Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed: 2025-12-15, 11:00–13:00)
– Note on scope: The file you sent contains a 2-hour intraday window (30-minute bars). Without the last 30 daily candles, I’m emphasizing current momentum and liquidity and inferring near-term strength; any 30-day/10-day commentary below is framed by today’s relative performance within each group.
- Consumer Discretionary (retail/travel) showed the clearest intraday momentum leadership:
- ANF (apparel retail) stair-stepped higher into a new session high (120.51) late in the window on healthy turnover—classic trend-within-day continuation behavior into the close window.
- BKNG (online travel) broke out strongly into the 13:00 bar, printing a session high (5477.3) with a sequence of higher lows; buyers in control.
- VSCO (apparel retail) faded intraday and lagged its group, suggesting rotation within retail toward higher-momentum names (ANF).
- Semiconductors/Tech Services:
- TXN (semis) coiled just under prior intraday highs (179.22–179.36) and held higher lows—constructive if it reclaims 179.40 and clears 180.
- EPAM (IT services) held a tight range after pushing to 213.36; mild fade but bulls defended 212s—setup for a reclaim toward 213s.
- Healthcare/Biotech/Medtech:
- JNJ was range-bound (~213.66–214.38), defensive tone and low momentum.
- LUNG, RLYB, PRAX printed choppy, illiquid/flat action; no clean momentum edge from this sample.
- Micro/small caps (AIHS, KDK): thin and choppy; not showing institutional-quality thrust in this window.
Noticeable patterns
– Breakout-and-hold patterns in ANF and BKNG with higher highs late in the window.
– TXN building a tight shelf under resistance—ripe for a short-term trigger if semis bid up.
– Defensive/low-beta (JNJ) and illiquid small caps underperforming near-term momentum.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Most likely to rise: ANF, BKNG, TXN, EPAM.
– Strongest bullish signals: ANF and BKNG (late-window breakouts with higher-high/higher-low structure and steady demand).
Individual Stock Analysis (setups, levels, and trade plans)
ANF
– Key supports: 119.70; 118.71; 118.44
– Key resistances: 120.51 (HOD); 121.00; 122.00
– 2–3 day price action outlook (30-min read): Expect a shallow flag/pullback toward 120.0–119.7 followed by a push above 120.51. Momentum targets into 121.0, then 121.8–122.2 if breadth cooperates.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 121.00, 121.80–122.20. Stretch: 123.00 if volume expands.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 119.85–120.05 with strength holding above 119.70.
– Breakout buy: >120.55 on rising volume.
– Stops: 119.20 (beneath pullback base); more conservative 118.60 (below demand zone).
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BKNG
– Key supports: 5444–5446; 5431–5435; 5410
– Key resistances: 5480; 5500; 5525–5535
– 2–3 day price action outlook (30-min read): Breakout-and-hold suggests continuation. Expect an early retest of 5445–5450 that holds, then a push toward 5480–5500. If 5500 clears with volume, momentum could extend quickly.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 5495–5505, then 5525–5535. Stretch: 5550.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 5450–5455, risking to 5430.
– Breakout buy: >5480 with rising volume for a 5500 magnet.
– Stops: First: 5430; last-resort swing: 5408–5412 (below session low).
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TXN
– Key supports: 178.54; 178.15; 177.90
– Key resistances: 179.22–179.36; 180.00; 181.00
– 2–3 day price action outlook (30-min read): Coiling under resistance; a push through 179.36 opens 180 test. If semis bid, continuation to 181 possible; failure to clear likely means more chop 178.2–179.2.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 179.70–180.20, then 181.00.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 178.60–178.80 with reversal signal.
– Breakout buy: >179.40 with market confirmation.
– Stops: 178.10 (below shelf). Conservative: 177.85.
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EPAM
– Key supports: 212.10; 211.40; 209.30
– Key resistances: 212.70; 213.36; 214.00
– 2–3 day price action outlook (30-min read): Tight consolidation; reclaiming 212.70–213.36 should bring a retest of 214. If 214 holds above, momentum can carry into mid-214s.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 213.00–213.40, then 214.00–214.80.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 212.10–212.30 with buyers stepping in.
– Breakout buy: >213.40 on volume.
– Stops: 211.30 (below intraday demand); wider: 209.90 if giving it room.
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Notes and risk management
– Liquidity/volatility: ANF and BKNG showed the cleanest momentum; size positions accordingly. TXN/EPAM are more “grind higher” profiles—expect slower follow-through unless sector flows improve.
– If broader market risk-off hits, watch your first support levels; lose them on volume and these become failed breakouts.
If you want me to refine support/resistance using the actual last 30 daily candles and compute precise ATR-based targets, share that daily history and I’ll tighten the levels and targets accordingly.