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Swing Idea

Continuation Breakout Monday 1PM 10/06/2025

October 6, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

  • Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-10-06 from 11:00 to 13:00, plus earlier prints where provided.
  • Note on lookback: Only intraday snapshots were supplied. Where the brief calls for 30-day/10-day trends, I infer from today’s 30-minute momentum and volume behavior and highlight levels visible in today’s tape. Confirm these with your daily chart before executing multi-day swings.

Sector takeaways from today’s tape

  • Cybersecurity/Software leading: CYBR and DDOG printed steady higher highs/higher lows with consistent bid and tight pullbacks; CIEN (optical networking) also stair-stepped higher. Tickers: CYBR, DDOG, CIEN.
  • Defense/Aerospace bid persists: LHX, NOC, BWXT, KTOS all showed controlled intraday uptrends with shallow dips and strong reclaim behavior. Tickers: LHX, NOC, BWXT, KTOS.
  • Biotech/Healthcare mixed with standouts: ORIC and ASND showed range expansion and closes near highs; HCA was firm. Others (ADCT, LXRX, CRBU) lagged/soft. Tickers: ORIC, ASND, HCA vs. ADCT, LXRX, CRBU.
  • Semis consolidating: ASML and LRCX churned sideways; ARM faded—suggests digestion after prior strength. Tickers: ASML, LRCX, ARM.
  • Precious metals/gold miners slightly green: NUGT, JNUG, MUX held bids but didn’t accelerate—constructive if metal strength continues. Tickers: NUGT, JNUG, MUX.
  • Crypto miners/HPC mixed: HIVE climbed steadily on heavy volume while APLD consolidated with heavy turnover—rotation favors higher-beta miner today. Tickers: HIVE, APLD.
  • Energy lagged: MPC drifted lower intraday. Ticker: MPC.
  • Industrials largely flat to soft: EME faded off highs, PH and VMC boxed; RGEN flat. Tickers: EME, PH, VMC, RGEN.
  • Small-cap momentum pockets: XNET showed a classic trend day with persistent higher highs; SGD and BCAB had constructive upticks but liquidity is thinner. Tickers: XNET, SGD, BCAB.

Noticeable patterns

  • Rotation into security/defense and selective biotech breakouts (ORIC, ASND).
  • Semis pausing while risk rotates into software/cyber and selective China tech (XNET).
  • Metals/crypto showing a modest risk-hedge bid; could fuel follow-through if macro tailwinds persist.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

  • Most likely to go up: ORIC, XNET, CYBR, DDOG, ASND, CIEN, HIVE, BWXT.
  • Strongest bullish signals today:

– ORIC: Range expansion, rising volume, close near HOD; clean intraday trend.
– XNET: Trend day with sequential higher highs and strong close.
– CYBR: Persistent grind with minimal giveback; buyers defended every dip.
– DDOG: Higher highs/higher lows with volume continuity.
– ASND: Tight consolidation then push to new session highs into the close.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Key levels are derived from today’s 30-minute structure (act as near-term “daily” supply/demand). Plan entries around pullbacks to support or breakouts through resistance; size stops just beyond these zones.

ORIC

  • Support: 13.58, 13.34, 12.97
  • Resistance: 13.74 (HOD), 13.68, 13.55
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Look for a shallow pullback toward 13.58–13.60 followed by a push through 13.74. Sustained over HOD opens a quick extension.
  • 1–3 day targets: 13.74, 13.95–14.05, stretch 14.20–14.30
  • Entries: 13.60–13.65 on dip; or 13.76–13.80 on breakout retest.
  • Stop-loss: 13.30 (conservative), or tight 13.48 if breakout entry.
finviz dynamic chart for ORIC

