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Continuation Breakout Monday 1PM 10/20/2025

October 20, 2025 6 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-10-20 from 11:00 to 13:00 ET, using 30-minute bars from your upload. Note: You did not include the prior 30/10 trading days, so longer-horizon commentary is inferred from intraday relative strength/weakness and typical sector behavior.

  • Semiconductors and Semi Equipment (AEIS, KLAC, MKSI, SOXL)
    • Mixed-to-positive. AEIS showed clear accumulation and higher lows into the afternoon with a close near session highs—leadership within semi-equipment. KLAC drifted lower to sideways and couldn’t reclaim early weakness—laggard tone. MKSI was flat-to-slightly constructive but non-committal. SOXL chopped with a mild upward bias but no decisive thrust.
    • Takeaway: Rotation appears selective into semi-equipment momentum (AEIS), while broader semi beta (SOXL) and high-priced equipment (KLAC) were more balanced/sluggish.
  • Biotech/Life Sciences and Diagnostics (ALNY, NTRA, WAT, SLN, APLT)
    • Large-cap biotech ALNY showed steady trend and strong prints near highs—bullish continuation candidate. NTRA was choppy but recovered into the close—constructive, yet not as strong as ALNY. WAT (lab instruments) held firm with a modest grind; constructive but not breakout-strength. Microcaps SLN and APLT showed speculative interest; APLT had a midday push with volume—tactical long setups possible but higher risk.
    • Takeaway: Quality biotech leadership (ALNY) stands out; selective momentum in small-cap bios.
  • Industrials/Aerospace/Logistics (TDG, FDX, ZBRA, GNRC)
    • TDG trended cleanly, closing on the high—classic institutional drift higher; strong. FDX ticked up steadily, closing near highs—constructive. ZBRA was flat/indecisive. GNRC was range-bound with a slight upward lean—neutral to mildly positive.
    • Takeaway: High-quality aerospace (TDG) and mega-cap shipping (FDX) show steady bid; other industrial tech mixed.
  • Healthcare Providers (HCA)
    • Consistent intraday uptrend and close near highs—defensive momentum.
  • Micro/specialty retail (GDTC, DBGI, KORU)
    • GDTC stair-stepped higher intraday—speculative momentum setup. DBGI bled lower on light liquidity—avoid. KORU extremely illiquid—avoid for short-term trading.
  • Pattern/trend highlights
    • Leadership clusters: AEIS (semi-equipment), ALNY (large-cap biotech), TDG (aero), HCA (providers). All printed higher lows and finished near session highs with improving volume into the 12:30–13:00 bar—typical “drift + accumulation” signature that often carries into the next session.
    • Laggards/neutral: KLAC, MKSI, SOXL (choppy beta), ZBRA, GNRC.
    • Speculative watch: APLT, GDTC (momentum interest but liquidity/volatility risk).

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Likely to go up (highest quality first): AEIS, ALNY, TDG, HCA, FDX.
– Speculative upside candidates (higher risk): GDTC, APLT.
– Strongest bullish signals
– TDG: Closed at high of day against a clean uptrend.
– AEIS: Higher lows, near-HOD close, expanding volume into the final bar.
– ALNY: Persistent strength with shallow pullbacks; holding above intraday pivots.
– HCA: Defensive bid with near-HOD close.
– FDX: Steady grind upward, near-HOD close.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Without 10–30 day context, support/resistance includes obvious intraday swing points and nearby round-number supply/demand zones commonly respected on daily charts.

AEIS (Advanced Energy Industries)
– Supports (demand zones)
– 196.80–196.80/196.77 (13:00 higher low)
– 195.40–195.60 (12:30 demand re-accumulation)
– 194.78 (11:30 swing low)
– Resistances (supply zones)
– 197.87–197.95 (session highs)
– 199.50 (pre-200 supply shelf)
– 200.00 (psychological round number)
– 30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days)
– Bias: Upside continuation on early dip-and-rip. Look for an opening test/pullback into 196.8–197.0, then push through 198s toward 199.5–200.
– 1–3 day swing targets (assumes ~$4–6 ATR)
– 198.2–198.8, 199.5, stretch 201.0.
– Entry ideas
– Pullback buy 196.8–197.1; add on reclaim of 198.0.
– Stop-loss
– 195.20 (below demand) or tighter 195.80 if seeking higher R:R.
finviz dynamic chart for  AEIS

