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