XNET

  • Support: 10.66, 10.45, 10.28
  • Resistance: 10.85 (HOD), 10.84, 10.73
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Trend continuation favored above 10.66; a brief flag under 10.85 then breakout is base case.
  • 1–3 day targets: 10.85, 11.00–11.10, stretch 11.25–11.30
  • Entries: 10.66–10.70 pullback; or 10.86–10.90 post-breakout with confirmation.
  • Stop-loss: 10.43 (beneath support), last-resort 10.25 for wider swing.
finviz dynamic chart for XNET

CYBR

  • Support: 502.40, 501.99, 500.76
  • Resistance: 503.88 (HOD), 503.55, 502.08
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Buy-the-dip character; look for bids near 502–502.5 and a grind to/through 504.
  • 1–3 day targets: 503.9–504.0, 505.0–506.5, stretch 507.5–509.0
  • Entries: 502.3–502.8 on dip absorption; add on a push through 503.9 with volume.
  • Stop-loss: 500.50–500.70 (below intraday demand).
finviz dynamic chart for CYBR

DDOG

  • Support: 156.32, 155.78, 155.46
  • Resistance: 157.30 (HOD), 157.09, 156.69
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect a dip toward 156.3–156.6 to be defended; a higher-low sets up a push through 157.3.
  • 1–3 day targets: 157.3, 158.0–158.5, stretch 159.0
  • Entries: 156.4–156.6 pullback; or 157.35–157.45 breakout acceptance.
  • Stop-loss: 155.70 (tighter), 155.35 (looser under day’s base).
finviz dynamic chart for DDOG

ASND

  • Support: 213.23, 211.22, 210.17
  • Resistance: 213.91 (HOD), 213.03, 212.51
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Strong close near highs—watch for a brief test of 213.2–213.4, then continuation through 213.9.
  • 1–3 day targets: 214.5, 215.5–216.5, stretch 217.5
  • Entries: 213.3–213.6 on dip; or 213.95–214.10 on breakout hold.
  • Stop-loss: 211.10–211.20 (below key intraday pivot).
finviz dynamic chart for ASND

CIEN

  • Support: 158.87, 158.57, 157.63
  • Resistance: 159.25 (HOD), 159.15, 158.80
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Steady stair-step suggests buy dips into 158.6–158.9 and aim for 159.25 break; watch for speed toward 160 on a clean breach.
  • 1–3 day targets: 159.25, 160.0–160.5
  • Entries: 158.7–158.9 on bid hold; add through 159.3 with volume.
  • Stop-loss: 158.45 (tight), 157.50 (swing).
finviz dynamic chart for CIEN

HIVE

  • Support: 5.43, 5.40, 5.38
  • Resistance: 5.51 (HOD), 5.50, 5.47
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Higher-lows with strong tape; continuation probable if 5.43–5.46 holds and 5.50–5.51 clears.
  • 1–3 day targets: 5.51, 5.60–5.70
  • Entries: 5.44–5.46 pullback; or 5.52+ after breakout and quick retest.
  • Stop-loss: 5.37–5.38 (below intraday demand).
finviz dynamic chart for HIVE

BWXT

  • Support: 192.00, 190.63, 190.10
  • Resistance: 193.16 (HOD), 193.14, 193.14–193.16 zone
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Defensive bid; look for basing above 192 and a grind into the 193s. A firm close above 193.2 would set 194 next.
  • 1–3 day targets: 193.2, 193.8–194.2
  • Entries: 192.1–192.4 pullback; add on reclaim of 193.2 with volume.
  • Stop-loss: 191.90 (tight), 190.50 (looser swing below session base).
finviz dynamic chart for BWXT

Risk management and execution notes

  • Liquidity: Micro/small caps (e.g., XNET, HIVE) can move fast; size down and use limit orders around levels.
  • Confirmation: Because we lack the full 10–30 day view here, require either a strong close above today’s HOD or a higher-low retest at support before sizing up.
  • Timeframe fit: These plans target 1–3 trading days; if momentum stalls or loses levels, exit rather than “hope” for the 4th–5th day.
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