ALNY (Alnylam)
– Supports
– 489.2–489.7 (12:30–13:00 pivot shelf)
– 487.4–487.7 (11:00/11:30 breakout area)
– 485.0 (round-number shelf)
– Resistances
– 491.4 (session high)
– 495.0
– 500.0
– 30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days)
– Bias: Gradual continuation; dips likely get bought above 487. Momentum continuation through 491–492 opens a glide into mid-490s.
– 1–3 day swing targets (assumes ~$8–12 ATR)
– 492.5, 495.0–496.5, stretch 499–501.
– Entry ideas
– Buy pullbacks 488.5–489.5; add on 491.5 break.
– Stop-loss
– 486.8 (below pivot); conservative swing stop 485.0.
finviz dynamic chart for  ALNY

TDG (TransDigm)
– Supports
– 1296.9–1297.7 (12:30/13:00 intraday base)
– 1294.6 (midday pivot)
– 1290.3 (session swing low zone)
– Resistances
– 1300.0 (psychological; HOD 1299.9)
– 1305.0
– 1315.0
– 30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days)
– Bias: Trend continuation. Expect opening test of 1300; clean break can trend toward 1305–1310.
– 1–3 day swing targets (assumes ~$12–20 ATR)
– 1302–1305, 1310, stretch 1315–1320.
– Entry ideas
– Buy 1295–1297 on dip; add over 1300 confirmation.
– Stop-loss
– 1290.0 (beneath session swing low).
finviz dynamic chart for  TDG

HCA (HCA Healthcare)
– Supports
– 433.35–433.40 (13:00 higher low)
– 432.60–432.65 (12:30 demand)
– 431.77–431.90 (12:00 shelf)
– Resistances
– 434.00–434.20 (session high zone)
– 435.00
– 437.00
– 30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days)
– Bias: Controlled grind higher. Dips into low 433s likely get defended; breakout over 434.2 can push toward 435–436.5.
– 1–3 day swing targets (assumes ~$5–7 ATR)
– 434.5, 435.5, stretch 437.0.
– Entry ideas
– Buy 432.8–433.4; add on 434.2 break.
– Stop-loss
– 431.6 (below shelf).
finviz dynamic chart for  HCA

FDX (FedEx)
– Supports
– 240.05–240.22 (12:30 base)
– 239.50 (session floor)
– 239.20 (nearby liquidity pocket)
– Resistances
– 240.85 (session high)
– 241.50
– 243.00
– 30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days)
– Bias: Mild continuation; look for a flag breakout above 240.85 toward 241.5–242.
– 1–3 day swing targets (assumes ~$4–6 ATR)
– 241.2, 241.8–242.2, stretch 243.0–244.0.
– Entry ideas
– Buy 240.1–240.3 pullbacks; add on 240.9 breakout.
– Stop-loss
– 239.35 (below intraday floor).
finviz dynamic chart for  FDX

GDTC (speculative)
– Supports
– 2.68–2.70 (13:00/12:30 consolidation)
– 2.64–2.66 (12:00 pullback low)
– 2.55 (11:00 shelf)
– Resistances
– 2.75 (session high)
– 2.85
– 3.00
– 30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days)
– Bias: Momentum continuation if 2.70 holds; quick pops into 2.80s likely fade-prone intraday.
– 1–3 day swing targets (assumes ~$0.20–0.35 ATR)
– 2.75, 2.85, stretch 2.98–3.00.
– Entry ideas
– Buy 2.68–2.70 with tight risk.
– Stop-loss
– 2.61 (below recent base).
finviz dynamic chart for  GDTC

APLT (speculative)
– Supports
– 1.374–1.375 (12:30 close area)
– 1.360 (intraday floor retests)
– 1.350 (round-number demand)
– Resistances
– 1.405–1.410 (session high zone)
– 1.450
– 1.500
– 30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days)
– Bias: Breakout attempts above 1.41 can be fast but fragile; watch volume confirmation.
– 1–3 day swing targets (assumes ~$0.10–0.20 ATR)
– 1.41, 1.45, stretch 1.50.
– Entry ideas
– Buy 1.37–1.38 on pullbacks; add on 1.41 breakout with volume.
– Stop-loss
– 1.34 (beneath demand).
finviz dynamic chart for  APLT

Notes and risk management
– The absence of full 10–30 day history limits confirmation of higher-timeframe trends and bigger daily supply/demand zones. Treat the above as momentum-continuation setups anchored to the provided intraday structure.
– Liquidity risk is elevated in microcaps (APLT, GDTC). Size down, use hard stops, and avoid chasing breakouts without volume confirmation.

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