Analysis window (EST): 2025-12-01 13:00 to 15:00. Note: Only intraday 30‑minute bars for this window were provided. Where 30‑day/10‑day context is requested, I infer from today’s relative strength/weakness across sector ETFs and peer action rather than prior daily candles.
Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Index/Factor tone: SPY, VOO, IVV, QQQ, VUG, IWF rolled over after 14:00 with weak closes, indicating a modest risk‑off afternoon. Growth/tech factor (QQQ, VGT, VOOG) lagged into the close; SVIX faded (implying a small volatility uptick).
– Semis: Sector ETFs (SMH, SOXX, SOXL) sold off 14:00–14:30 and stabilized lower. Chips were mixed to weak: AMD, MU, TSM, MPWR, ONTO, WDC mostly faded with WDC a mild relative outperformer late. ASML was steadier but not leading. Conclusion: semis took a breather; momentum softened.
– Megacap/Software and adjacent tech: AAPL showed notable relative strength (held/closed near highs while QQQ faded). APP recovered strongly into the close; AXON, NOW, SNOW slipped with the market; PLTR edged lower. Net: stock‑specific leadership (AAPL, APP) inside a softer tape.
– Crypto miners: RIOT, WULF, WGMI had intraday shakeouts but firmed into the close; RIOT closed near session highs. Rotation into miners looks constructive short term if BTC stays bid.
– Discretionary/Retail: Broadly heavy into the close. Weak: W, ULTA, RL, ROST, PVH, BBWI, CAL, SONO. Casinos (WYNN) soft. Bright spot: WING reclaimed levels late and closed strong relative to peers.
– Homebuilders/building products: Weak tape across DHI, LEN, TOL, BLDR, OC and leveraged NAIL. Mortgage‑exposed lenders RKT and UWMC diverged positively; RKT pushed/held above 20.00 on rising volume—constructive.
– Transports/Logistics: LTL/3PL leaned lower (SAIA, XPO, CHRW); rails/industrial transports (WAB) also faded; trucker JBHT steady but not leading.
– Industrials/capital goods: ROK, GWW, CMI, URI faded with the market; EME, RS, WCC similar. No leadership here today.
– Healthcare/MedTech: Mixed. TMDX led with a strong push/close near highs. TFX, WST, SYK, RMD drifted lower; UHS heavy. TMDX is the standout long setup.
– Financials: Mixed/slightly soft—COF, BLK, LPLA, AMP down. FCNCA flat. Mortgage lenders (RKT, UWMC) the strength within Financials.
Tickers referenced above.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely upside follow‑through (bullish signals/relative strength):
– AAPL – Held green into a weak close for QQQ; steady bid and higher highs.
– TMDX – Strong trend day, closing near highs; clean breakout behavior.
– RKT – Range expansion through 20.00 with rising volume; potential continuation if 19.75–19.90 holds.
– APP – Intraday reclaim into the close; buyers active into strength.
– RIOT – Miners firmed late; RIOT closed near highs—momentum can extend if crypto stays firm.
– TTWO – Closed near highs; constructive higher‑low structure intraday.
Individual Stock Analysis (levels, path, entries, stops, targets)
Note: Supports/resistances use obvious intraday zones that often align with prior daily supply/demand. Targets align with nearby resistances or roughly 0.5–1.5x a typical daily move for these names.
AAPL
– Supports: 281.46–281.50; 280.66–280.73; 279.48–279.49
– Resistances: 281.72 (HOD); 282.50; 284.00
– 30‑min path (2–3 days): Prefer buy‑the‑dip if market stabilizes. Expect early retest of 281.4–281.6; hold there sets a push to 282.5, then 283.5–284. Failure to hold 280.7 shifts to range 279.5–281.0 before another attempt.
– Suggested entries: 281.0–281.5 on dip/reclaim; or 282.0–282.2 on strong pivot through 282 with momentum.
– Stop: Tight 280.45; wider 279.90 if allowing shakeout.
– Swing targets: T1 282.50; T2 283.50–284.00; stretch 285.20 if risk‑on returns.
TMDX
– Supports: 150.36–150.40; 149.49–149.71; 148.58–148.86
– Resistances: 150.83 (session high); 152.00; 154.00
– 30‑min path: Strong close favors continuation. Look for an opening test of 150.3–150.5; hold turns into a 150.8 break to 151.6–152. Pullbacks toward 149.7–150 likely get bought if trend intact.
– Suggested entries: 150.4–150.6 on dip/hold; or 150.9–151.1 on breakout continuation.
– Stop: 149.35 (beneath mid‑day base); conservative 148.90.
– Swing targets: T1 151.60–152.00; T2 153.20; T3 154.50 if breadth improves.
RKT
– Supports: 19.75; 19.60; 19.45
– Resistances: 20.08 (HOD/close); 20.35; 20.50
– 30‑min path: Momentum through 20 with rising volume suggests dip‑then‑rip. Expect an initial probe of 19.85–19.95; if buyers defend, look for 20.20–20.35 next. Lose 19.75 and it may base 19.45–19.75 before another try.
– Suggested entries: 19.85–19.95 on higher‑low; or 20.10–20.15 on clean break/hold above 20.08.
– Stop: 19.55 (below VWAP shelf); cautious 19.45 swing stop.
– Swing targets: T1 20.30; T2 20.50; T3 20.90 with strong tape.
APP
– Supports: 616.50–616.80; 615.00; 613.00
– Resistances: 621.14 (late‑day high); 625.00; 630.00
– 30‑min path: Late reclaim points to upside follow‑through if semis/ads stabilize. Hold 616–617 and push through 621 opens 623.5–625. Fails 615 and you likely see a deeper 613–615 build before another leg.
– Suggested entries: 616.8–617.8 on dip/hold; or 621.2–621.8 on breakout with volume.
– Stop: 614.90 tight; 613.40 wider swing.
– Swing targets: T1 623.50; T2 625.50–626.50; T3 629–630 on momentum day.
RIOT
– Supports: 15.56; 15.45; 15.25
– Resistances: 15.74–15.80; 16.00; 16.30
– 30‑min path: Late push hints at continuation if crypto bid persists. Expect 15.55–15.60 check; hold fuels 15.95–16.00 test, then 16.20–16.30. Lose 15.45 and it likely rotates 15.25–15.45 first.
– Suggested entries: 15.55–15.62 on higher‑low; or 15.82–15.90 on strength reclaim toward 16.00.
– Stop: 15.35; wider 15.20 below base.
– Swing targets: T1 15.95–16.00; T2 16.20; T3 16.45–16.60 if miners run.
TTWO
– Supports: 247.62–247.95; 247.35; 246.80
– Resistances: 248.73 (HOD); 249.50; 251.00
– 30‑min path: Clean close near highs favors a gap‑and‑go attempt or a quick retest of 247.9–248.1 followed by 249.5. Failure to hold 247.3 likely leads to a 246.8–247.3 base before retry.
– Suggested entries: 247.9–248.1 on dip/hold; or 248.8–249.0 on breakout.
– Stop: 247.20 tight; 246.70 wider.
– Swing targets: T1 249.50; T2 250.50; T3 251.50 with positive market beta.
Notes and risk management
– The broader tape weakened after 14:00. If indices extend lower tomorrow, favor the dip‑buy entries only where supports hold; otherwise stand aside and wait for reclaim signals.
– Size positions so a stop‑out costs ≤0.5–1% of portfolio per idea.
– If volatility expands, trail stops under rising higher‑lows on 30‑min.
If you want deeper 10‑day/30‑day daily levels (prior swing highs/lows, measured ATR), share those daily candles and I’ll refine targets and levels precisely.