Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range analyzed: 2025-11-17 from 12:00 to 15:00 on 30-minute bars)
– Note: The upload contains intraday bars for one date, not 30 days. I’m emphasizing the last 2–3 hours of trading action and using that momentum read-through—common precursors to 1–3 day swings.
– Sector breadth was defensive-to-weak into the afternoon. Mega/large-cap Healthcare/Pharma drifted lower: REGN, LLY, AMGN, ALNY, BDX, MDGL all bled into the close, as did Managed Care (ELV, CI). Real Estate/Prop-tech (COMP, HOUS) and Consumer Discretionary high-beta (CVNA) faded steadily. Communication Services (SPOT) also trended down. Energy (PARR) was sold hard mid-afternoon. Materials (HYMC) chopped.
– Pockets of strength:
– Small/mid-cap Biotech showed selective accumulation and closes near intraday highs: TERN (strong recovery bid and close near HOD), MCRB (trend up, higher high), QURE (range expansion with heavy volume, held above 30), CRCD (steady higher highs).
– Medical services PGNY reclaimed 27 and based tight for a potential continuation.
– Industrial/Defense tech OSIS pressed toward highs with buyers absorbing dips.
– Pattern takeaways:
– Risk-off in large-cap healthcare and broad indices during the afternoon; risk-on pockets rotated into mid/small-cap biotech momentum (TERN, MCRB, QURE, CRCD).
– Breakout attempts that held VWAP and closed near range highs had best follow-through odds for the next sessions (TERN, OSIS, PGNY, MCRB).
– Names that trended down all afternoon and closed weak (CVNA, SPOT, PARR, ELV, CI) face overhead supply and are less attractive for long swing setups near-term.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Most likely to push higher: TERN, MCRB, OSIS, PGNY, CRCD. Secondary watch: QURE (needs 30 to keep acting as support).
– Strongest bullish signals:
– TERN: aggressive dip-buys were defended multiple times; close near HOD on heavy volume.
– MCRB: step-ups and a closing hold near the upper third of the session.
– OSIS: persistent bid, higher highs/lows, buyers into strength.
– PGNY: reclaimed level (27) and held it; tight consolidation into the close.
– CRCD: clean series of higher highs/higher lows intraday.
Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plan (1–3 day swing)
TERN
– Daily key levels (using intraday swing references as proxies for supply/demand zones):
– Supports: 25.20–25.30; 24.95–25.00; 24.70–24.75
– Resistances: 25.90–26.00; 26.50; 26.80–27.00
– 30-min path: Early pullback to 25.20–25.30, then a push through 25.90 toward 26.30–26.50. If 25.20 fails, range could compress 24.95–25.60 before next attempt.
– 1–3 day price targets: 26.20 (T1), 26.80 (T2), 27.30 (T3)
– Entries: 25.20–25.35 on a higher low; or momentum >25.95 with volume expansion.
– Stop: 24.88 initial; wider swing stop 24.70 if using a scale-in.
MCRB
– Supports: 18.90–19.00; 18.50; 18.20
– Resistances: 19.55 (session high); 20.00; 20.60
– 30-min path: Expect digestion 18.95–19.60; a break/hold above 19.55 opens a 20 test. Failure to hold 18.90 likely retests 18.50.
– 1–3 day price targets: 19.95–20.00 (T1), 20.60 (T2), 21.20 (T3)
– Entries: 18.90–19.05 on a dip reclaim; or >19.60 breakout.
– Stop: 18.40 hard; trail to breakeven after 19.95 tag.
OSIS
– Supports: 265.00; 263.80–264.00; 262.00
– Resistances: 268.30; 270.00; 273.00
– 30-min path: Hold above 265 on any open dip; push into 268.3 and a measured grind to 270. If 265 breaks, expect 263.80 test before another attempt.
– 1–3 day price targets: 268.30 (T1), 270.50 (T2), 273.00 (T3)
– Entries: 265.20–265.60 on pullback buy; or >268.40 with rising volume.
– Stop: 263.60 initial; tighten under 265.40 on momentum adds.
PGNY
– Supports: 26.90–27.00; 26.70–26.75; 26.50
– Resistances: 27.22; 27.50; 27.90
– 30-min path: Base above 27.00 then probe 27.22; acceptance above 27.22 should stair-step to 27.45–27.50, possibly 27.80.
– 1–3 day price targets: 27.45 (T1), 27.80 (T2), 28.20 (T3)
– Entries: 26.92–27.02 risk-defined; or break >27.24 with volume.
– Stop: 26.64; reassess if daily close back under 26.70.
CRCD
– Supports: 48.20; 47.80; 47.40
– Resistances: 49.10–49.13; 50.00; 51.20
– 30-min path: Tight flag under 49.10; breakout retests 49.70–50.00. Failure to clear 49.10 likely means a higher-low build near 48.20–48.40.
– 1–3 day price targets: 49.70 (T1), 50.50 (T2), 51.20 (T3)
– Entries: 48.20–48.40 on dip with reversal candle; or >49.15 breakout.
– Stop: 47.70; trail under each new higher low.
QURE (secondary, needs 30 to hold)
– Supports: 30.00–30.20; 29.75–29.80; 29.30
– Resistances: 31.10–31.16; 31.38; 32.00
– 30-min path: Hold 30 on open; reclaim 30.70–30.80 base and rotate into 31s. Lose 30 and you’re back to 29.7–29.3 demand test.
– 1–3 day price targets: 31.10 (T1), 31.80 (T2), 32.40 (T3)
– Entries: 30.05–30.25 risk-defined; or >31.00 on a volume surge.
– Stop: 29.58 initial; tighter if 30.20 base forms and holds.
Quick notes on notable laggards and why they’re not on the long list right now
– CVNA, SPOT, ELV, CI, PARR, COMP, HOUS: persistent lower-highs/lower-lows into the close; watch for basing before considering longs.
– Large-cap Pharma (LLY, AMGN, REGN, ALNY, BDX, MDGL): afternoon distribution; need a strong reversal signal or a daily higher low first.
– Microcaps/illiquid (COHN, PLBL, SFHG, RCEL, CCLD): be selective; liquidity/structure not ideal for 1–3 day swings unless clear breakouts with volume appear.
Risk management reminders
– Use intraday weakness into identified support for entries; avoid chasing extensions without fresh volume confirmation.
– If the market opens risk-off broadly, expect initial flushes to the first support zones; your stops should live just beyond the second support to avoid noise, size-adjusted.
– Targets are aligned with nearby resistance and typical 1–3 day range extensions; scale out into strength and trail stops under higher lows.