Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Datetime range analyzed (EST): Limited intraday 30-minute aggregates spanning Jan 2, 2026 through Jan 5, 2026 (latest bar ~13:00 EST). Emphasis on the most recent session’s 30-minute development as a proxy for the last 10 days of momentum. Note: Only partial recent intraday data was provided, so medium-term levels are inferred from current price/volume behavior and common supply/demand zones.
Sector/industry takeaways from the basket:
– Financials broadly constructive: steady grind higher and closes near session highs in MA, SPGI, MSCI, JPM, CME, KNSL, FCNCA suggest accumulation. SPGI and CME pushed cleanly, KNSL tested above 406 and pulled back orderly.
– Industrials mixed-to-up: URI advanced toward ~906 with tight consolidations; FDX modest up; VSEC held most gains; PH/WWD more rangey; HEI faded (supplier aero weakness).
– Consumer strong: COST and CASY pushed with higher highs and firm closes; AN stair-stepped higher; BKNG neutral-to-sideways near highs.
– Healthcare/Biotech constructive: ICLR, NTRA, IRTC, SPRY all bid; PASG choppy but elevated ranges. Flows favor CROs/diagnostics.
– Materials/Metals bid: AA trended cleanly with volume expansion; HYMC strong rotations; FTK ramped intraday—risk-on within resources.
– Tech/Semis saw profit-taking: KLAC and SNPS faded through midday—relative weakness vs tape.
Notable sector patterns:
– Rotation into high-quality financials and exchanges (SPGI, CME, JPM, KNSL) with controlled intraday pullbacks.
– Materials momentum (AA, HYMC, FTK) suggests a short-term commodities beta tailwind.
– Consumer staples/discretionary leadership via COST/CASY/AN—defensive strength with momentum characteristics.
– Semis’ intraday softness (KLAC, SNPS) marks a near-term pause after prior runs; watch for either continuation of consolidation or relative weakness legs.
Tickers likely to rise next 2–3 days (momentum bias)
– Strong bullish signals: AA, URI, COST, SPGI, ICLR, KNSL, CME, EVR
– Additional constructive setups (slightly lower conviction or higher volatility): JPM, MSCI, CASY, AN, HYMC, FTK, NTRA, IRTC, VSEC
Reasons (concise):
– AA: Higher highs/close near highs, rising volume into the push—classic short-term continuation.
– URI: Trend day toward 906 with tight midday flags—momentum continuation likely.
– COST: Persistent bid and closes near highs, orderly pullbacks bought.
– SPGI: Stair-step higher with closes near session highs—accumulation.
– ICLR: Higher highs/lows and tight closes—buyers in control.
– KNSL: Break then shallow pullback—likely second leg if 404 holds.
– CME: Grinding to HOD into the close—buyers pressing.
– EVR: Strong recovery with closes at highs—continuation setup.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plans)
AA (Alcoa) [Materials)
– Bias 1–3 days: Bullish continuation if 60.20–60.35 holds.
– Daily supply/demand zones (proxied by current structure):
– Support: 60.35–60.02 (recent base), 59.62–59.72 (demand), 59.35 (session low/strong demand sweep).
– Resistance: 60.79–60.80 (session high/supply), 61.00 (psych), 61.50 (next supply shelf).
– 30-minute path expectation (next 2–3 days):
– Day 1: Early dip toward 60.35–60.10 gets bought; push to 60.80–61.00. If 61 reclaims/holds, drift to 61.3–61.6.
– Day 2–3: Above 61, look for 61.6–62.0 extension; failure back below 60.1 likely results in 59.7–60.0 range build.
– Swing targets (use today’s intraday range ≈ 1.45 as ATR proxy):
– T1: 61.00
– T2: 61.60
– T3: 62.00
– Entries: 60.20–60.40 on pullbacks; add on a strong 61.00 reclaim.
– Stop: 59.60 (below demand); conservative stop 59.30 if position smaller.
URI (United Rentals) [Industrials]
– Bias 1–3 days: Bullish if 900–901 holds; watching 906 break.
– Support: 900.2–900.0 (flag base/VWAP zone), 895.9–896.3 (prior pivot), 887.5 (session low/demand).
– Resistance: 906.0 (session high), 910 (psych), 915–918 (range extension supply).
– 30-minute path:
– Day 1: Test 900–901 then push 906. If clean break/hold, 909–910. Failing 900 opens 896 retest/bounce.
– Day 2–3: Holding >906 targets 912–915; extension to 918 possible if tape remains risk-on.
– Targets (range proxy ≈ 18.5):
– T1: 906
– T2: 910–912
– T3: 915–918
– Entries: 900.5–901.5 or 906 breakout/hold.
– Stop: 895.5 (below demand); tighter stop 899 on breakout add.
COST (Costco) [Consumer Staples]
– Bias 1–3 days: Bullish; steady trend with shallow dips.
– Support: 875.5 (intraday demand), 872.3–872.5 (prior pivot), 870.5 (session low).
– Resistance: 878.8 (session high), 882 (psych), 885 (supply shelf).
