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Continuation Breakout Monday 3PM 10/06/2025

October 6, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

  • Data window analyzed (EST): 2025-10-06, 13:00 to 15:00.
  • Note: You provided intraday data for a single session. I emphasize the most recent 30-minute developments and infer 1–3 day swing potential. Daily support/resistance and ATR-based moves are approximated from intraday pivots, round-number liquidity zones, and recent momentum; validate on your daily chart before execution.
  • Defense/Aerospace (NOC, LHX, KTOS, BWXT): Broadly quiet-to-firm. The standout is KTOS, which bid up into the close and pressed the 100 handle with steady higher lows—constructive for a breakout. NOC, LHX, BWXT were range-bound with slight fades late.
  • Semiconductors (ASML, LRCX, ARM): Mixed. ASML/LRCX faded through the afternoon. ARM held a steady grind higher and closed near session highs—relative strength vs. peers.
  • Software/IT (DDOG, WDAY, ACN): Mixed-to-soft. WDAY popped mid-session then gave back gains; DDOG bled lower most of the afternoon. ACN quietly stair-stepped higher—defensive quality bid.
  • Biotech/Pharma (IMNM, ORIC, BCAX, ZBIO, CNSP, ZVRA, CYTK, ASND, LGND): Pockets of momentum. IMNM and ORIC expanded range with higher highs and rising volume; BCAX firmed late. ZBIO, CYTK, ASND faded.
  • Clean energy/Storage (FLNC): Clear relative strength with a trend day and strong closing structure—momentum leader.
  • Digital assets/AI infra (HIVE, ETHU, ETHT, APLD): ETH proxies consolidated after an early pop; HIVE recovered and closed near HOD—dip-bought. APLD trended down—supply overhead.
  • Materials/Construction/Industrial (PRIM, EME, VMC, PH): Leaned soft into the close (EME, VMC, PH) while PRIM held steady.
  • Gold proxies (JNUG, MUX): JNUG firmed into the close; MUX faded—rotation favored leveraged ETF over single name.
  • Small-cap momentum (LXRX, SGD, UPB, CAMP, IDR, QMCO): Several constructive closes. SGD/LXRX trended up all session; IDR broke out late with volume.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

  • Most likely to push higher: FLNC, KTOS, IMNM, ORIC, ARM, IDR, HIVE.
  • Strongest bullish signals (closing strength + momentum/volume): FLNC, KTOS, IMNM.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Support/resistance derived from today’s intraday pivots and nearby round numbers; confirm on your daily chart. “ATR-based” targets are proxied using today’s expansion ranges.

1) FLNC

  • Setup: Trend day from 14.83 to 15.50 HOD, closing strong at 15.41 with elevated volume—ready to resolve higher if dips are bought.
  • Daily key levels

– Support: 15.05–15.10 (intraday base), 14.90 (higher low zone), 14.50 (prior supply turned demand).
– Resistance: 15.50 (HOD), 15.85, 16.20 (next likely supply pockets).

  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect an early dip buy toward 15.05–15.15 followed by a push through 15.50; continuation toward 15.85/16.20 if volume stays elevated. Failure back below 14.90 risks a 14.50 retest.
  • Entries:

– Pullback buy 15.05–15.15.
– Momentum add on 15.52–15.60 breakout with volume.

  • Stops: 14.85 (tight), or 14.45 (swing).
  • 1–3 day targets: 15.85, 16.20, stretch 16.70 if momentum persists.
  • finviz dynamic chart for  FLNC

2) KTOS

  • Setup: Persistent grind with higher lows; closed 100.25 after tagging 100.53—round-number breakout candidate.
  • Daily key levels

– Support: 99.70 (VWAP zone), 99.00 (round), 98.20 (prior demand).
– Resistance: 100.50 (intraday H), 101.50, 102.80.

  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Look for a brief flush to 99.70–99.90 and a re-attack of 100.50. Break/hold above 100.50 can trend into 101.50–102.80.
  • Entries:

– Pullback buy 99.70–99.90.
– Breakout buy 100.55–100.70 on strong tape.

