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Continuation Breakout Monday 3PM 10/20/2025

October 20, 2025 4 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (US Eastern time):
– Analyzed window: 2025-10-16 18:30 ET through 2025-10-20 15:00 ET, with the bulk of actionable intraday reads from 2025-10-20 12:30–15:00 ET.
– Note: The data provided is intraday and concentrated on 10/20. Where 30-day/10-day context is referenced, it’s inferred from today’s relative strength/weakness, sector rotation behavior, and recent trading characteristics.

Sector/industry takeaways from price/volume:
– Semiconductors and Semi-Equipment: Mixed-to-soft breadth intraday. SOXL faded through the afternoon, while equipment names showed relative resilience.
– Relative strength: AEIS (bid held above VWAP, closed near session highs), ZBRA (AIDC/industrial tech, strong grind higher), ADI flat but stable.
– Softer/dispersion: KLAC and MKSI slipped from mid-day highs; SOXL failed to reclaim 42.60. This suggests selective buying in equipment-quality vs. broad beta.
– Industrials: Mostly range-bound digestion after prior strength.
– TDG coiled under 1304–1305 with shallow pullbacks (constructive).
– GNRC, FDX, IBP largely two-way and contained; MTRN tight consolidation.
– Standout: ZBRA steadily stair-stepped higher all afternoon.
– Biotech/Health Care: Highly selective.
– Accumulation: APLT saw sustained, rising volume into higher highs/lows.
– Fade/distribution: ALNY, NTRA, RYTM, SLN trended lower or churned on selling.
– Microcap volatility: ESLA spiked volume then faded—trader’s tape, but riskier.
– Consumer Discretionary/Retail: BOOT showed firm demand, accelerating into the close.
– Communication/Media: NFLX was sideways-to-soft (lower highs in the afternoon).
– Net pattern: A “quality rotation” feel—equipment/industrial tech (ZBRA, AEIS) and selective retail (BOOT) bid; broad chip beta (SOXL) and several high-beta bios (ALNY/NTRA/RYTM) faded.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days):
– Most likely to push higher:
– BOOT, ZBRA, APLT, TDG, AEIS
– Strongest bullish signals:
– BOOT: persistent higher highs/lows and close near highs.
– ZBRA: steady trend with shallow dips bought.
– APLT: notable accumulation and range expansion.
– TDG: tight coil beneath resistance—poised for breakout with market help.
– AEIS: relative strength vs. semi complex; demand defended dips.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Key levels are derived from today’s intraday supply/demand and nearby round-number pivots. ATR-based targets use conservative, instrument-appropriate approximations given the limited window.

1) ZBRA
– Supports: 303.53; 303.00–303.23 zone; 302.60
– Resistances: 304.74; 305.50; 307.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Prefer an early dip-and-go. A pullback to 303.3–303.7 that holds should fuel a push through 304.7–305.5, then probe 306–307. If the market is soft, look for a higher low at 302.8–303.1 before another attempt.
– 1–3 day swing targets:
– Near-term: 304.7, 305.5
– Stretch (≈1.8–2.2%/~ATR): 307.5–310.0 if momentum broadens
– Entry ideas: 303.3–303.7 retest; secondary buy-the-dip 302.8–303.1 if broader tape wobbles.
– Stop-loss: 301.80–302.10 (below the afternoon demand shelf and round-number pivot).
finviz dynamic chart for  ZBRA

2) BOOT
– Supports: 189.00–189.20; 188.60–188.90; 187.85
– Resistances: 189.95–190.00; 191.50; 192.80–193.50
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect an initial check-back toward 189.0–189.3 to establish a higher low, then a breakout through 190. Test-push sequence toward 191.5 and possibly 192.5+ if retail remains bid.
– 1–3 day swing targets:
– Near-term: 190.0, 191.5
– Stretch (≈1.8–2.0%/~ATR): 192.8–193.5
– Entry ideas: 189.0–189.3 pullback buy; add on 190.0 breakout with momentum confirmation.
– Stop-loss: 187.70–188.00 (below prior demand and session pivot).
finviz dynamic chart for  BOOT

3) APLT
– Supports: 1.41–1.42; 1.40; 1.38
– Resistances: 1.45; 1.50; 1.58
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Constructive if 1.41–1.42 keeps acting as a launchpad. Look for a quick tag of 1.45; hold above 1.44 on pullbacks to set up 1.50. If bio tape improves, 1.58 becomes viable.
– 1–3 day swing targets:
– Near-term: 1.45, 1.50
– Stretch (≈10–12%/~ATR for a $1–$2 bio): 1.58–1.65
– Entry ideas: 1.41–1.43 on dips with volume holding; momentum add on a clean push/hold above 1.45.
– Stop-loss: 1.37–1.39 (below the 1.38 demand shelf).
finviz dynamic chart for  APLT

4) TDG
– Supports: 1298.40–1299.00; 1297.03; 1296.47
– Resistances: 1301.20; 1304.60; 1308.00–1312.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Tight coil beneath 1304.6 favors a breakout if indices are steady. Expect a probe of 1301–1302; a sustained push through 1304.6 opens 1308–1312. Failure to hold 1296–1297 would reset the setup to “wait-and-see.”
– 1–3 day swing targets:
– Near-term: 1301, 1304.6
– Stretch (≈1.5–2.0%/~ATR for a $1,300 name): 1312–1325
– Entry ideas: 1298.5–1300.0 on dips; momentum add through 1304.6 with strong breadth.
– Stop-loss: 1295.50–1296.00 (below the coil’s lower bound).
finviz dynamic chart for  TDG

5) AEIS
– Supports: 196.70–197.00; 196.00; 195.40
– Resistances: 198.13–198.68; 199.50; 200.50–201.50
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Relative strength suggests dips get bought. Holding 196.8–197.2 sets a test of 198.1–198.7; a firm close above could target 199.5–200.5 next. Watch semi breadth; weakness in SOXL would temper targets.
– 1–3 day swing targets:
– Near-term: 198.2, 199.5
– Stretch (≈2–3%/~ATR): 200.5–202.0
– Entry ideas: 196.8–197.2 pullback buy; add on a push/hold through 198.2–198.7.
– Stop-loss: 195.80–196.00 (beneath demand shelf).
finviz dynamic chart for  AEIS

Context and risk notes:
– If semis broadly weaken (watch SOXL failing 42.20–42.30), trim expectations for AEIS and ZBRA intraday impulses.
– For bios, headline risk is elevated; position smaller in APLT and honor tight stops.
– Many industrials are consolidating; if the broader market risk-off shows up, TDG/BOOT pullback-to-support entries are preferred over chasing breakouts.

Bottom line:
– Best near-term long setups: BOOT and ZBRA for steady continuation, APLT for momentum with tight risk, TDG for a coil-break, and AEIS for relative strength within semis equipment.

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