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Continuation Breakout Monday 1PM 12/01/2025

December 1, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window)
– Datetime range analyzed: 2025-12-01 from 10:30 to 13:00 EST (plus a few earlier prints where provided, e.g., RYM on 2025-11-28).
– Market tone: Indices drifted higher on steady breadth and light-to-moderate midday volume. Benchmarks ticked up: SPY/VOO/IVV grind higher, QQQ firm; leveraged proxies SPXL/SOXL confirmed risk-on.
– Leadership
– Semiconductors led: SMH/SOXX/SOXL, with components MU, AMD, TSM, ASML, MPWR, SITM pushing intraday highs and holding gains into early afternoon. This is classic momentum follow-through with dips being bought and highs getting re-tested.
– Software/platforms constructive: NOW, APP, SNOW, PLTR, AXON stair-stepped higher with higher lows across 30-min bars—healthy for short-term momentum.
– Select consumer/discretionary mixed-to-positive: WING trended strongly, PVH and VFC pushed higher; RL held firm; ULTA steady.
– Homebuilders bid: LEN and TOL pushed toward session highs; NAIL flagged strength for the group.
– Transports/mid-industrials mixed: SAIA edged up; XPO/CHRW/JBHT were choppy-to-sideways; WAB firm. Materials (STLD, RS) in slow, constructive grinds.
– Notable intraday patterns by group
– Semis showed broad, synchronized strength (AMD, MU, ASML, TSM, SITM). Pullbacks were shallow and volume expanded on pushes—favorable for 1–3 day continuation.
– Hotels/travel stable bid (MAR, HLT, EXPE) but momentum was modest vs. tech.
– Retail/apparel saw selective momentum (PVH/VFC > ROST), with VFC displaying higher highs/lows on rising volume into midday.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely upside continuation candidates (strongest momentum signals first):
– MU, AMD, ASML, APP, NOW, SN, WING, SITM, LEN, VFC
– Common signals: higher-low structures on 30-min, re-tests of intraday highs, sector tailwinds (tech/semis, select consumer), and steady tape in indices (SPY/QQQ, SMH/SOXX).

Individual Stock Analysis
Notes:
– Support/resistance levels reflect obvious intraday pivots and nearby daily swing zones/round-number supply-demand areas given the limited daily history provided.
– Targets use nearby resistance and a conservative read of recent range/ATR behavior.
– Plan for 1–3 day swing and reassess if broader market tone (SPY/QQQ/SMH) weakens.

1) MU
– Context: Strong semi tape; steady bid with higher highs, closes near highs.
– Key supports: 239.33, 238.33, 237.38
– Key resistances: 240.97, 242.00, 243.50
– Next 2–3 days: Look for dip-buys toward 239.4–239.8, then a push through 241–242 if SMH stays firm.
– Price targets (1–3 day): 241.5, 243.0, stretch 244.5
– Entry: 239.4–239.8 on a controlled pullback; add on reclaim of 240.9–241.0 with volume
– Stop-loss: 237.9 (beneath S2 and intraday structure)
finviz dynamic chart for  MU

2) AMD
– Context: Persistent semi strength; intraday higher lows; holding near highs.
– Key supports: 218.46–218.41 zone, 217.50, 216.63
– Key resistances: 220.13, 221.00, 222.80
– Next 2–3 days: Expect consolidation above 218.5 then attempt 220–222.8.
– Price targets: 221.4, 222.8, stretch 224.5
– Entry: 218.6–219.0; add on 220.2 breakout
– Stop-loss: 216.9 (below morning low)
finviz dynamic chart for  AMD

3) ASML
– Context: Large-cap semi leader; steady stair-step intraday; room to 1,090–1,100 if SMH stays bid.
– Key supports: 1083.1, 1076.8, 1073.8
– Key resistances: 1087.9, 1089.3, 1095–1100 zone
– Next 2–3 days: Favor a dip buy near 1083–1085 and push into high-1080s/low-1090s.
– Price targets: 1089.5, 1093.0, stretch 1100
– Entry: 1083.5–1085.0
– Stop-loss: 1076.5
finviz dynamic chart for  ASML

4) APP
– Context: Strong intraday expansion 606 → 620+; pullbacks bought; software momentum.
– Key supports: 618.2, 616.1, 606.1
– Key resistances: 622.4, 625.0, 630.0
– Next 2–3 days: Expect 618–620 base to resolve higher; watch 622.5 break.
– Price targets: 622.0, 626.5, stretch 631.0
– Entry: 618.5–619.5; add on 622.5 breakout with volume
– Stop-loss: 615.8
finviz dynamic chart for  APP

5) NOW
– Context: Higher lows and higher highs intraday; steady bid into 822+; tech tailwinds.
– Key supports: 818.5, 816.3, 812.8
– Key resistances: 822.7, 825.0, 828.0
– Next 2–3 days: Range build 818–823, then attempt 825–828 tag.
– Price targets: 823.8, 826.8, 829.5
– Entry: 818.8–820.2
– Stop-loss: 815.9
finviz dynamic chart for  NOW

6) SN
– Context: Consumer momentum; clean grind higher with strong 100 reclaim.
– Key supports: 100.24, 99.88, 99.38
– Key resistances: 101.19, 102.00, 103.00
– Next 2–3 days: Look for 100.3–100.6 to hold as a springboard.
– Price targets: 101.8, 102.6, stretch 103.4
– Entry: 100.3–100.6
– Stop-loss: 99.7
finviz dynamic chart for  SN

7) WING
– Context: Explosive mid-morning leg, then orderly pullback; trend intact above 272–275.
– Key supports: 275.0, 272.2, 268.3
– Key resistances: 277.7–277.9, 280.0, 282.5
– Next 2–3 days: Expect base above 274.8–275.2 then retest 277.7–280.
– Price targets: 277.2, 279.8, stretch 282.0
– Entry: 274.9–275.2
– Stop-loss: 272.3
finviz dynamic chart for  WING

8) SITM
– Context: High-beta semi; aggressive buyers on dips; testing upper range.
– Key supports: 292.8, 291.2, 287.8
– Key resistances: 296.8, 299.0, 302.0
– Next 2–3 days: Momentum continuation favored if 292–293 holds.
– Price targets: 296.2, 299.2, 301.8
– Entry: 293.0–294.0
– Stop-loss: 291.0
finviz dynamic chart for  SITM

9) LEN
– Context: Homebuilder strength, group bid (NAIL up); higher lows intraday.
– Key supports: 131.70, 131.30, 130.95
– Key resistances: 132.24, 133.00, 134.00
– Next 2–3 days: Expect 131.7–132.0 to act as launchpad.
– Price targets: 132.6, 133.4, 134.2
– Entry: 131.7–131.9
– Stop-loss: 131.1
finviz dynamic chart for  LEN

10) VFC
– Context: Value retail base-building; intraday higher lows and steady bid.
– Key supports: 18.04, 17.995, 17.80
– Key resistances: 18.15–18.17, 18.25, 18.40
– Next 2–3 days: Grind higher favored if 18.00 holds on dips.
– Price targets: 18.22, 18.35, 18.50
– Entry: 18.02–18.10
– Stop-loss: 17.88
finviz dynamic chart for  VFC

Risk management and execution notes
– Size down if SMH/QQQ lose morning higher-low structures; many setups depend on tech leadership.
– Stagger entries: scale in at supports and add on confirmed breakouts with volume spikes.
– Respect stops; momentum swings lose edge quickly if key intraday levels fail.
– If a target hits quickly (same day), take partials and trail to just below the most recent 30-min higher low.

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