– 30-minute path:
– Day 1: Buy dips 875.8–876.5 for 878.5–879 test; strong tape can press 881–882.
– Day 2–3: Above 879, expect 882–885. Lose 872.5 and it likely bases 871–875 first.
– Targets (range proxy ≈ 8.2):
– T1: 880
– T2: 883.5
– T3: 888 (if sector strength persists)
– Entries: 875.8–876.5; or 879–879.5 on strength.
– Stop: 871.4 (below demand/low).
SPGI (S&P Global) [Financials/Info Services]
– Bias 1–3 days: Bullish continuation if >535.3.
– Support: 536.4 (intraday support), 535.3 (pivot), 534.3 (demand shelf).
– Resistance: 537.3 (session high), 540 (psych), 545 (upper supply).
– 30-minute path:
– Day 1: Hold 535.7–536.2, rotate to 537.5–538.5; clear/hold >538 opens 540–541.
– Day 2–3: Above 540, drift 542.5–545. Lose 534.3 and it likely ranges 532–536 first.
– Targets (range proxy ≈ 5.3):
– T1: 538.5
– T2: 541
– T3: 544
– Entries: 535.7–536.2 pullback; or 537.4 break-and-hold.
– Stop: 533.9.
ICLR (ICON plc) [Healthcare/CRO]
– Bias 1–3 days: Bullish; buyers in control with higher lows.
– Support: 192.6 (intraday demand), 191.9–192.0 (pivot), 190.0 (psych/structural demand).
– Resistance: 193.6 (session high), 195.0, 197.0–197.5 (supply).
– 30-minute path:
– Day 1: Dip to 192.6–193.0 gets bought; push 194–194.5; hold above 193.4 favors 195 test.
– Day 2–3: Above 195, extension to 196.5–197. Below 192 likely ranges 191–193.
– Targets (range proxy ≈ 3.6):
– T1: 194.5
– T2: 195.8
– T3: 197.0
– Entries: 192.6–193.0; add on 193.6 break/hold.
– Stop: 191.2.
KNSL (Kinsale Capital) [Insurance]
– Bias 1–3 days: Bullish continuation if 404 holds; shallow pullback after breakout probe.
– Support: 404.0–404.6 (pullback base), 402.1 (prior pivot), 399.5 (session low/structural demand).
– Resistance: 407.9 (session high), 410 (psych), 413–414 (supply shelf).
– 30-minute path:
– Day 1: Hold 404–405 then reclaim 406.5–407.5; push toward 410.
– Day 2–3: Above 410, look 412–414. Lose 404 opens 402 retest/base.
– Targets (range proxy ≈ 8.4):
– T1: 407
– T2: 410.5
– T3: 413.5
– Entries: 402.5–404.5 pullbacks; or 407.9 breakout/hold.
– Stop: 399.0.
CME (CME Group) [Financials/Exchange]
– Bias 1–3 days: Bullish; pressing HOD into close.
– Support: 274.2–274.7 (pullback zone), 273.4–273.8 (prior balance), 272.2 (session demand).
– Resistance: 275.1 (HOD), 276.0–276.5, 278.0–280.0 (upper supply band).
– 30-minute path:
– Day 1: Early check-back to 274.3–274.8 then 275.5–276.5 probe.
– Day 2–3: Hold >276 opens 278–279.5; failure <273.8 likely ranges 272–274.5 first.
– Targets (range proxy ≈ 4.1):
– T1: 276.5
– T2: 278.0
– T3: 279.5
– Entries: 274.3–274.8; add through 275.2–275.5 on strength.
– Stop: 272.9 (tighter), or 272.1 (structural).
EVR (Evercore) [Financials/Advisory]
– Bias 1–3 days: Bullish; strong reversal and close near highs.
– Support: 365.2–365.5, 364.8 (demand), 363.0 (session low/base).
– Resistance: 367.8 (session high), 370 (psych), 372 (supply).
– 30-minute path:
– Day 1: Buy 365.5–366.3 pullbacks; rotation to 368–369; hold above 367 favors 370.
– Day 2–3: Above 370, extension to 371–372. Lose 364.8 likely ranges 363.5–366.
– Targets (range proxy ≈ 4.7):
– T1: 369.0
– T2: 371.0
– T3: 372.5
– Entries: 365.5–366.3; or 368 breakout with tight risk.
– Stop: 363.0–363.5.
Notes on other watchlist names (quick hits)
– JPM, MSCI: Similar grind as SPGI. Dips to nearest intraday demand likely get bought; targets modest extensions (JPM 337.5–338.5; MSCI 582.5–585.5).
– CASY, AN: Consistent higher lows; buy-the-dip bias to prior intraday supports.
– HYMC, FTK: Strong, but higher volatility—use wider stops below intraday demand sweeps and scale out at nearby resistance bands.
Risk management reminders
– These are short-term momentum swings. If price loses S2 decisively on expanding volume, abort and reassess rather than averaging down.
– Position size relative to volatility: names like URI/HYMC move faster; keep risk/unit consistent by adjusting size smaller.
If you want, I can recalc levels/targets with your full last-30-day daily candles or precise ATRs for each ticker to tighten the targets and stops.