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Continuation Breakout Monday 2PM 9/29/2025

September 29, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed: 2025-09-29 09:30 to 14:00)
Note: Only intraday 30-minute bars for 9:30–14:00 ET on 2025-09-29 were provided. There is no 30-day/10-day history in the data set; the commentary below focuses on intraday momentum likely to influence 1–3 day swings.

  • Tech/AI infrastructure and semis showed midday distribution and lower highs: WDC (data storage) faded from 115.47 to 114.31 on rising midday volume; VRT and ONTO both bled under prior half-hour pivots; APP (software/adtech) trended lower with consistent supply; MSCI (financial data) slipped through 569 to 567.9 before a weak bounce; CAT (industrials) churned just below 471 with lower highs. This suggests short-term risk-off within large-cap growth/AI suppliers (WDC, VRT, ONTO, APP).
  • Small-cap momentum and biotech/healthcare were stronger: NAAS (EV charging, China ADR) expanded 4.02 → 4.34 on accelerating volume and held most gains; GRAL and MRAL printed trend-day advances with strong closes near HOD; VOR attempted a late-day push to 39.64 before a modest fade; SNAL stair-stepped to HOD into the close. These show risk-on pockets in small-cap/biotech/China ADRs (NAAS, GRAL, MRAL, VOR, SNAL).
  • Microcaps and low-float China names mixed: BAOS popped then stalled; TOP illiquid and choppy; VEEE drifted lower. Liquidity remains selective; chase-risk high outside clear trend names.
  • Communications/satellite: GSAT sold from 36.55 to 35.42 and couldn’t reclaim VWAP intraday—supply overhead.
  • Net take: The session showed rotation away from large-cap AI/semis into selective small-cap momentum and healthcare/biotech. I’ll focus long setups where volume expanded into strength and closes held upper ranges (NAAS, GRAL, MRAL, VOR, SNAL, MRAM).

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely upside continuation (highest to lower conviction): NAAS, GRAL, MRAL, VOR, SNAL, MRAM.
Strongest bullish signals today: NAAS (range expansion + volume), GRAL (strong trend-day close), MRAL (near-HOD close after wide range), SNAL (HOD close), MRAM (steady bid, higher lows).

Individual Stock Analysis
Method: Levels derived from today’s intraday high/low and obvious round-number supply/demand zones. Targets are set near resistances and by extending today’s realized range; stops tucked below supports. Given limited history, treat ATR-based targets as approximations.

NAAS

  • Supports: 4.20–4.23 (post-breakout retest), 4.05–4.07 (base), 4.00 (round number).
  • Resistances: 4.30–4.34 (HOD supply), 4.40, 4.50 (psych).
  • Next 2–3 day outlook (30-min read): Expect a dip-and-rip pattern: early retest of 4.20–4.23, then a reclaim of 4.30 with momentum attempts through 4.34. Holding above 4.20 keeps the breakout intact.
  • Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 4.34–4.40, T2 4.50, stretch T3 4.65.
  • Entry ideas: 4.21–4.24 on a controlled pullback; or momentum add on 4.35 break with volume.
  • Stop-loss: 4.07 (below base), last-resort swing stop 3.98.
finviz dynamic chart for  NAAS

GRAL

  • Supports: 57.15 (PM/early pivot), 56.90 (intraday pullback), 56.00 (round demand).
  • Resistances: 58.74 (HOD), 59.50 (measured extension), 60.00–60.50 (psych/supply band).
  • Next 2–3 day outlook: Strong close near HOD implies potential day-2 continuation. Look for an opening flag above 57.7–58.0, then tests of 59+; consolidation likely between 57–59 before a push.
  • Swing targets: T1 59.50, T2 60.00–60.50, stretch T3 61.50.
  • Entry ideas: 57.20–57.50 on pullback that holds; or 58.80–58.90 break with volume.
  • Stop-loss: 56.60 initial; conservative swing stop 55.90.
finviz dynamic chart for  GRAL

MRAL

  • Supports: 23.00 (round/flag top), 22.40–22.48 (mid-day demand), 21.70–21.90 (session low zone).
  • Resistances: 23.45 (HOD), 23.90–24.00, 24.50.
  • Next 2–3 day outlook: High-close near HOD favors continuation. Expect a shakeout toward 23.00, then retest 23.45. Sustained holds above 23.45 open a 24–24.50 run.
  • Swing targets: T1 23.90, T2 24.50, stretch T3 25.00.
  • Entry ideas: 22.90–23.10 on controlled dip; add on 23.50 break with volume.
  • Stop-loss: 22.40 (beneath demand), wider swing stop 21.90.
finviz dynamic chart for  MRAL

VOR

  • Supports: 38.36–38.48 (intraday demand), 38.00 (session low/round), 37.50.
  • Resistances: 39.00–39.10, 39.64 (HOD), 40.50 (psych/swing supply).
  • Next 2–3 day outlook: Look for a higher-low build above 38.4 and a 39 reclaim. A clean push through 39.64 can trigger a momentum run toward 40+.
  • Swing targets: T1 39.60, T2 40.00, stretch T3 40.50.
  • Entry ideas: 38.40–38.60 on dip that holds; or 39.10 reclaim with expanding volume.
  • Stop-loss: 38.00 hard stop; tighter risk 38.25 if buying strength.
finviz dynamic chart for  VOR

SNAL

  • Supports: 1.10 (intraday base), 1.08, 1.06 (session low).
  • Resistances: 1.12 (HOD), 1.15, 1.20.
  • Next 2–3 day outlook: HOD close suggests gap-and-go potential or early push into 1.15; expect consolidation above 1.10 before the next leg.
  • Swing targets: T1 1.15, T2 1.18–1.20, stretch T3 1.25.
  • Entry ideas: 1.10–1.11 on a back-test; momentum add through 1.12 with volume.
  • Stop-loss: 1.07 (beneath base), last resort 1.05.
finviz dynamic chart for  SNAL

MRAM

  • Supports: 8.96–9.00 (VWAP area), 8.90 (session low cluster), 8.85.
  • Resistances: 9.05, 9.10, 9.25.
  • Next 2–3 day outlook: Gradual grind higher; look for a 9 reclaim and stair-step to 9.10–9.25 if semis sentiment stabilizes. If large-cap semis remain weak, expect slower progression.
  • Swing targets: T1 9.10, T2 9.25, stretch T3 9.40.
  • Entry ideas: 8.95–9.00 on dips that hold; breakout add above 9.05.
  • Stop-loss: 8.88; wider swing stop 8.80.
finviz dynamic chart for  MRAM

Secondary watch (weaker conviction, needs confirmation)

  • BGM: Big opening spike then fade; needs 10.20 reclaim with volume.
  • BAOS: Pop-and-fade; only interesting over 3.60 with sustained volume.
  • ENTO: Tight range; constructive only over 5.20 and above 5.00 support.

Risk notes

  • This analysis is constrained to a single day of intraday data; without 10–30 day context, levels and ATR-based targets are approximations. Size down and wait for confirmation (higher lows, volume on breaks).
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