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Continuation Breakout Monday 2PM 11/17/2025

November 17, 2025 4 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range analyzed: 2025-11-17 11:00–14:00)
– Note on scope: Only intraday 30-minute bars from today were provided; I’m emphasizing the most recent price/volume developments as a proxy for near-term momentum. A true 10–30 day read is limited without the full history.
– Healthcare/Biotech dominated the list and showed bifurcation:
– Small/mid-cap biotech strength with range expansion and elevated volume: QURE, TERN, CRCD, MCRB, COLL. These printed higher highs/higher lows on 30-min bars, with closes in the upper half of their intraday ranges—classic short-term momentum tells.
– Large-cap pharma/biotech mostly flat-to-soft: LLY, AMGN, REGN, ABBV, UTHR, MDGL leaned sideways or faded modestly. Life-science tools (DHR, WAT) trended lower intraday, signaling risk was rotating into higher-beta biotech rather than defensives/tools.
– Energy mixed: PARR had a high-volume gap/pop to 48.4 then bled into 45–46 (event-driven, needs consolidation); SND stair-stepped higher but thin.
– Consumer/Discretionary and Tech leaned weaker: CVNA trended down; BURL faded; SPOT rolled over post-lunch—growth/retail showed distribution.
– Insurance/Brokers soft: AJG, CI faded intraday; lack of momentum bid.
– Other notes:
– Illiquid/odd-lot prints: SFHG, COHN, PLBL, ELIL, IVVD had thin tape—careful with slippage and false signals.
– Standouts for continuation attempts: QURE, TERN, CRCD, MCRB, with ALNY and COLL as secondary strength.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Most likely to advance: QURE, TERN, CRCD, MCRB.
– Secondary watch for bullish continuation: ALNY, COLL, SND.
– Strongest bullish signals: QURE and CRCD (range expansion, strong closes near HOD with rising volume), TERN (steady higher lows with sustained volume), MCRB (power trend after shakeout, held higher).

Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plans)

QURE
– Context: Strong intraday expansion from 29.65 to 31.38, holding upper half of range.
– Key support (demand):
– 30.60–30.60/30.59 pivot (13:30 low)
– 30.00–29.95 round/AM support
– 29.65 (12:30 low)
– Key resistance (supply):
– 31.38 HOD
– 31.50 (round/overhead supply band)
– 32.00 (round; next extension)
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Prefer early pullback into 30.60–30.80 that holds, then a flag breakout through 31.38. Failure to hold 30.60 likely retests 30.00 before any second push.
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 30.60–30.80
– Breakout add on clean 31.40–31.50 push with volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tighter: 29.90 (below round-number support)
– Wider: 29.60 (below 29.65 demand)
– Price targets (1–3 days; near R/ATR-based):
– T1: 31.30–31.50
– T2: 32.00
– T3: 32.60
finviz dynamic chart for  QURE

TERN
– Context: Consistent higher lows; strong volume; closed near highs of day range.
– Key support:
– 25.30 (intraday pivot base)
– 25.17 (12:30 low)
– 24.90 (round/launch area)
– Key resistance:
– 25.90–26.00 (HOD/round)
– 26.25 (extension/fib band)
– 26.70 (approx 1R–1.5R extension)
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Expect a shallow dip toward 25.30–25.40, then an attempt to clear 26.00. Holding above 25.30 keeps momentum intact; loss of 25.17 likely forces a reset into 24.90.
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 25.30–25.40
– Breakout add on 26.00 reclaim with strong breadth/volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tighter: 25.08
– Wider: 24.85
– Price targets:
– T1: 26.00
– T2: 26.25
– T3: 26.70
finviz dynamic chart for  TERN

CRCD
– Context: Persistent uptrend; closed at session high 48.65 with steady higher highs and demand on dips.
– Key support:
– 48.10–48.20 (last consolidation ledge)
– 47.37 (13:30 swing low)
– 46.80–46.46 (12:00–12:30 demand zone)
– Key resistance:
– 48.65 HOD
– 49.50 (near-term extension/supply band)
– 50.00 (round; magnet if momentum persists)
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Look for a controlled dip into 48.10–48.30, then continuation above 48.65. A strong push through 49.50 likely magnetizes 50.00; failure back under 47.37 opens a deeper mean reversion.
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 48.10–48.30
– Breakout add on 48.70–48.80 with rising volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tighter: 47.25
– Wider: 46.40
– Price targets:
– T1: 49.20
– T2: 49.80–50.00
– T3: 51.00
finviz dynamic chart for  CRCD

MCRB
– Context: Shakeout to 18.06 followed by power trend to 19.40; closed firm at 18.96.
– Key support:
– 18.80–18.70 (14:00 pullback low 18.70)
– 18.35 (13:30 pullback low)
– 18.06 (session low/line-in-sand)
– Key resistance:
– 19.00 (round; frequent pivot)
– 19.40 (HOD)
– 20.00 (round; squeeze target)
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Expect a 19.00 battle; a firm hold above 18.70–18.80 favors retest of 19.40, then 19.90–20.00. Loss of 18.70 risks a fade into 18.35/18.06 before any bounce.
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 18.70–18.85
– Breakout add through 19.05–19.10 with time-and-sales confirming
– Stop-loss:
– Tighter: 18.30
– Wider: 17.98
– Price targets:
– T1: 19.40
– T2: 19.90–20.00
– T3: 20.50
finviz dynamic chart for  MCRB

Secondary watch notes (no full plans to keep focus tight)
– ALNY: Mild strength; if it holds above 461, 464–466 could print; below 459 likely chops.
– COLL: Gentle grind higher; above 46 could see 46.50; hold 45.50 for structure.
– SND: Thin; 2.77 breakout could stretch to 2.90; only with strict risk control.

Risk controls and invalidations
– Momentum edge relies on holding listed demand zones; loss of second support generally invalidates the setup and shifts to wait-and-see.
– Liquidity: Avoid thin tapes (SFHG, COHN, PLBL, ELIL, IVVD) for momentum swings; slippage risk is high.

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