  • Stops: 99.20 (tight), or 98.70 (swing).
  • 1–3 day targets: 101.50, 102.80, stretch 104.00.
  • finviz dynamic chart for  KTOS

3) IMNM

  • Setup: Range expansion and close near highs (14.30 HOD, 14.15 close) with strong volume—continuation favored if dips hold above 13.90.
  • Daily key levels

– Support: 13.90, 13.70, 13.40.
– Resistance: 14.30 (HOD), 14.80, 15.50.

  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect a shallow pullback to 13.90–14.00, then a push through 14.30 toward 14.80; if momentum persists, 15.50 is feasible.
  • Entries:

– Pullback buy 13.90–14.00.
– Breakout buy over 14.32 with volume confirmation.

  • Stops: 13.59 (below higher low), or 13.35 (looser).
  • 1–3 day targets: 14.80, 15.50; stretch 16.10 if biotech flows stay hot.
  • finviz dynamic chart for  IMNM

4) ORIC

  • Setup: Strong late-session push, closing near highs—follow-through likely while above 13.75.
  • Daily key levels

– Support: 13.75, 13.40, 13.10.
– Resistance: 14.23 (HOD), 14.60, 15.00.

  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Dip to 13.80–13.95, then test 14.23. Hold above 14.23 opens 14.60/15.00.
  • Entries:

– Pullback buy 13.80–13.95.
– Breakout buy 14.25–14.30 on expanding volume.

  • Stops: 13.35 (tight), or 13.05 (swing).
  • 1–3 day targets: 14.60, 15.00; stretch 15.50 on momentum.
  • finviz dynamic chart for  ORIC

5) ARM

  • Setup: Relative strength vs. semis; stair-step higher into the close—watch for continuation if 158 holds.
  • Daily key levels

– Support: 158.10, 157.55, 156.80.
– Resistance: 159.00, 160.00, 162.00.

  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Early dip to 158.1–158.3 likely; reclaim and hold 159 sets 160 then 162 over 1–3 days.
  • Entries:

– Buy 158.10–158.40 on dip with reversal cues.
– Add on 159.10–159.30 break/hold.

  • Stops: 157.40 (tight), or 156.70 (swing).
  • 1–3 day targets: 160.00, 162.00; stretch 164.50 if semis rotate risk-on.
  • finviz dynamic chart for  ARM

6) IDR

  • Setup: Late-day breakout with volume; closed near HOD—momentum continuation candidate in a thin small-cap.
  • Daily key levels

– Support: 39.80–40.00, 39.63, 39.30.
– Resistance: 40.50, 41.20, 42.00.

  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Look for a backtest of 40.00; hold/reverse can press 40.50 → 41.20. Failure back under 39.80 risks a deeper fade.
  • Entries:

– Pullback buy 39.90–40.05 with tight risk.
– Breakout buy 40.55–40.65 on volume.

  • Stops: 39.45 (tight), or 39.20 (swing).
  • 1–3 day targets: 41.20, 42.00; stretch 43.20 if liquidity improves.
  • finviz dynamic chart for  IDR

7) HIVE

  • Setup: Crypto miner recovered intraday and closed near HOD while ETH proxies stabilized—beta play if digital assets firm up.
  • Daily key levels

– Support: 5.40, 5.30, 5.15.
– Resistance: 5.53 (HOD area), 5.70, 6.00.

  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Prefer a dip to 5.40–5.45, then a grind over 5.53; momentum through 5.70 targets the 6.00 psych level.
  • Entries:

– Pullback buy 5.40–5.45.
– Breakout buy 5.55–5.58 on strong tape or ETH strength.

  • Stops: 5.28 (tight), or 5.15 (swing).
  • 1–3 day targets: 5.70, 5.95–6.00; stretch 6.25 with crypto tailwind.
  • finviz dynamic chart for  HIVE

Additional quick notes

  • ACN, RGEN: Constructive closes; slower movers that can trend higher—consider buy-the-dip near intraday supports with tight stops.
  • LXRX, SGD, UPB, BCAX: Small-cap momentum names with improving tapes but thinner liquidity—size accordingly and use tighter stops.
  • Caution: ASML, LRCX, WDAY, DDOG, APLD showed late-session weakness or failed pops; avoid longs unless they reclaim intraday supply zones first.

If you can share daily OHLC and 14-day ATR for these tickers, I’ll refine the support/resistance zones and ATR-based targets with higher precision.

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